Google Cloud Speech-to-Text API (Chirp) + Gemini 2.5 Flash Non-Thinking. Treat it as a searchable index of what was broadcast, not a quotation record.
00:00:00tribunal, they want to take it under control, fill it with their people,
00:00:03why? Because they want to get rid of the Polish currency, they want
00:00:07to drag us into the Eurozone, because the Germans are pressuring them, and also
00:00:11they want to get rid of our protected borders, the Germans want
00:00:14to breed illegal immigrants and send them to Poland. This is
00:00:18Tusk's attempt to consolidate his power, and some serious
00:00:22decisions are also expected to be made. It is the Constitutional
00:00:25Court that will decide whether Poland will blindly follow
00:00:29EU policy or not. I wouldn't be surprised if Tusk got
00:00:32permission for this somewhere in the bureaucratic top of the
00:00:35European Union, because they are starting to get nervous there, their entire
00:00:39European project is slowly falling apart
00:00:42into pieces. Well, it's clear that Tusk, a protégé
00:00:45of the European Union and Brussels, tried to embrace Poland
00:00:48in an iron grip, to seize power.
00:00:52Former Prime Minister Morawiecki has already called for a vote of no confidence in Tusk and to appoint
00:00:55early elections, but this choice without choice is always
00:00:59the same.
00:02:30you can come up with it and so on, then this conflict occurred
00:02:34over the seizure of the tribunal, it has enormous significance, because it can
00:02:38declare any law unconstitutional, what is the
00:02:41fundamental struggle? Here Tusk speaks for the rule
00:02:45of law, and this means that one must submit to Brussels,
00:02:48in Poland there should be, for example, a law on same-sex
00:02:51marriages, in Poland, Catholics
00:02:54hold a powerful position, Christians say no, no, this will not
00:02:58pass, like in Hungary.
00:05:12yes, forces that, to put it mildly, very carefully distance themselves from today's
00:05:15Brussels policy, then
00:05:19indeed nothing
00:05:22nothing will remain for Ursula von der Leyen, you see,
00:05:26she always won, she won in
00:05:29Romania, she won in Hungary, she almost
00:05:33won in Ukraine, she simply didn't have enough resources, but
00:05:37a little more and she would have intercepted the financing of the Ukraine
00:05:40Anti-Russia project, she would have received the money, it would have been American,
00:05:44but yes, today she lost in
00:05:47Bulgaria, not completely, but
00:05:51she lost, and if she also
00:05:54loses Hungary, well, hello Macron,
00:05:57yes, she will be simply
00:06:00automatically, I agree with everything, only you called this a gambit in relation to Ursula,
00:06:04probably a zugzwang, a gambit is still a winning
00:06:06move that turned into a zugzwang, it used to be a gambit, now
00:06:10it's this.
00:06:28history, how it happens, a purely English murder, this is a purely
00:06:32Polish, Polish color, color
00:06:36revolution, senseless, without winners, and
00:06:39of course, the wisdom of the president...
00:08:42said that this is an unfinished coup, what could be the next
00:08:45step in this, it will unfold in the elections, I think the Constitutional Court
00:08:49may not work until the elections,
00:08:51for example, mhm, it can simply be taken out of
00:08:55the equation, mhm, yes, please, Stanislav, I have friends
00:08:58in Poland who are very close to Polish nationalists, which
00:09:02is the most interesting thing about Polish nationalists, your friends are close to Polish nationalists,
00:09:06yes, they are close to Georg Braun, whose party
00:09:10I will come closer to you then, behind you. back
00:09:42to the army, this is rotation, not mercenaries, he backed down from
00:09:46this, now he has very bad relations with Zelensky, Poles do not want
00:09:50to give him weapons, because here of course the situation
00:09:54is getting out of control of Brussels, and what
00:09:57is happening now, at the beginning the army has already said directly we are with the president,
00:10:01because the prime minister had the right to appoint
00:10:04only three judges for whom
00:10:07the president accepted the oath.
00:10:10And Tusk went for all eight, they
00:10:12waited for him to fly away, so the question still remains, who
00:10:16warned him? It looks more and more that it's possible we
00:10:19warned him, about something he did.
00:10:23о том, что он что-то.
00:10:55sent a letter, saying, we don't understand what he's doing, we are neutral,
00:10:58and many policemen are going to mutiny,
00:11:01just not go to work, so as not to participate in this, and
00:11:05the army is with the president, because everything is developing very quickly here, no, in
00:11:09the end, there is more popular support, do I understand correctly that
00:11:12Tusk, having secured the support of the European Commission
00:11:14there, is essentially leading the country to
00:11:18a coup, or rather this coup has
00:11:21already happened, what is Brussels doing, what is it building?
00:11:55did not enter, because Brussels
00:11:58is building a system that will be an alternative West
00:12:02in relation to the United States, and I venture to say to any
00:12:05United States, both to Trump's United States
00:12:09and to the United States
00:12:12of Trump's opponents, but generally this is a Reich, yes,
00:12:15yes, generally in the future it is a Reich, please, well, agree that
00:12:19the expression, "the hand of the Kremlin" played out in new
00:12:22colors, yes, we can even publish it.
00:12:55too late, please, Sergey, briefly, Nikolay, I will answer your question, what
00:12:58the European Union is building, there was such a wonderful film, Thunder Gate,
00:13:02and there one of the characters said a wonderful phrase: in the army you are not smart, not
00:13:05smart, in the army you are obedient, this is just applicable to the European,
00:13:09to the Thunder Pass, so in the European Union you don't
00:13:12need to be, smart people are not needed, obedient people are needed, that is, we are cleansing
00:13:16all the smart and minimally
00:13:19Euroskeptic, which is
00:13:22synonymous, that is, a smart person is always a Euroskeptic.
00:13:55they have inflated their Swinoujscie to unimaginable sizes
00:13:58and continue to inflate it, Americans with their gas, and
00:14:01American gas, it is such a loophole that it further shakes
00:14:05the unity of the European Union, in this regard, I do not rule out
00:14:08that Peter Magyar, who was mentioned today, that he is
00:14:12pro-European, he has already proven that he is not entirely
00:14:15pro-European, he refused to accept
00:14:18migrants, he refuses to accept Ukraine
00:14:21into the European Union.
00:14:55parliament, and what will happen in this case with the diesel agreement and with
00:14:59peace negotiations on Ukraine? Igor Naymushin
00:15:02assessed the chances and forecasts.
00:19:28The midterm elections, which will begin in the US tomorrow, will not
00:19:32significantly affect the country's foreign policy course. This was stated
00:19:35by Secretary of State Rubik. Well, of course, the world press is now
00:19:39full of forecasts and insights, Trump is preparing to govern
00:19:43the US circumventing Congress in case Democrats win the midterm elections, this is what Reuters writes, citing
00:19:46sources in the White House, according to
00:19:50the agency, the president's administration has been developing a plan since April
00:19:53that will allow it to continue implementing key areas
00:19:57of Trump's policy without congressional approval, in particular, it is about
00:20:00the expanded use of presidential decrees and
00:20:04the powers of the head of state, the administration is separately preparing...
00:20:37House of Representatives and Senate. In such an outcome, Democrats
00:20:40will be able to initiate investigations against the Trump administration and block
00:20:44his legislative initiatives. However, most
00:20:48of the publication's interlocutors do not believe that.
00:20:58According to him, the main danger is the great
00:21:00Trumpian unknown, enraged, or a lame
00:21:04duck, bitter foie gras turns out, MS
00:21:08Noo reports, the US is preparing strikes on Iran the day after
00:21:11the elections. Quote: The Trump administration has informed allies in
00:21:15the Persian Gulf that they should prepare for
00:21:18a short, intense round of strikes already on November 4,
00:21:22the day after the midterm elections, the US is pulling
00:21:25the third carrier strike group led by the aircraft carrier
00:21:29Theodore Roosevelt to the region, about 9,000 sailors and
00:21:31marines, as well as deploying additional Patriot batteries
00:21:34to Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
00:21:38The US could launch a nuclear strike on Iran under pressure from Israel,
00:21:42a possible target would be Pikax Mountain in the central part
00:21:45of the country, claims journalist Tucker Carlson. He wrote about this on his
00:21:49page in... Quote: No conventional weapon in
00:21:52the American arsenal is capable of penetrating 100 meters of solid
00:21:56granite to destroy tunnels where uranium enrichment
00:21:59is presumably taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike and
00:22:03Netanyahu is actively pursuing it. Bibi calls
00:22:06Trump about this every day. Trump will likely decide by
00:22:10next weekend whether to use nuclear weapons. This will be November
00:22:137. In his honor, he doubts it. Well, it's clear that
00:22:17all the insights on Iran and possible strikes are somehow related
00:22:20to the topic of tomorrow's elections, which are not easy for Republicans and personally for Donald
00:22:23Trump. Igor Naymushin, who worked
00:22:27as a correspondent for various publications in the US for a long time, weighed
00:22:30the chances of the sides one day before the endgame. Applause to the author,
00:22:34we invite the main character to the cross, we watch,
00:22:36we talk.
00:22:39The main intrigue of the midterm elections to the US Congress one day before
00:22:42the opening of polling stations remains not whether
00:22:46Republicans will win, but how big their defeat will be and
00:22:50the consequences for the American administration, the worst
00:22:53scenario for them is the complete loss of control over the Capitol. According
00:22:57to analysts at Decision Desk, the probability of the House of Representatives
00:23:01falling under the control of the Democratic Party is
00:23:0383%. In the Senate, the situation is less
00:23:07certain, but even here the forecasts are on the side
00:23:10of the Democrats. The same model estimates their chances of gaining a majority at
00:23:1463%. In the United States, midterm
00:23:17elections traditionally become a referendum on confidence
00:23:21in the incumbent president. In the last 80 years, the president's
00:23:25party lost seats in the House of Representatives in
00:23:28eighteen out of twenty midterm elections, in
00:23:31the Senate - in thirteen out of twenty. Therefore, Trump
00:23:34himself acknowledges the risk of defeat. Studies
00:23:37of sentiment in American society unequivocally indicate that
00:23:41the main problem for US citizens is the economy.
00:23:45The overwhelming majority of voters put it first,
00:23:48and this is not GDP growth or record stock
00:23:51market values, but spending on food, fuel, medicine,
00:23:55and loans. Here, the Trump administration faces
00:23:58serious discontent from the electorate. According to an Associated
00:24:01Press study, almost 80% of Americans
00:24:05are dissatisfied with the president's work on the cost of living.
00:24:08And if Democrats win both houses of Congress, it will be the worst
00:24:12scenario for the White House. Trump will lose the ability to implement
00:24:16large-scale legislative reforms. The Senate will block
00:24:20the appointment of new ministers, judges, and other high-ranking
00:24:23officials. Nevertheless, calling Trump a lame
00:24:27duck in this case would be an exaggeration. The US
00:24:30president will still be able to issue executive orders, fully
00:24:34manage the administration, conduct foreign policy,
00:24:37determining Washington's diplomatic line in negotiations with Russia,
00:24:41China, and other countries, use the right of veto,
00:24:44blocking bills from Democrats. You
00:24:47really write that the economy is in first place for voters, they
00:24:51prioritize it when evaluating the president's actions, but
00:24:55we always knew this and always discussed it in this studio, but
00:24:59regardless of the results of Trump's tariff
00:25:02policy or his little wars in the Caribbean
00:25:06Sea, the new American Sea, this does not
00:25:10affect his real position and policy, he can actually act
00:25:13with executive orders, and you say that in fact Trump
00:25:17will lose the opportunity to carry out any initiatives? But really, what threatens
00:25:20him, they will still not implement impeachment, and what about the Senate
00:25:24in the end, yes, because we heard about the House of Representatives that they will definitely
00:25:28take it, but there are still questions about the Senate, as for
00:25:30the Senate, I'll start with the last question, now there are five
00:25:33so-called battleground states, states in which the outcome
00:25:37of the elections will be decided, these are Alaska,
00:25:40Iowa, Michigan, Texas, and
00:25:43Kansas, including Maine, by the way, some of which were not
00:25:46such swing states, as they are called, yes, now these are
00:25:50precisely the states on which it depends whether Democrats will control
00:25:53the Senate, or whether it will remain with Republicans, in case in the
00:25:57worst-case scenario the Senate goes to the Democrats, they will
00:26:01control it, then that means...
00:26:32Okay, yes, he will continue, then they will still agree, someone will concede, last time
00:26:36we also saw the Democrats, they had their fingers spread, snot bubbling, but in the end they still gave up
00:26:40and agreed. Donald Trump says this: if Democrats
00:26:44take control of Congress, I will become Mr. Veto, who will block every
00:26:48initiative that Democrats bring,
00:26:52they will come, I signed a veto once, signed a veto twice,
00:26:55three, they come, and we agree, and we conclude some kind of deal, this is now
00:26:59the president's position, he will actually get... what
00:27:02is beneficial to him, Trump is a lover of battles, a lover
00:27:06of disputes, a lover of public conflicts, he will capitalize on this especially,
00:27:09considering that in twenty-eight there will be presidential elections, now the election
00:27:12program is already practically beginning, because it is clear that the worse
00:27:16the situation in the country, the more resources Trump will have to
00:27:20blame everything on the Democratic Party. Mhm, Vladimir
00:27:23Nikolaevich, the thing is that in any country power is divided into
00:27:27three branches, executive, legislative,
00:27:30исполнительная, законодательная,
00:28:32you won't get it, there will definitely be problems with
00:28:35financing government programs, who will pay salaries,
00:28:39we have faced this, so this is bravado for now,
00:28:42Stanislav, well, you know, in American elections,
00:28:45traditionally in midterm elections, the president's party always loses
00:28:49at least one house, this has always been the case for the last
00:28:5230-40 years, if not further, if you look, it always turns out this way, and
00:28:56as for Trump, at first he already rules as he wants contrary to
00:29:00the constitution, for example, with tariffs, sanctions.
00:30:02they cannot prevent it by taking Congress and even the Senate, yes, I don't think they can, well, let's ask
00:30:06Dmitry Gennadievich, as an Americanist, Dmitry Gennadievich, here is a concrete example,
00:30:09Clinton, yes, well, first of all, I would like to say that I,
00:30:12of course, unlike the failed Arabist,
00:30:16am a successful Americanist, but the America that I knew
00:30:19and understood is already leaving, it will soon be gone completely,
00:30:23but yes, but the thing is, if you look at the
00:30:26sociology, it doesn't add up anymore, they themselves
00:30:29really don't know what will happen in the elections, yes. Yes, the second
00:30:33point, Clinton is a good example, he really
00:30:36after indeed ninety-seventh this year was with
00:30:40a Congress that was openly hostile to him, the House
00:30:43of Representatives was headed, it's not a joke now, the last
00:30:47Jedi in the universe Newt Gingrich, he was really considered
00:30:50a Jedi, yes, but Clinton
00:30:54really carried out military operations, I just wanted to
00:30:56remind you that