Governor

Alaska Governor

Seat held by Republicans · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D +11.749.9% in the average of 4 pollsters since Sep 20
Money—no federal feed for governors
Outside spending—
Implied ratingLikelyfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsD49.9% (4)51.5%———
Bernadette WilsonR38.2% (4)34%———
Dave BronsonR8.4% (2)9.4%———
Treg TaylorR6.1% (2)4.1%———

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 4 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 20 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Nov 1 from Oct 28AtlasIntel522 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 51.5 · Bernadette Wilson R 34 · Dave Bronson R 9.4+17.5
Oct 30 from Oct 23The New York Times/Siena University610 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 41.7 · Bernadette Wilson R 25 · Treg Taylor R 8+16.7
Oct 30 from Oct 23The New York Times/Siena University549 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 54.1 · Bernadette Wilson R 45.9+8.2
Oct 30 from Oct 23The New York Times/Siena University527 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 50.4 · Bernadette Wilson R 30.7 · Treg Taylor R 9.7+19.7
Oct 25 from Oct 23Alaska Survey Research1,068 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 53.4 · Bernadette Wilson R 46.6+6.8
Oct 25 from Oct 23Alaska Survey Research1,068 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 50.7 · Bernadette Wilson R 30.6 · Dave Bronson R 12.1+20.1
Oct 18 from Oct 15Alaska Survey Research1,568 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 55 · Bernadette Wilson R 45+10.0
Oct 18 from Oct 15Alaska Survey Research1,568 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 50 · Bernadette Wilson R 30 · Dave Bronson R 12+20.0
Oct 16 from Oct 8Data for Progress629 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 53 · Bernadette Wilson R 47+6.0
Oct 16 from Oct 8Data for Progress660 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 49 · Bernadette Wilson R 29 · Dave Bronson R 12+20.0
Oct 16 from Oct 8Data for Progress694 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 46 · Bernadette Wilson R 28 · Dave Bronson R 12+18.0
Oct 3 from Oct 1Alaska Survey Research1,512 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 54 · Bernadette Wilson R 46+8.0
Oct 3 from Oct 1Alaska Survey Research1,512 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 48 · Bernadette Wilson R 27 · Dave Bronson R 15+21.0
Oct 1 from Sep 24The New York Times/Siena University431 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 51.57 · Bernadette Wilson R 48.42+3.1
Oct 1 from Sep 24The New York Times/Siena University448 LVJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins D 46.39 · Bernadette Wilson R 23.56 · Dave Bronson R 17.14+22.8

Money

Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.

Meta in Alaska: $2.0M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Alaska: $29.4M lifetime · Snap targeted at Alaska: $339k in 2026.

All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.