Governor

Arizona Governor

Seat held by Democrats · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsKatie Hobbs D +10.050.4% in the average of 7 pollsters since Sep 20, 3 partisan-sponsored
Money—no federal feed for governors
Outside spending—
Implied ratingLikelyfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Katie HobbsD50.4% (7)50%———
Andy BiggsR40.4% (7)45%———
Teri Hourihan1.3% (4)————
Risa LombardoG0.8% (4)————

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 7 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 20 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Oct 29 from Oct 28GrayHouse R-sponsored500 LVKatie Hobbs D 50 · Andy Biggs R 45+5.0
Oct 28 from Oct 26Noble Predictive Insights511 LVKatie Hobbs D 51 · Andy Biggs R 45 · Teri Hourihan 1+6.0
Oct 27 from Oct 25Kreate Strategies for American Encore R-sponsored900 LVKatie Hobbs D 48.27 · Andy Biggs R 43.14 · Risa Lombardo G 0.85+5.1
Oct 25 from Oct 21HighGround400 LVKatie Hobbs D 51.5 · Andy Biggs R 39.3 · Teri Hourihan 1.8+12.2
Oct 20 from Oct 18GrayHouse for Friends of Elijah Norton R-sponsored550 LVKatie Hobbs D 51 · Andy Biggs R 45 · Teri Hourihan 2+6.0
Oct 8 from Oct 6HighGround400 LVKatie Hobbs D 50.5 · Andy Biggs R 33.7 · Teri Hourihan 2.7+16.8
Oct 8 from Oct 6GrayHouse for Friends of Elijah Norton R-sponsored550 LVKatie Hobbs D 50 · Andy Biggs R 44 · Risa Lombardo G 1+6.0
Oct 6 from Oct 3Wick1,513 LVKatie Hobbs D 48.9 · Andy Biggs R 43.2+5.7
Oct 4 from Sep 18BSP Research for Arizona State University Center for Latina/os and American Politics Research1,300 RVKatie Hobbs D 47 · Andy Biggs R 34 · Teri Hourihan 2+13.0
Sep 30 from Sep 16Lake Research Partners for Ballot Initiative Strategy Center O-sponsored600 RVKatie Hobbs D 56 · Andy Biggs R 33+23.0
Aug 19 from Aug 17NextGenP1,378 RVKatie Hobbs D 39 · Andy Biggs R 37.5 · Risa Lombardo G 0.7+1.5
Aug 18 from Aug 15HighGround400 LVKatie Hobbs D 49.5 · Andy Biggs R 34.3 · Teri Hourihan 2.2+15.2
Aug 17 from Aug 14Quantus Insights780 LVKatie Hobbs D 49.1 · Andy Biggs R 43.2+5.9
Aug 16 from Aug 13Kreate Strategies for American Encore R-sponsored900 LVKatie Hobbs D 45 · Andy Biggs R 40+5.0
Aug 13 from Aug 10Noble Predictive Insights1,040 RVKatie Hobbs D 46.18 · Andy Biggs R 32.34 · Risa Lombardo G 2.15+13.8

Money

Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.

Meta in Arizona: $2.7M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Arizona: $133.6M lifetime · Snap targeted at Arizona: $67k in 2026.

All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.