California Governor
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | D | 58.7% (8) | 63.2% | — | — | — |
| Steve Hilton | R | 36.2% (8) | 36.8% | — | — | — |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 16 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 from Oct 17 | ActiVote | 400 LV | Xavier Becerra D 63.2 · Steve Hilton R 36.8 | +26.4 |
| Oct 25 from Oct 19 | University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for Los Angeles Times | 1,477 LV | Xavier Becerra D 61 · Steve Hilton R 34 | +27.0 |
| Oct 24 from Oct 19 | SurveyUSA for KGTV-TV (California) | San Diego Union-Tribune | 799 LV | Xavier Becerra D 54 · Steve Hilton R 32 | +22.0 |
| Oct 22 from Oct 16 | Public Policy Institute of California | 1,086 LV | Xavier Becerra D 61 · Steve Hilton R 37 | +24.0 |
| Oct 20 from Oct 17 | McLaughlin & Associates for California Post | 800 LV | Xavier Becerra D 55 · Steve Hilton R 39.3 | +15.7 |
| Oct 19 from Oct 17 | Emerson College | 1,000 LV | Xavier Becerra D 63.63 · Steve Hilton R 36.37 | +27.3 |
| Oct 16 from Sep 24 | ActiVote | 400 LV | Xavier Becerra D 62.8 · Steve Hilton R 37.2 | +25.6 |
| Oct 14 from Oct 9 | TrueDot for Politico | UC Berkeley Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research | 909 LV | Xavier Becerra D 55 · Steve Hilton R 35 | +20.0 |
| Oct 1 from Sep 24 | Manhattan Institute | 1,000 LV | Xavier Becerra D 57 · Steve Hilton R 39 · Neither/would not vote 1 | +18.0 |
| Sep 28 from Sep 23 | IVC Media for Independent Voter Project | 2,906 LV | Xavier Becerra D 48 · Steve Hilton R 38 | +10.0 |
| Sep 20 from Sep 15 | University of California Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies for Los Angeles Times | 4,512 LV | Xavier Becerra D 58 · Steve Hilton R 33 | +25.0 |
| Sep 20 from Sep 15 | SurveyUSA for ABC 10 News | KGTV-TV (California) | San Diego Union-Tribune | 742 LV | Xavier Becerra D 55 · Steve Hilton R 33 | +22.0 |
| Sep 14 from Sep 8 | TrueDot for Politico | UC Berkeley Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research | 1,983 LV | Xavier Becerra D 54 · Steve Hilton R 36 | +18.0 |
| Sep 14 from Sep 8 | TrueDot for Politico | UC Berkeley Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research | 2,418 RV | Xavier Becerra D 48 · Steve Hilton R 34 | +14.0 |
| Sep 10 from Sep 4 | Public Policy Institute of California | 1,098 LV | Xavier Becerra D 60 · Steve Hilton R 38 · Neither/would not vote 1 | +22.0 |
Money
Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BECERRA FOR GOVERNOR 2026 | Xavier Becerra D | $571k | last 4 weeks | |
| WORKING FAMILIES FOR HEALTHY COMMUNITIES SUPPORTING BECERRA FOR | Xavier Becerra D | $309k | last 4 weeks |
Meta in California: $11.3M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in California: $397.4M lifetime · Snap targeted at California: $3.4M in 2026.
All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON
Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.