Governor

Florida Governor

Seat held by Republicans · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsByron Donalds R +4.148.2% in the average of 8 pollsters since Sep 20
Money—no federal feed for governors
Outside spending—
Implied ratingLeanfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Byron DonaldsR48.2% (8)48%———
David JollyD44.1% (8)44%———

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 37 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Nov 2 from Oct 31Research Co.450 LVByron Donalds R 48 · David Jolly D 44-4.0
Oct 31 from Oct 20ActiVote400 LVByron Donalds R 52.3 · David Jolly D 47.7-4.6
Oct 30 from Oct 26Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research858 LVByron Donalds R 51 · David Jolly D 45-6.0
Oct 30 from Oct 26Big Data Poll for 1776 Law Center | Public Polling Project1,067 LVByron Donalds R 47.4 · David Jolly D 44.2 · Scott Jewett L 2.9-3.2
Oct 30 from Oct 26Big Data Poll for 1776 Law Center | Public Polling Project1,122 RVByron Donalds R 46.5 · David Jolly D 43.6 · Scott Jewett L 3.3-2.9
Oct 29 from Oct 26Targoz Market Research1,014 LVByron Donalds R 50 · David Jolly D 43-7.0
Oct 29 from Oct 28InsiderAdvantage1,200 LVByron Donalds R 49 · David Jolly D 44.9 · Scott Jewett L 1.6-4.1
Oct 28 from Oct 26The Political Matrix/The Listener Group500 LVByron Donalds R 40.3 · David Jolly D 38.8-1.5
Oct 27 from Oct 25St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics916 LVByron Donalds R 47.8 · David Jolly D 45.5-2.3
Oct 25 from Oct 19The New York Times/Siena University813 LVByron Donalds R 48.36 · David Jolly D 44.43-3.9
Oct 23 from Oct 16Echelon Insights for NetChoice515 LVByron Donalds R 50 · David Jolly D 44 · Scott Jewett L 1-6.0
Oct 22 from Oct 18Workbench Strategy D-sponsored800 LVDavid Jolly D 48 · Byron Donalds R 46+2.0
Oct 20 from Oct 18co/efficient1,014 LVByron Donalds R 49 · David Jolly D 40-9.0
Oct 20 from Oct 18co/efficient1,014 LVGeneric Candidate O 0—
Oct 19 from Oct 12University of North Florida1,471 LVByron Donalds R 49 · David Jolly D 47-2.0

Money

Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

PlatformAdvertiserTied toSpendWindow
MetaByron Donalds paid for by Friends of Byron Donalds PACByron Donalds R$68kOct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026
GoogleByron DonaldsByron Donalds R$4.3Mlast 4 weeks
GoogleFriends of Byron Donalds PACByron Donalds R$108klast 4 weeks

Meta in Florida: $4.8M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Florida: $164.0M lifetime · Snap targeted at Florida: $27k in 2026.

All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.