New Hampshire Governor
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Ayotte | R | 49.9% (7) | 49.7% | — | — | — |
| Cinde Warmington | D | 42.8% (7) | 43.8% | — | — | — |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 7 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 13 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 from Oct 28 | AtlasIntel | 1,057 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 49.7 · Cinde Warmington D 43.8 | -5.9 |
| Oct 31 from Oct 27 | University of New Hampshire | 2,026 LV | Cinde Warmington D 48 · Kelly Ayotte R 48 · Stephen Villee L 2 | 0.0 |
| Oct 29 from Oct 25 | National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored | 800 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 52 · Cinde Warmington D 43 · Stephen Villee L 3 | -9.0 |
| Oct 20 from Oct 19 | St. Anselm | 1,672 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 50 · Cinde Warmington D 42 | -8.0 |
| Oct 19 from Oct 2 | UMass Lowell | 600 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 48 · Cinde Warmington D 42 · Stephen Villee L 3 | -6.0 |
| Oct 12 from Oct 8 | National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored | 600 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 54 · Cinde Warmington D 38 · Stephen Villee L 3 | -16.0 |
| Oct 5 from Sep 28 | YouGov | 1,520 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 49 · Cinde Warmington D 40 | -9.0 |
| Sep 29 from Sep 28 | St. Anselm for AARP | 1,042 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 52 · Cinde Warmington D 45 | -7.0 |
| Sep 22 from Sep 15 | The New York Times/Siena University | 613 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 52.31 · Cinde Warmington D 40.84 | -11.5 |
| Sep 21 from Sep 17 | University of New Hampshire | 1,407 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 47 · Cinde Warmington D 43 · Stephen Villee L 2 | -4.0 |
| Sep 11 from Sep 9 | co/efficient | 958 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 55 · Cinde Warmington D 34 · Stephen Villee L 3 | -21.0 |
| Aug 24 from Aug 20 | University of New Hampshire for 7News | 1,878 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 49 · Cinde Warmington D 39 | -10.0 |
| Aug 18 from Aug 17 | St. Anselm | 1,411 LV | Kelly Ayotte R 49 · Cinde Warmington D 38 | -11.0 |
Money
Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.
Meta in New Hampshire: $1.1M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in New Hampshire: $31.9M lifetime · Snap targeted at New Hampshire: $101k in 2026.
All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON
Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.