Governor

Nevada Governor

Seat held by Republicans · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsAaron Ford D +1.046% in the average of 3 pollsters since Sep 20, 2 partisan-sponsored
Money—no federal feed for governors
Outside spending—
Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Aaron FordD46% (3)47%———
Joe LombardoR45% (3)47%———

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 9 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Oct 28 from Oct 26Noble Predictive Insights487 LVAaron Ford D 47 · Joe Lombardo R 47 · Danielle Ford I 10.0
Oct 25 from Oct 20Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies for A More Affordable Nevada D-sponsored950 LVAaron Ford D 49 · Joe Lombardo R 45+4.0
Sep 30 from Sep 26Concord Public Opinion Partners for Education Reform Now Advocacy D-sponsored565 LVJoe Lombardo R 43 · Aaron Ford D 42-1.0
Sep 26 from Sep 22Noble Predictive Insights800 RVJoe Lombardo R 38 · Aaron Ford D 37 · Danielle Ford I 7-1.0
Sep 26 from Sep 22Noble Predictive Insights708 LVJoe Lombardo R 42 · Aaron Ford D 40 · Danielle Ford I 7-2.0
Sep 8 from Sep 5Emerson College for KLAS-TV Las Vegas680 LVAaron Ford D 44.16 · Joe Lombardo R 42.05 · Danielle Ford I 2.44+2.1
Jul 29 from Jul 25Tarrance Group for Better Nevada PAC | Republican Governors Association R-sponsored550 LVJoe Lombardo R 50 · Aaron Ford D 43-7.0
Jul 16 from Jul 8Grassroots Targeting for Better Nevada PAC | Republican Governors Association R-sponsored2,500 LVJoe Lombardo R 52 · Aaron Ford D 40-12.0
Jul 16 from Jul 15Public Policy Polling for Democratic Governors Association D-sponsored558 LVJoe Lombardo R 44 · Aaron Ford D 440.0

Money

Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.

Meta in Nevada: $1.1M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Nevada: $73.2M lifetime · Snap targeted at Nevada: $117k in 2026.

All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.