Pennsylvania Governor
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro | D | 57.4% (8) | 59% | — | — | — |
| Stacy Garrity | R | 34.1% (8) | 34% | — | — | — |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 17 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 from Oct 30 | Research Co. | 450 LV | Josh Shapiro D 59 · Stacy Garrity R 34 · Ken Krawchuk L 1 | +25.0 |
| Oct 21 from Oct 1 | ActiVote | 400 LV | Josh Shapiro D 61.5 · Stacy Garrity R 38.5 | +23.0 |
| Oct 18 from Oct 7 | Franklin & Marshall College | 808 RV | Josh Shapiro D 54 · Stacy Garrity R 33 | +21.0 |
| Oct 18 from Oct 7 | Franklin & Marshall College | — LV | Josh Shapiro D 59 · Stacy Garrity R 36 | +23.0 |
| Oct 11 from Oct 5 | Bravo Group for PennLive | 628 RV | Josh Shapiro D 57.68 · Stacy Garrity R 27.55 | +30.1 |
| Oct 5 from Oct 1 | Quinnipiac University | 1,159 LV | Josh Shapiro D 59 · Stacy Garrity R 34 · Ken Krawchuk L 2 | +25.0 |
| Oct 1 from Sep 28 | Z to A Research for Rust Belt Rising D-sponsored | 630 LV | Josh Shapiro D 53 · Stacy Garrity R 34 · Ken Krawchuk L 3 | +19.0 |
| Sep 30 from Sep 22 | Susquehanna Polling & Research, Inc. | 700 LV | Josh Shapiro D 52 · Stacy Garrity R 31 | +21.0 |
| Sep 22 from Sep 16 | Bravo Group for PennLive | 624 RV | Josh Shapiro D 55.14 · Stacy Garrity R 27.72 | +27.4 |
| Sep 22 from Sep 15 | The New York Times/Siena University for The Philadelphia Inquirer | 615 LV | Josh Shapiro D 58.41 · Stacy Garrity R 37.65 | +20.8 |
| Sep 22 from Sep 15 | The New York Times/Siena University for The Philadelphia Inquirer | 615 RV | Josh Shapiro D 56.98 · Stacy Garrity R 37.62 | +19.4 |
| Aug 23 from Aug 17 | Franklin & Marshall College | 501 RV | Josh Shapiro D 50 · Stacy Garrity R 25 · Tony Dastra G 2 | +25.0 |
| Aug 22 from Aug 18 | Bravo Group for PennLive | 711 LV | Josh Shapiro D 56.38 · Stacy Garrity R 25.19 | +31.2 |
| Aug 21 from Aug 17 | The New York Times/Siena University for The Philadelphia Inquirer | 760 RV | Josh Shapiro D 54.37 · Stacy Garrity R 37.3 | +17.1 |
| Aug 21 from Aug 17 | The New York Times/Siena University for The Philadelphia Inquirer | 760 LV | Josh Shapiro D 54.75 · Stacy Garrity R 38.69 | +16.1 |
Money
Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta | Josh Shapiro | Josh Shapiro D | $199k | Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 |
| SHAPIRO FOR PENNSYLVANIA | Josh Shapiro D | $1.4M | last 4 weeks | |
| Garrity for PA | Stacy Garrity R | $535k | last 4 weeks | |
| Garrity for PA | Stacy Garrity R | $124k | last 4 weeks |
Meta in Pennsylvania: $2.3M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Pennsylvania: $223.3M lifetime · Snap targeted at Pennsylvania: $55k in 2026.
All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON
Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.