Governor

South Dakota Governor

Seat held by Republicans · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsLarry Rhoden R +16.254.6% in the average of 3 pollsters since Sep 20, 1 partisan-sponsored
Money—no federal feed for governors
Outside spending—
Implied ratingSafefrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Larry RhodenR54.6% (3)48%———
Daniel P. AhlersD38.4% (3)39%———

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 5 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Oct 26 from Oct 22Concord Public Opinion Partners for Education Reform Now Advocacy D-sponsored448 LVLarry Rhoden R 48 · Daniel P. Ahlers D 39-9.0
Oct 21 from Oct 19Emerson College for KELO-TV803 LVLarry Rhoden R 59.5 · Daniel P. Ahlers D 40.5-19.0
Oct 14 from Oct 12Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. for Chiesman Center for Democracy at the University of South Dakota | South Dakota News Watch500 LVLarry Rhoden R 56.2 · Daniel P. Ahlers D 35.6-20.6
Oct 8 from Oct 6Concord Public Opinion Partners for Education Reform Now Advocacy D-sponsored400 LVLarry Rhoden R 48 · Daniel P. Ahlers D 38-10.0
Aug 30 from Aug 26Lake Research Partners D-sponsored500 LVLarry Rhoden R 51 · Daniel P. Ahlers D 44-7.0

Money

Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.

Meta in South Dakota: $125k Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in South Dakota: $4.3M lifetime · Snap targeted at South Dakota: $15k in 2026.

All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.