House

California 22nd District

Seat held by Republicans · incumbent David G. Valadao R running · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsRandy Villegas D +10.054% in the average of 1 pollster since Sep 20

Money$12.3Mraised by listed candidates; David G. Valadao leads with $6.3M

Outside spending$25.3Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates

Implied ratingLikelyfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

Candidate	Party	Poll avg	Latest poll	Raised	Cash	Outside for / against
Randy Villegas	D	54% (1)	54%	$5.9M	$962k	$5.2M / $12.2M
David G. Valadao incumbent	R	44% (1)	44%	$6.3M	$1.7M	$341k / $7.6M

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 1 pollster since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 1 in the window

Field dates	Pollster	Sample	Result	D − R
Oct 28 from Oct 22	USC Democracy and Fair Elections Lab	356 LV	Randy Villegas D 54 · David G. Valadao R 44	+10.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

Platform	Advertiser	Tied to	Spend	Window
Google	VALADAO FOR CONGRESS	David G. Valadao R	$98k	last 4 weeks
Snap	Maremoto Action 16 ads	Randy Villegas D	$10k	2026 to date

Meta in California: $11.3M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in this district: $4.0M lifetime under the current map · Google in California: $397.4M lifetime · Snap targeted at this district: $16k in 2026 · Snap targeted at California: $3.4M in 2026.

All house battlegrounds → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.