House battlegrounds, 2026
Every district with a public general-election poll — 110 of 435 this cycle. Money is FEC candidate totals, matched to the names in the polls; a primary loser's committee never adds a row. Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.
What is on this page, and what is not
No results, no odds. There is no free, documented feed of vote counts or race calls, so this page does not pretend to one, and it does not use prediction-market prices. It carries the two things that have public feeds: the polls (New York Times poll data via PollResults.org, CC BY 4.0) and the money (Federal Election Commission candidate totals and independent-expenditure totals; governors are state-regulated and have no federal money feed).
The implied rating on each race is derived from the poll leader's margin over the runner-up — 15 points or more is Safe, 8 Likely, 4 Lean, under 4 a Toss-up. It is not a handicapper's call. An unpolled seat shows the top fundraiser from each major party, labelled as such. The party shown as held is the party holding the seat going into the election. Figures as of 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC.
25 seats where the poll leader would flip the seat: Florida 9th District (Democrats → Republicans, 0.0), Ohio 9th District (Democrats → Republicans, 0.0), Washington 3rd District (Democrats → Republicans, 0.0), Florida 25th District (Democrats → Republicans, +0.5), Wisconsin 1st District (Republicans → Democrats, +0.5), Missouri 2nd District (Republicans → Democrats, +0.9), Colorado 3rd District (Republicans → Democrats, +1.0), Florida 13th District (Republicans → Democrats, +1.0), Minnesota 1st District (Republicans → Democrats, +1.0), Pennsylvania 1st District (Republicans → Democrats, +1.2), Pennsylvania 10th District (Republicans → Democrats, +1.9), Alabama 2nd District (Democrats → Republicans, +2.0), ….
All house battlegrounds 110
Polled races first, closest first; unpolled seats after. Select any heading to re-sort; type to filter by state or name.
| Race | Held | Poll leader (lead) | D − R | Pollsters | Raised | Implied rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida 7th District | — | Ryan Elijah R 0.0 | 0.0 tie | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.2M Dalton D | Toss-up |
| Florida 9th District | D | Dan Green R 0.0 | 0.0 tie | 1 (1 partisan) | $6.3M Soto D | Toss-up flip |
| Ohio 9th District | D | Derek Merrin R 0.0 | 0.0 tie | 1 (1 partisan) | $8.1M Kaptur D | Toss-up flip |
| Texas 23rd District | — | Brandon Herrera R 0.0 | 0.0 tie | 1 (1 partisan) | $4.2M Herrera R | Toss-up |
| Washington 3rd District | D | John Braun R 0.0 | 0.0 tie | 2 (1 partisan) | $12.8M Perez D | Toss-up flip |
| New York 21st District | — | Anthony Constantino R +0.3 | -0.3 R | 3 (2 partisan) | $24.7M Constantino R | Toss-up |
| New York 17th District | R | Mike Lawler R +0.3 | -0.3 R | 2 (1 partisan) | $21.0M Conley D | Toss-up |
| Florida 25th District | D | Scott Singer R +0.5 | -0.5 R | 2 (2 partisan) | $9.0M Moskowitz D | Toss-up flip |
| Maine 2nd District | — | Paul LePage R +0.5 | -0.5 R | 2 (1 partisan) | $6.3M LePage R | Toss-up |
| Wisconsin 1st District | R | Mitchell Berman D +0.5 | +0.5 D | 2 (2 partisan) | $8.4M Steil R | Toss-up flip |
| Missouri 2nd District | R | Fred Wellman D +0.9 | +0.9 D | 2 (1 partisan) | $6.4M Wagner R | Toss-up flip |
| Colorado 3rd District | R | Dwayne Romero D +1.0 | +1.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $5.9M Hurd R | Toss-up flip |
| Florida 13th District | R | Leela Gray D +1.0 | +1.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $7.3M Luna R | Toss-up flip |
| Minnesota 1st District | R | Jake Johnson D +1.0 | +1.0 D | 3 (2 partisan) | $6.3M Johnson D | Toss-up flip |
| Nebraska 1st District | R | Mike Flood R +1.0 | -1.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.9M Flood R | Toss-up |
| Texas 35th District | — | Johnny Garcia D +1.0 | +1.0 D | 3 (1 partisan) | $4.2M Garcia D | Toss-up |
| Pennsylvania 1st District | R | Bob Harvie D +1.2 | +1.2 D | 2 (1 partisan) | $11.2M Fitzpatrick R | Toss-up flip |
| Indiana 5th District | R | Victoria Spartz R +1.9 | -1.9 R | 2 (1 partisan) | $3.6M Spartz R | Toss-up |
| Pennsylvania 10th District | R | Janelle Stelson D +1.9 | +1.9 D | 3 | $16.0M Stelson D | Toss-up flip |
| Alabama 2nd District | D | Rhett Marques R +2.0 | -2.0 R | 1 | $4.4M Figures D | Toss-up flip |
| Arizona 2nd District | R | Jonathan Nez D +2.0 | +2.0 D | 1 | $17.7M Crane R | Toss-up flip |
| Georgia 7th District | R | Tony Kozycki D +2.0 | +2.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.2M McCormick R | Toss-up flip |
| Nevada 2nd District | — | David Flippo R +2.0 | -2.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $4.0M Flippo R | Toss-up |
| South Carolina 1st District | — | Jenny Costa Honeycutt R +2.0 | -2.0 R | 2 (1 partisan) | $6.2M Lacore D | Toss-up |
| Virginia 1st District | R | Shannon Taylor D +2.0 | +2.0 D | 3 (2 partisan) | $10.0M Wittman R | Toss-up flip |
| Colorado 5th District | R | Jessica Killin D +2.5 | +2.5 D | 2 (2 partisan) | $8.5M Killin D | Toss-up flip |
| Ohio 1st District | D | Greg Landsman D +2.6 | +2.6 D | 2 (1 partisan) | $8.0M Landsman D | Toss-up |
| Iowa 2nd District | — | Lindsay James D +3.0 | +3.0 D | 1 | $6.8M James D | Toss-up |
| Kansas 2nd District | R | Derek Schmidt R +3.0 | -3.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.1M Schmidt R | Toss-up |
| Ohio 15th District | R | Don Leonard D +3.0 | +3.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $5.5M Carey R | Toss-up flip |
| Ohio 10th District | R | Kristina Knickerbocker D +3.0 | +3.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $2.3M Turner R | Toss-up flip |
| Virginia 2nd District | R | Elaine G. Luria D +3.0 | +3.0 D | 1 | $15.6M Luria D | Toss-up flip |
| Texas 9th District | — | Alex Mealer R +3.5 | -3.5 R | 2 (1 partisan) | $2.8M Mealer R | Toss-up |
| Virginia 5th District | — | John McGuire R +3.5 | -3.5 R | 2 (1 partisan) | $6.2M Perriello D | Toss-up |
| Alaska 1st District | — | Nick Begich R +3.6 | -42.8 R | 4 | — | Toss-up |
| Arizona 1st District | — | Amish Shah D +3.6 | +3.6 D | 2 | $9.5M Shah D | Toss-up |
| Arkansas 2nd District | R | French Hill R +4.0 | -4.0 R | 1 | $7.2M Hill R | Lean |
| Florida 16th District | — | Sydney Gruters R +4.0 | -4.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $2.5M Gruters R | Lean |
| New Mexico 2nd District | D | Gabriel Vasquez D +4.0 | +4.0 D | 1 | $8.0M Vasquez D | Lean |
| North Carolina 9th District | R | Richard Hudson R +4.0 | -4.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $7.1M Hudson R | Lean |
| Pennsylvania 8th District | R | Paige Cognetti D +4.1 | +4.1 D | 2 | $14.0M Cognetti D | Lean flip |
| Montana 1st District | — | Sam Forstag D +4.5 | +4.5 D | 5 (2 partisan) | $7.2M Forstag D | Lean |
| Colorado 4th District | R | Lauren Boebert R +5.0 | -5.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $14.9M Laubacher D | Lean |
| Florida 14th District | D | Kathy Castor D +5.0 | +5.0 D | 1 | $7.7M Castor D | Lean |
| Georgia 3rd District | R | Brian Jack R +5.0 | -5.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $2.4M Jack R | Lean |
| Oklahoma 5th District | R | Stephanie Bice R +5.0 | -5.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.3M Bice R | Lean |
| Tennessee 5th District | — | Charlie Hatcher R +5.0 | -5.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $5.3M Molder D | Lean |
| Utah 2nd District | R | Blake Moore R +5.0 | -5.0 R | 1 | $2.8M Moore R | Lean |
| Pennsylvania 7th District | R | Bob Brooks D +5.4 | +5.4 D | 3 | $10.6M Brooks D | Lean flip |
| North Carolina 1st District | D | Don Davis D +5.7 | +5.7 D | 3 (2 partisan) | $10.6M Davis D | Lean |
| Kentucky 6th District | — | Zach Dembo D +5.8 | +5.8 D | 5 (5 partisan) | $5.5M Dembo D | Lean |
| Connecticut 5th District | D | Jahana Hayes D +6.0 | +6.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $2.2M Hayes D | Lean |
| Minnesota 8th District | R | Pete Stauber R +6.0 | -6.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.3M Stauber R | Lean |
| California 48th District | — | Marni von Wilpert D +6.7 | +6.7 D | 3 (1 partisan) | $8.1M Wilpert D | Lean |
| California 11th District | — | Scott Wiener D +7.0 | — | 1 | $8.2M Wiener D | Lean |
| Texas 34th District | D | Vicente Gonzalez D +7.0 | +7.0 D | 1 | $9.2M Gonzalez D | Lean |
| Texas 10th District | — | Chris Gober R +7.0 | -7.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.7M Gober R | Lean |
| California 34th District | D | Angela Gonzales-Torres D +8.0 | — | 2 (1 partisan) | $1.8M Gomez D | Likely |
| Michigan 7th District | R | William Lawrence D +8.0 | +8.0 D | 1 | $12.4M Barrett R | Likely flip |
| New Hampshire 1st District | — | Stefany Shaheen D +8.5 | +8.5 D | 2 | $10.0M DiLorenzo R | Likely |
| Texas 2nd District | — | Steve Toth R +9.0 | -9.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $4.2M Finnie D | Likely |
| California 7th District | D | Doris Matsui D +10.0 | — | 1 | $9.7M Matsui D | Likely |
| California 22nd District | R | Randy Villegas D +10.0 | +10.0 D | 1 | $12.3M Valadao R | Likely flip |
| California 4th District | D | Eric Jones D +10.0 | — | 1 (1 partisan) | $23.5M Jones D | Likely |
| New Jersey 2nd District | R | Jeff Van Drew R +10.0 | -10.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.4M Drew R | Likely |
| Texas 15th District | R | Bobby Pulido D +10.0 | +10.0 D | 2 (1 partisan) | $13.6M Pulido D | Likely flip |
| Florida 21st District | R | Brian Mast R +11.0 | -11.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $5.9M Mast R | Likely |
| Montana 2nd District | R | Troy Downing R +11.0 | -11.0 R | 1 | $3.1M Downing R | Likely |
| California 6th District | I | Richard Pan D +12.0 | — | 1 | $6.3M Kiley I | Likely flip |
| Nebraska 2nd District | — | Denise Powell D +12.0 | +12.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $7.9M Powell D | Likely |
| North Carolina 11th District | — | Jamie Ager D +13.0 | +13.0 D | 1 | $6.3M Ager D | Likely |
| New Mexico 3rd District | D | Teresa Leger Fernandez D +14.0 | +14.0 D | 1 | $2.2M Fernandez D | Likely |
| Rhode Island 2nd District | D | Seth M. Magaziner D +14.5 | +14.5 D | 2 | $5.5M Mellor R | Likely |
| California 1st District | — | Mike McGuire D +15.0 | +15.0 D | 1 | $4.3M McGuire D | Safe |
| Idaho 2nd District | R | Mike Simpson R +15.0 | -15.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $1.4M Simpson R | Safe |
| New Hampshire 2nd District | D | Maggie Goodlander D +15.5 | +15.5 D | 2 | $6.5M Goodlander D | Safe |
| New York 18th District | D | Pat Ryan D +17.0 | +17.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $5.4M Ryan D | Safe |
| New York 23rd District | R | Nick Langworthy R +17.0 | -17.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $3.4M Langworthy R | Safe |
| New Mexico 1st District | D | Melanie Ann Stansbury D +18.0 | +18.0 D | 1 | $1.7M Stansbury D | Safe |
| California 40th District | R | — | — | 0 | $17.2M Kim R | No polls |
| Colorado 8th District | R | — | — | 0 | $16.7M Rutinel D | No polls |
| Florida 27th District | R | — | — | 0 | $4.1M Salazar R | No polls |
| Florida 22nd District | — | — | — | 0 | $12.0M Askar R | No polls |
| Florida 11th District | — | — | — | 0 | $5.5M Strada R | No polls |
| Florida 2nd District | — | — | — | 0 | $12.8M Gross R | No polls |
| Florida 8th District | R | — | — | 0 | $3.0M Haridopolos R | No polls |
| Georgia 11th District | — | — | — | 0 | $2.8M Cowan R | No polls |
| Idaho 1st District | R | Russ Fulcher R +26.0 | -26.0 R | 1 (1 partisan) | $1.4M Fulcher R | Safe |
| Illinois 4th District | — | — | — | 0 | $940k Garcia D | No polls |
| Iowa 1st District | R | — | — | 0 | $19.3M Bohannan D | No polls |
| Maine 1st District | D | Chellie Pingree D +33.0 | +33.0 D | 1 | $551k Pingree D | Safe |
| Maryland 1st District | R | — | — | 0 | $3.9M Harris R | No polls |
| Michigan 13th District | — | Donavan McKinney D +50.0 | +50.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $1.9M McKinney D | Safe |
| Michigan 4th District | R | — | — | 0 | $10.3M Huizenga R | No polls |
| Michigan 10th District | — | — | — | 0 | $7.0M Hines D | No polls |
| Minnesota 2nd District | — | — | — | 0 | $2.3M Little D | No polls |
| New Jersey 7th District | R | — | — | 0 | $14.9M Bennett D | No polls |
| North Carolina 7th District | R | — | — | 0 | $2.9M Rouzer R | No polls |
| North Carolina 3rd District | R | — | — | 0 | $3.3M Murphy R | No polls |
| Ohio 7th District | R | — | — | 0 | $7.0M Poindexter D | No polls |
| Rhode Island 1st District | D | Gabe Amo D +23.6 | +23.6 D | 2 | $2.0M Amo D | Safe |
| South Carolina 7th District | R | — | — | 0 | $2.6M Fry R | No polls |
| South Dakota 1st District | — | Marty Jackley R +27.8 | -27.8 R | 1 | — | Safe |
| Tennessee 9th District | — | — | — | 0 | $6.8M Pearson D | No polls |
| Texas 28th District | D | Henry Cuellar D +20.0 | +20.0 D | 1 (1 partisan) | $4.9M Cuellar D | Safe |
| Utah 4th District | R | — | — | 0 | $1.2M Kennedy R | No polls |
| Utah 3rd District | R | — | — | 0 | $1.7M Maloy R | No polls |
| Utah 1st District | — | — | — | 0 | $2.8M McAdams D | No polls |
| Vermont 1st District | — | Becca Balint D +26.4 | +26.4 D | 2 | — | Safe |
| Virginia 6th District | R | Ben Cline R +30.0 | -30.0 R | 1 | $4.8M Macy D | Safe |
Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.