House

Florida 13th District

Seat held by Republicans · incumbent Anna Paulina Luna R running · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsLeela Gray D +1.047% in the average of 1 pollster since Sep 20, 1 partisan-sponsored
Money$7.3Mraised by listed candidates; Anna Paulina Luna leads with $4.4M
Outside spending$3.7Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates
Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Leela GrayD47% (1)47%$2.9M$656k$133k / $1.5M
Anna Paulina Luna incumbentR46% (1)46%$4.4M$747k$301k / $1.8M

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 1 pollster since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 5 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Oct 15 from Oct 14Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC D-sponsored— LVLeela Gray D 47 · Anna Paulina Luna R 46+1.0
Aug 27 from Aug 25Hart Research Associates for House Majority PAC D-sponsored— LVLeela Gray D 44 · Anna Paulina Luna R 43 · Tony D’Arrigo I 7+1.0
Aug 27 from Aug 25Hart Research Associates for House Majority PAC D-sponsored— LVLeela Gray D 51 · Anna Paulina Luna R 46+5.0
Aug 6 from Aug 4Fabrizio, Lee & Associates R-sponsored400 LVAnna Paulina Luna R 49 · Leela Gray D 41-8.0
Aug 6 from Aug 4GQR D-sponsored500 LVAnna Paulina Luna R 47 · Leela Gray D 44 · Tony D’Arrigo I 4-3.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.

Meta in Florida: $4.8M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Florida: $164.0M lifetime · Snap targeted at Florida: $27k in 2026.

All house battlegrounds → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.