House

Texas 35th District

open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsJohnny Garcia D +1.048.3% in the average of 3 pollsters since Sep 20, 1 partisan-sponsored

Money$4.2Mraised by listed candidates; Johnny Garcia leads with $2.2M

Outside spending$10.5Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates

Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

Candidate	Party	Poll avg	Latest poll	Raised	Cash	Outside for / against
Johnny Garcia	D	48.3% (3)	47%	$2.2M	$150k	$5.4M / $228k
Carlos De La Cruz	R	47.3% (3)	48%	$2.0M	$313k	$4.7M / $157k

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 4 in the window

Field dates	Pollster	Sample	Result	D − R
Oct 19 from Oct 14	The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government	605 LV	Carlos De La Cruz R 48 · Johnny Garcia D 47	-1.0
Oct 14 from Oct 12	Emerson College for Poll Vault	417 LV	Johnny Garcia D 51 · Carlos De La Cruz R 49	+2.0
Oct 14 from Oct 12	Normington, Petts & Associates for House Majority PAC D-sponsored	— LV	Johnny Garcia D 47 · Carlos De La Cruz R 45	+2.0
Aug 31 from Aug 27	Normington, Petts & Associates for House Majority PAC D-sponsored	— LV	Carlos De La Cruz R 45 · Johnny Garcia D 44	-1.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

Platform	Advertiser	Tied to	Spend	Window
Google	JOHNNY GARCIA FOR CONGRESS	Johnny Garcia D	$99k	last 4 weeks

Meta in Texas: $10.1M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in this district: $4.2M lifetime under the current map · Google in Texas: $208.1M lifetime · Snap targeted at this district: $315 in 2026 · Snap targeted at Texas: $595k in 2026.

All house battlegrounds → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.