House

New Hampshire 1st District

open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsStefany Shaheen D +8.551% in the average of 2 pollsters since Sep 20
Money$10.0Mraised by listed candidates; Anthony DiLorenzo leads with $6.8M
Outside spending$6.3Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates
Implied ratingLikelyfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Stefany ShaheenD51% (2)56%$3.2M$271k$4.5M / $1.8M
Anthony DiLorenzoR42.5% (2)43%$6.8M$984k$4k / —

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 2 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 3 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Oct 31 from Oct 27University of New Hampshire1,029 LVStefany Shaheen D 56 · Anthony DiLorenzo R 43+13.0
Oct 20 from Oct 19St. Anselm861 LVStefany Shaheen D 46 · Anthony DiLorenzo R 42+4.0
Sep 21 from Sep 17University of New Hampshire707 LVStefany Shaheen D 46 · Anthony DiLorenzo R 42+4.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

PlatformAdvertiserTied toSpendWindow
GoogleAnthony DiLorenzo for CongressAnthony DiLorenzo R$104klast 4 weeks

Meta in New Hampshire: $1.1M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in this district: $13.5M lifetime under the current map · Google in New Hampshire: $31.9M lifetime · Snap targeted at New Hampshire: $101k in 2026.

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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.