Montana 2nd District
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Downing incumbent | R | 29% (1) | 29% | $2.7M | $747k | — |
| Brian Miller | D | 18% (1) | 18% | — | — | — |
| Michael Eisenhauer | I | 15% (1) | 15% | $354k | $23k | — |
| Patrick McCracken | L | 2% (1) | — | — | — | — |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 1 pollster since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 2 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 from Oct 5 | Montana State University Billings | 350 A | Troy Downing R 29 · Brian Miller D 18 · Michael Eisenhauer I 15 | -11.0 |
| Sep 7 from Aug 27 | Rutgers-Eagleton for Montana Free Press | — RV | Troy Downing R 48 · Brian Miller D 26 · Michael Eisenhauer I 9 | -22.0 |
Money
FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.
Meta in Montana: $359k Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Montana: $31.5M lifetime · Snap targeted at Montana: $8k in 2026.
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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.