Vermont 1st District
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becca Balint | D | 56.5% (2) | 43.28% | — | — | — |
| Gerald Malloy | R | 30.1% (2) | 28.3% | — | — | — |
| Suzanne Seymour | I | 1.5% (2) | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Ortiz | I | 0.7% (2) | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Walton | I | 0.3% (2) | — | — | — | — |
| Phoenix Altair | I | 0.1% (2) | — | — | — | — |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 2 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 5 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 from Sep 10 | Braun Research for Vermont Public Radio | 817 A | Becca Balint D 43.28 · Gerald Malloy R 28.3 · Suzanne Seymour I 1.94 | +15.0 |
| Sep 21 from Sep 10 | Braun Research for Vermont Public Radio | 732 LV | Becca Balint D 46.92 · Gerald Malloy R 30.25 · Suzanne Seymour I 1.9 | +16.7 |
| Sep 21 from Sep 17 | University of New Hampshire | 830 LV | Becca Balint D 66 · Gerald Malloy R 30 · Suzanne Seymour I 1 | +36.0 |
| Jul 20 from Jul 15 | University of New Hampshire | 948 LV | Becca Balint D 64 · Mark Coester R 25 · Adam Ortiz I 2 | +39.0 |
| Jul 20 from Jul 15 | University of New Hampshire | 949 LV | Becca Balint D 63 · Gerald Malloy R 25 · Adam Ortiz I 2 | +38.0 |
Money
No FEC committee matched the names in this race in the current snapshot.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.
Meta in Vermont: $114k Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Vermont: $3.0M lifetime · Snap targeted at Vermont: $13k in 2026.
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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.