House

Virginia 1st District

Seat held by Republicans · incumbent Robert Wittman R running · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsShannon Taylor D +2.048.3% in the average of 3 pollsters since Sep 20, 2 partisan-sponsored

Money$10.0Mraised by listed candidates; Robert Wittman leads with $5.4M

Outside spending$5.9Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates

Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

Candidate	Party	Poll avg	Latest poll	Raised	Cash	Outside for / against
Shannon Taylor	D	48.3% (3)	48%	$4.6M	$599k	$844k / —
Robert Wittman incumbent	R	46.3% (3)	47%	$5.4M	$797k	— / $5.1M

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 4 in the window

Field dates	Pollster	Sample	Result	D − R
Oct 25 from Oct 24	DCCC Targeting Team D-sponsored	478 LV	Shannon Taylor D 48 · Robert Wittman R 47	+1.0
Oct 22 from Oct 21	Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC D-sponsored	570 LV	Shannon Taylor D 47 · Robert Wittman R 46	+1.0
Sep 28 from Sep 23	The Washington Post/George Mason University Schar School of Policy and Government	609 LV	Shannon Taylor D 50 · Robert Wittman R 46	+4.0
Sep 17 from Sep 15	DCCC Targeting Team D-sponsored	519 LV	Robert Wittman R 47 · Shannon Taylor D 46	-1.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

Platform	Advertiser	Tied to	Spend	Window
Google	ROB WITTMAN FOR CONGRESS	Robert Wittman R	$152k	last 4 weeks

Meta in Virginia: $1.6M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in this district: $8.3M lifetime under the current map · Google in Virginia: $97.5M lifetime · Snap targeted at Virginia: $100k in 2026.

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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.