House

Virginia 2nd District

Seat held by Republicans · incumbent Jen Kiggans R running · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsElaine G. Luria D +3.046% in the average of 1 pollster since Sep 20

Money$15.6Mraised by listed candidates; Elaine G. Luria leads with $8.0M

Outside spending$6.5Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates

Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

Candidate	Party	Poll avg	Latest poll	Raised	Cash	Outside for / against
Elaine G. Luria	D	46% (1)	46%	$8.0M	$479k	$422k / $69k
Jen Kiggans incumbent	R	43% (1)	43%	$7.6M	$1.3M	$743k / $5.3M

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 1 pollster since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 2 in the window

Field dates	Pollster	Sample	Result	D − R
Oct 10 from Oct 1	Christopher Newport University	702 LV	Elaine G. Luria D 46 · Jen Kiggans R 43	+3.0
Jul 13 from Jul 9	Tulchin Research for House Majority PAC D-sponsored	700 LV	Jen Kiggans R 47 · Elaine G. Luria D 47	0.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

Platform	Advertiser	Tied to	Spend	Window
Google	KIGGANS FOR CONGRESS	Jen Kiggans R	$151k	last 4 weeks
Google	ELAINE LURIA FOR CONGRESS	Elaine G. Luria D	$117k	last 4 weeks

Meta in Virginia: $1.6M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in this district: $11.2M lifetime under the current map · Google in Virginia: $97.5M lifetime · Snap targeted at Virginia: $100k in 2026.

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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.