House

Florida 7th District

open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsRyan Elijah R 0.045% in the average of 1 pollster since Sep 20, 1 partisan-sponsored

Money$3.2Mraised by listed candidates; Bale Dalton leads with $2.3M

Outside spending$1.4Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates

Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

Candidate	Party	Poll avg	Latest poll	Raised	Cash	Outside for / against
Bale Dalton	D	45% (1)	45%	$2.3M	$202k	$1.4M / —
Ryan Elijah	R	45% (1)	45%	$818k	$173k	— / $857

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 1 pollster since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 1 in the window

Field dates	Pollster	Sample	Result	D − R
Oct 19 from Oct 17	DCCC Targeting Team D-sponsored	414 LV	Ryan Elijah R 45 · Bale Dalton D 45	0.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

Platform	Advertiser	Tied to	Spend	Window
Google	FRIENDS OF ELIJAH NORTON	Ryan Elijah R	$130k	last 4 weeks
Google	NRCC & RYAN ELIJAH FOR CONGRESS	Ryan Elijah R	$118k	last 4 weeks

Meta in Florida: $4.8M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Florida: $164.0M lifetime · Snap targeted at Florida: $27k in 2026.

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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.