Kentucky 6th District
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Dembo | D | 46% (5) | 47% | $3.2M | $620k | $589k / $40k |
| Ralph Alvarado | R | 40.2% (5) | 41% | $2.3M | $181k | $205k / $480k |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 5 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 8 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 from Oct 19 | Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC D-sponsored | — LV | Zach Dembo D 47 · Ralph Alvarado R 41 | +6.0 |
| Oct 5 from Oct 2 | DCCC Targeting Team D-sponsored | 606 LV | Zach Dembo D 46 · Ralph Alvarado R 40 · Jay Bowman I 5 | +6.0 |
| Oct 5 from Sep 29 | Change Research for Kentuckians Not Corruption D-sponsored | 524 LV | Zach Dembo D 47 · Ralph Alvarado R 38 | +9.0 |
| Oct 4 from Sep 30 | Lake Research Partners for House Majority PAC D-sponsored | 400 LV | Zach Dembo D 48 · Ralph Alvarado R 45 | +3.0 |
| Oct 4 from Sep 30 | Lake Research Partners for House Majority PAC D-sponsored | 400 LV | Zach Dembo D 46 · Ralph Alvarado R 40 · Jay Bowman I 3 | +6.0 |
| Sep 30 from Sep 25 | GQR D-sponsored | 401 LV | Zach Dembo D 42 · Ralph Alvarado R 37 | +5.0 |
| Aug 23 from Aug 17 | Lake Research Partners for House Majority PAC D-sponsored | — LV | Zach Dembo D 45 · Ralph Alvarado R 44 | +1.0 |
| Jul 30 from Jul 29 | DCCC Targeting Team D-sponsored | 474 LV | Zach Dembo D 47 · Ralph Alvarado R 47 | 0.0 |
Money
FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZACH DEMBO FOR CONGRESS | Zach Dembo D | $131k | last 4 weeks |
Meta in Kentucky: $706k Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in this district: $4.5M lifetime under the current map · Google in Kentucky: $30.7M lifetime · Snap targeted at Kentucky: $14k in 2026.
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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.