House

Nebraska 2nd District

open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsDenise Powell D +12.050% in the average of 1 pollster since Sep 20, 1 partisan-sponsored
Money$7.9Mraised by listed candidates; Denise Powell leads with $5.1M
Outside spending$11.8Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates
Implied ratingLikelyfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Denise PowellD50% (1)50%$5.1M$480k$6.2M / $2.8M
Brinker HardingR38% (1)38%$2.9M$313k— / $2.8M
Eric Michael ForemanL6% (1)6%———

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 1 pollster since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 2 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Oct 5 from Oct 2National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored377 LVDenise Powell D 50 · Brinker Harding R 38 · Eric Michael Foreman L 6+12.0
Sep 13 from Sep 8SurveyUSA for Grant Forbes, LLC182 LVDenise Powell D 46 · Brinker Harding R 42+4.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.

Meta in Nebraska: $742k Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in this district: $12.9M lifetime under the current map · Google in Nebraska: $24.7M lifetime · Snap targeted at Nebraska: $57k in 2026.

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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.