Pennsylvania 1st District
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bob Harvie | D | 47.1% (2) | 48.26% | $3.2M | $409k | $104k / $21k |
| Brian Fitzpatrick incumbent | R | 45.9% (2) | 45.83% | $8.0M | $709k | $46 / $846k |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 2 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 5 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 from Oct 16 | The New York Times/Siena University for The Philadelphia Inquirer | 400 LV | Bob Harvie D 48.26 · Brian Fitzpatrick R 45.83 | +2.4 |
| Oct 8 from Oct 1 | Global Strategy Group D-sponsored | 1,032 LV | Brian Fitzpatrick R 46 · Bob Harvie D 46 | 0.0 |
| Sep 14 from Sep 11 | Public Opinion Strategies for NRCC R-sponsored | 400 RV | Brian Fitzpatrick R 51 · Bob Harvie D 42 | -9.0 |
| Aug 23 from Aug 19 | GQR for House Majority PAC D-sponsored | 400 LV | Brian Fitzpatrick R 49 · Bob Harvie D 48 | -1.0 |
| Aug 9 from Aug 5 | Global Strategy Group D-sponsored | 500 LV | Brian Fitzpatrick R 47 · Bob Harvie D 43 | -4.0 |
Money
FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRIAN FITZPATRICK FOR ALL OF US | Brian Fitzpatrick R | $161k | last 4 weeks | |
| Snap | Brian Fitzpatrick for All of Us 3 ads | Brian Fitzpatrick R | $4k | 2026 to date |
Meta in Pennsylvania: $2.3M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in this district: $12.4M lifetime under the current map · Google in Pennsylvania: $223.3M lifetime · Snap targeted at Pennsylvania: $55k in 2026.
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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.