New York 21st District
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Constantino | R | 45.3% (3) | 46% | $17.1M | $2.3M | — / $176k |
| Blake Gendebien | D | 45% (3) | 44% | $7.7M | $364k | $125k / $80k |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 7 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13 from Oct 12 | Public Policy Polling for House Majority PAC D-sponsored | — LV | Anthony Constantino R 46 · Blake Gendebien D 44 | -2.0 |
| Oct 6 from Sep 30 | Siena University for Times Union | WAMC | WPTZ-NBC5 | 496 LV | Blake Gendebien D 46 · Anthony Constantino R 42 · Chris Schmidt I 5 | +4.0 |
| Oct 4 from Sep 29 | Impact Research D-sponsored | 500 LV | Anthony Constantino R 48 · Blake Gendebien D 45 | -3.0 |
| Sep 10 from Sep 9 | Public Policy Polling for The Bench D-sponsored | 557 RV | Anthony Constantino R 48 · Blake Gendebien D 43 | -5.0 |
| Sep 2 from Aug 30 | Impact Research D-sponsored | 500 LV | Anthony Constantino R 47 · Blake Gendebien D 44 | -3.0 |
| Aug 17 from Aug 15 | J.L. Partners | 500 LV | Anthony Constantino R 53 · Blake Gendebien D 40 | -13.0 |
| Aug 8 from Aug 4 | SurveyUSA for WNYT-TV Albany | 612 LV | Blake Gendebien D 43 · Anthony Constantino R 39 · Chris Schmidt I 5 | +4.0 |
Money
FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONSTANTINO FOR CONGRESS | Anthony Constantino R | $133k | last 4 weeks |
Meta in New York: $3.6M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in New York: $108.0M lifetime · Snap targeted at New York: $222k in 2026.
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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.