Senate

Colorado Senate

Seat held by Democrats · incumbent John Hickenlooper D running · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsJohn Hickenlooper D +18.055.3% in the average of 3 pollsters since Sep 20, 1 partisan-sponsored

Money$11.8Mraised by listed candidates; John Hickenlooper leads with $11.7M

Outside spending$1.0Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates

Implied ratingSafefrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

Candidate	Party	Poll avg	Latest poll	Raised	Cash	Outside for / against
John Hickenlooper incumbent	D	55.3% (3)	57%	$11.7M	$1.6M	$1.0M / —
Mark Baisley	R	37.3% (3)	35%	$138k	$28k	—

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 3 in the window

Field dates	Pollster	Sample	Result	D − R
Nov 2 from Oct 31	Research Co.	450 LV	John Hickenlooper D 57 · Mark Baisley R 35	+22.0
Oct 20 from Oct 9	YouGov for University of Colorado American Politics Research Lab	710 LV	John Hickenlooper D 57 · Mark Baisley R 39	+18.0
Sep 30 from Sep 16	Lake Research Partners for Ballot Initiative Strategy Center O-sponsored	600 RV	John Hickenlooper D 52 · Mark Baisley R 38	+14.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

Platform	Advertiser	Tied to	Spend	Window
Google	Hickenlooper for Colorado	John Hickenlooper D	$217k	last 4 weeks
Snap	Hickenlooper for Colorado 47 ads	John Hickenlooper D	$83k	2026 to date

Meta in Colorado: $1.9M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Colorado: $62.0M lifetime · Snap targeted at Colorado: $104k in 2026.

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Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.