Iowa Senate
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Turek | D | 46.9% (8) | 50.5% | $24.3M | $3.1M | $19.7M / $14.5M |
| Ashley Hinson | R | 46.8% (8) | 46.4% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Laehn | L | 3.9% (4) | — | $84k | $9k | — |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 38 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 from Oct 28 | AtlasIntel | 1,219 LV | Josh Turek D 50.5 · Ashley Hinson R 46.4 | +4.1 |
| Nov 1 from Oct 26 | The New York Times/Siena University | 705 LV | Josh Turek D 47.6 · Ashley Hinson R 46.9 | +0.7 |
| Oct 31 from Oct 28 | GrayHouse | 601 LV | Ashley Hinson R 48 · Josh Turek D 46 · Thomas Laehn L 2 | -2.0 |
| Oct 29 from Oct 26 | YouGov | 2,016 LV | Josh Turek D 50 · Ashley Hinson R 49 | +1.0 |
| Oct 28 | co/efficient | 1,020 LV | Ashley Hinson R 48 · Josh Turek D 46 | -2.0 |
| Oct 28 | co/efficient | 1,020 LV | Ashley Hinson R 48 · Josh Turek D 46 · Thomas Laehn L 1 | -2.0 |
| Oct 23 from Oct 16 | Echelon Insights | 403 LV | Josh Turek D 45 · Ashley Hinson R 43 · Thomas Laehn L 7 | +2.0 |
| Oct 22 from Oct 21 | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 LV | Ashley Hinson R 47 · Josh Turek D 45.5 · Thomas Laehn L 3.1 | -1.5 |
| Oct 19 from Oct 15 | co/efficient | 863 LV | Ashley Hinson R 48 · Josh Turek D 45 · Thomas Laehn L 2 | -3.0 |
| Oct 15 from Oct 13 | Trafalgar Group R-sponsored | 1,094 LV | Ashley Hinson R 45.9 · Josh Turek D 44.2 · Thomas Laehn L 3.5 | -1.7 |
| Oct 13 from Oct 9 | New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group for Cook Political Report | 602 LV | Josh Turek D 46 · Ashley Hinson R 44 · Thomas Laehn L 8 | +2.0 |
| Oct 12 from Oct 8 | National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored | 678 LV | Ashley Hinson R 48 · Josh Turek D 47 | -1.0 |
| Oct 12 from Oct 8 | National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored | 678 LV | Ashley Hinson R 47 · Josh Turek D 44 · Thomas Laehn L 4 | -3.0 |
| Oct 12 from Oct 6 | YouGov | 2,245 LV | Josh Turek D 47 · Ashley Hinson R 46 | +1.0 |
| Oct 11 from Oct 8 | Marist University | 1,100 RV | Josh Turek D 51 · Ashley Hinson R 44 | +7.0 |
Money
FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta | The Truth About Josh Turek paid for by SLF PAC | Josh Turek D | $157k | Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 |
| Meta | Josh Turek paid for by Josh Turek for Iowa | Josh Turek D | $72k | Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 |
| Josh Turek for Iowa | Josh Turek D | $2.1M | last 4 weeks | |
| TEAM HINSON | Ashley Hinson R | $268k | last 4 weeks |
Meta in Iowa: $2.8M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Iowa: $85.5M lifetime · Snap targeted at Iowa: $922k in 2026.
All senate races → · The races hub → · JSON
Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.