Senate

Illinois Senate

Seat held by Democrats · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsJuliana Stratton D +12.052.5% in the average of 3 pollsters since Sep 20

Money$12.1Mraised by listed candidates; Juliana Stratton leads with $7.2M

Outside spending$39.1Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates

Implied ratingLikelyfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

Candidate	Party	Poll avg	Latest poll	Raised	Cash	Outside for / against
Juliana Stratton	D	52.5% (3)	53%	$7.2M	$1.5M	$18.2M / $21.0M
Don Tracy	R	40.5% (3)	41%	$4.9M	$483k	—

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 3 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 4 in the window

Field dates	Pollster	Sample	Result	D − R
Nov 2 from Oct 31	Research Co.	450 LV	Juliana Stratton D 53 · Don Tracy R 41	+12.0
Oct 30 from Oct 21	ActiVote	400 LV	Juliana Stratton D 55.6 · Don Tracy R 44.4	+11.2
Oct 20 from Sep 26	ActiVote	400 LV	Juliana Stratton D 58.5 · Don Tracy R 41.5	+17.0
Oct 1 from Sep 30	Public Policy Polling for Chicago News Weekly	569 RV	Juliana Stratton D 49 · Don Tracy R 36	+13.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

Platform	Advertiser	Tied to	Spend	Window
Google	DON TRACY FOR ILLINOIS, NFP	Don Tracy R	$249k	last 4 weeks

Meta in Illinois: $1.9M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Illinois: $77.8M lifetime · Snap targeted at Illinois: $383k in 2026.

All senate races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.