Senate

Louisiana Senate

Seat held by Republicans · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsJulia Letlow R 0.046% in the average of 2 pollsters since Sep 20, 2 partisan-sponsored

Money$12.1Mraised by listed candidates; Julia Letlow leads with $7.1M

Outside spending$44.8Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates

Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

Candidate	Party	Poll avg	Latest poll	Raised	Cash	Outside for / against
Julia Letlow	R	46% (2)	47%	$7.1M	$443k	$23.1M / $21.7M
Jamie Davis	D	46% (2)	47%	$5.0M	$1.3M	—

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 2 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 4 in the window

Field dates	Pollster	Sample	Result	D − R
Oct 31 from Oct 29	Lincoln Park Strategies for Louisiana Democratic Party D-sponsored	— LV	Julia Letlow R 47 · Jamie Davis D 47	0.0
Oct 29 from Oct 28	Hart Research Associates D-sponsored	502 LV	Julia Letlow R 45 · Jamie Davis D 45	0.0
Sep 19 from Sep 17	Hart Research Associates D-sponsored	500 LV	Julia Letlow R 48 · Jamie Davis D 44	-4.0
Jul 22 from Jul 21	Public Policy Polling D-sponsored	518 RV	Julia Letlow R 41 · Jamie Davis D 37	-4.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

No advertiser on either platform names a candidate in this race.

Meta in Louisiana: $551k Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Louisiana: $12.0M lifetime · Snap targeted at Louisiana: $11k in 2026.

All senate races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.