Michigan Senate
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | D | 50.7% (8) | 51% | $53.8M | $2.7M | $5.9M / $42.2M |
| Mike Rogers | R | 45.3% (8) | 49% | $23.0M | $3.9M | $27.9M / $23.4M |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 64 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 from Oct 31 | John Zogby Strategies | 1,001 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 51 · Mike Rogers R 49 | +2.0 |
| Nov 1 | Emerson College for Poll Vault | 500 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 51.2 · Mike Rogers R 45.2 · Lydia Christensen L 3.2 | +6.0 |
| Nov 1 from Oct 30 | Concord Public Opinion Partners for Education Reform Now Advocacy D-sponsored | 510 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 51 · Mike Rogers R 41 | +10.0 |
| Nov 1 from Oct 28 | AtlasIntel | 1,316 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 53.5 · Mike Rogers R 46.4 | +7.1 |
| Nov 1 from Oct 31 | Trafalgar Group R-sponsored | 1,087 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 47.1 · Mike Rogers R 45.9 · Lydia Christensen L 1.5 | +1.2 |
| Nov 1 from Oct 30 | Research Co. | 450 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 48 · Mike Rogers R 46 | +2.0 |
| Nov 1 from Oct 23 | The New York Times/Siena University | 1,011 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 52.6 · Mike Rogers R 41.6 | +11.0 |
| Oct 29 from Oct 26 | YouGov | 2,088 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 51 · Mike Rogers R 47 | +4.0 |
| Oct 27 from Oct 20 | CNN/SSRS | 768 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 49 · Mike Rogers R 42 · Neither 5 | +7.0 |
| Oct 27 from Oct 26 | Mitchell Research & Communications for CBS Detroit | 636 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 51 · Mike Rogers R 44 · Walter Kristy 1 | +7.0 |
| Oct 25 from Oct 23 | Data for Progress | 622 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 50 · Mike Rogers R 46 · Timothy Long 1 | +4.0 |
| Oct 25 from Oct 24 | Upswing Research for Demand Justice D-sponsored | 505 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 50 · Mike Rogers R 45 | +5.0 |
| Oct 23 from Oct 8 | Michigan State University Office for Survey Research/Verasight | 1,383 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 51.4 · Mike Rogers R 42.2 | +9.2 |
| Oct 22 from Oct 19 | Glengariff Group, Inc. for Detroit News | WDIV-TV | 600 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 51.4 · Mike Rogers R 45.1 | +6.3 |
| Oct 22 from Oct 21 | InsiderAdvantage | 1,200 LV | Abdul El-Sayed D 47.2 · Mike Rogers R 46 · Walter Kristy 1.4 | +1.2 |
Money
FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 22, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta | Abdul El-Sayed paid for by Abdul for U.S. Senate | Abdul El-Sayed D | $1.1M | Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 |
| Meta | Democrats for Rogers paid for by Together for Michigan | Mike Rogers R | $124k | Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 |
| Meta | Abdul El-Sayed is Dangerous paid for by SLF PAC | Abdul El-Sayed D | $85k | Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 |
| ROGERS FOR SENATE | Mike Rogers R | $547k | last 4 weeks |
Meta in Michigan: $5.8M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Michigan: $215.3M lifetime · Snap targeted at Michigan: $435k in 2026.
All senate races → · The races hub → · JSON
Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.