North Carolina Senate
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Cooper | D | 54.2% (8) | 56.4% | $49.6M | $9.1M | $1.1M / $4.7M |
| Michael Whatley | R | 42.3% (8) | 41.5% | $13.7M | $902k | $10.1M / $17.8M |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 43 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 from Oct 28 | AtlasIntel | 1,459 LV | Roy Cooper D 56.4 · Michael Whatley R 41.5 | +14.9 |
| Oct 29 from Oct 26 | East Carolina University Center for Survey Research | 1,041 LV | Roy Cooper D 54 · Michael Whatley R 44.9 · Shannon Bray L 0.8 | +9.1 |
| Oct 29 from Oct 26 | YouGov | 2,123 LV | Roy Cooper D 55 · Michael Whatley R 44 | +11.0 |
| Oct 25 from Oct 24 | Quantus Insights | 722 LV | Roy Cooper D 51.7 · Michael Whatley R 42.9 | +8.8 |
| Oct 25 from Oct 24 | Quantus Insights | 722 LV | Roy Cooper D 52.4 · Michael Whatley R 43.4 · Shannon Bray L 1.2 | +9.0 |
| Oct 20 from Oct 1 | High Point University | 620 LV | Roy Cooper D 54 · Michael Whatley R 40 · Shannon Bray L 2 | +14.0 |
| Oct 20 from Oct 18 | Harper Polling for Carolina Journal | 600 LV | Roy Cooper D 51.6 · Michael Whatley R 42 | +9.6 |
| Oct 20 from Oct 18 | Harper Polling for Carolina Journal | 600 LV | Roy Cooper D 49.4 · Michael Whatley R 39.1 · Shannon Bray L 2.9 | +10.3 |
| Oct 20 from Oct 8 | ActiVote | 400 LV | Roy Cooper D 56.9 · Michael Whatley R 43.1 | +13.8 |
| Oct 11 from Oct 7 | SurveyUSA for WRAL News | WSOC-TV | 643 LV | Roy Cooper D 54 · Michael Whatley R 40 | +14.0 |
| Oct 10 from Oct 8 | Trafalgar Group R-sponsored | 1,091 LV | Roy Cooper D 48.8 · Michael Whatley R 40.9 · Michael Dublin G 2 | +7.9 |
| Oct 8 from Sep 29 | YouGov for Elon University | 747 A | Roy Cooper D 53 · Michael Whatley R 38 · Shannon Bray L 2 | +15.0 |
| Oct 8 from Sep 29 | YouGov for Elon University | 676 RV | Roy Cooper D 51 · Michael Whatley R 42 · Shannon Bray L 2 | +9.0 |
| Oct 8 from Sep 29 | YouGov for Elon University | 560 LV | Roy Cooper D 54 · Michael Whatley R 43 · Shannon Bray L 2 | +11.0 |
| Oct 7 from Oct 1 | Change Research for Carolina Forward D-sponsored | 829 LV | Roy Cooper D 50 · Michael Whatley R 40 · Shannon Bray L 2 | +10.0 |
Money
FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COOPER FOR NORTH CAROLINA | Roy Cooper D | $571k | last 4 weeks | |
| Snap | Roy Cooper for North Carolina 8 ads | Roy Cooper D | $10k | 2026 to date |
Meta in North Carolina: $2.2M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in North Carolina: $134.0M lifetime · Snap targeted at North Carolina: $219k in 2026.
All senate races → · The races hub → · JSON
Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.