Senate

South Carolina Senate

Seat held by Republicans · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsDarline Graham R +0.746.1% in the average of 8 pollsters since Sep 20, 3 partisan-sponsored
Money$26.2Mraised by listed candidates; Annie Andrews leads with $24.2M
Outside spending$5.7Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates
Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Darline GrahamR46.1% (8)47.5%$1.9M$634k$5.3M / $100k
Annie AndrewsD45.4% (8)45.5%$24.2M$1.7M$39k / $282k
Kasie WhitenerL1.8% (6)—$28k$6k—
Mark Hackett1.6% (6)————

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 24 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Nov 1 from Oct 31Trafalgar Group R-sponsored1,091 LVDarline Graham R 47.5 · Annie Andrews D 45.5 · Kasie Whitener L 1.8-2.0
Oct 29 from Oct 27Patinkin Research Strategies for Voices of the Electorate PAC D-sponsored500 LVAnnie Andrews D 48 · Darline Graham R 43 · Kasie Whitener L 3+5.0
Oct 26 from Oct 19The New York Times/Siena University707 LVDarline Graham R 48.47 · Annie Andrews D 47.76-0.7
Oct 25 from Oct 14The Citadel Poll1,009 RVAnnie Andrews D 40 · Darline Graham R 34 · Ralph Norman R 3+6.0
Oct 25 from Oct 14The Citadel Poll890 LVDarline Graham R 42 · Annie Andrews D 39 · Ralph Norman R 2-3.0
Oct 25 from Oct 16Targoz Market Research for South Carolina Policy Council895 LVDarline Graham R 47 · Annie Andrews D 46 · Kasie Whitener L 2-1.0
Oct 24 from Oct 19East Carolina University Center for Survey Research955 LVDarline Graham R 51.2 · Annie Andrews D 47.3 · Mark Hackett 0.7-3.9
Oct 21 from Oct 15Impact Research for Fresh Start SC PAC D-sponsored800 LVAnnie Andrews D 45 · Darline Graham R 44+1.0
Oct 18 from Oct 16Trafalgar Group R-sponsored1,095 LVDarline Graham R 48.6 · Annie Andrews D 45.6 · Kasie Whitener L 3.9-3.0
Sep 29 from Sep 28InsiderAdvantage1,200 LVDarline Graham R 46 · Annie Andrews D 45 · Mark Hackett 3-1.0
Sep 25 from Sep 23Trafalgar Group R-sponsored1,087 LVDarline Graham R 43.4 · Annie Andrews D 42.3-1.1
Sep 9 from Sep 8InsiderAdvantage1,200 LVDarline Graham R 45.1 · Annie Andrews D 43.2-1.9
Aug 28 from Aug 26Abacus Data306 LVDarline Graham R 51 · Annie Andrews D 38-13.0
Aug 28 from Aug 26Abacus Data500 RVAnnie Andrews D 34 · Darline Graham R 340.0
Aug 24 from Aug 18Impact Research D-sponsored700 LVDarline Graham R 41 · Annie Andrews D 41 · Kasie Whitener L 50.0

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

PlatformAdvertiserTied toSpendWindow
MetaDr. Annie Andrews paid for by DR. ANNIE ANDREWS FOR SENATEAnnie Andrews D$182kOct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026
GoogleDR ANNIE ANDREWS FOR SENATEAnnie Andrews D$580klast 4 weeks
GoogleDR. ANNIE ANDREWS FOR SENATEAnnie Andrews D$232klast 4 weeks

Meta in South Carolina: $1.1M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in South Carolina: $41.8M lifetime · Snap targeted at South Carolina: $26k in 2026.

All senate races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.