Tennessee Governor
Candidates
| Candidate | Party | Poll avg | Latest poll | Raised | Cash | Outside for / against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn | R | 48.8% (2) | 54% | — | — | — |
| Jerri Green | D | 33.5% (2) | 35% | — | — | — |
| David Hatley | I | 9.5% (2) | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lauren Pinkston | I | 1.2% (2) | — | — | — | — |
Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 2 pollsters since 2026-09-20.
Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.
Polls 5 in the window
| Field dates | Pollster | Sample | Result | D − R |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 from Oct 24 | Targoz Market Research | 718 LV | Marsha Blackburn R 54 · Jerri Green D 35 · David Hatley I 7 | -19.0 |
| Oct 16 from Oct 10 | Spry Strategies | 635 LV | Marsha Blackburn R 43.5 · Jerri Green D 32 · David Hatley I 11.9 | -11.5 |
| Sep 12 from Sep 9 | TargetSmart for The Progress Fund PAC D-sponsored | 600 LV | Marsha Blackburn R 45 · Jerri Green D 36 · David Hatley I 10 | -9.0 |
| Aug 26 from Aug 15 | Targoz Market Research for Beacon Center | 601 LV | Marsha Blackburn R 55 · Jerri Green D 34 · Generic Candidate I 7 | -21.0 |
| Aug 26 from Aug 15 | Targoz Market Research for Beacon Center | 1,149 RV | Marsha Blackburn R 46 · Jerri Green D 33 · Generic Candidate I 8 | -13.0 |
Money
Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.
Platform ad spend
Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.
| Platform | Advertiser | Tied to | Spend | Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David E. Hatley | David Hatley I | $239k | last 4 weeks |
Meta in Tennessee: $952k Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Tennessee: $25.1M lifetime · Snap targeted at Tennessee: $6k in 2026.
All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON
Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.