Governor

Texas Governor

Seat held by Republicans · open seat · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsGreg Abbott R +1.549.1% in the average of 8 pollsters since Sep 20
Money—no federal feed for governors
Outside spending—
Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Greg AbbottR49.1% (8)46%———
Gina HinojosaD47.6% (8)44%———
Pat DixonL1.4% (4)————

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 57 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Nov 2 from Oct 31Research Co.450 LVGreg Abbott R 46 · Gina Hinojosa D 44 · Pat Dixon L 2-2.0
Nov 1 from Oct 31Emerson College for Poll Vault500 LVGreg Abbott R 49.7 · Gina Hinojosa D 48.9 · Pat Dixon L 1.4-0.8
Nov 1 from Oct 28AtlasIntel1,678 AGina Hinojosa D 49.2 · Greg Abbott R 47.6+1.6
Nov 1 from Oct 27The New York Times/Siena University1,215 LVGina Hinojosa D 48.1 · Greg Abbott R 46.6+1.5
Nov 1 from Oct 27The New York Times/Siena University1,215 RVGina Hinojosa D 49.3 · Greg Abbott R 43.1+6.2
Oct 30 from Oct 27Kreate Strategies900 LVGreg Abbott R 49 · Gina Hinojosa D 47 · Pat Dixon L 1-2.0
Oct 29 from Oct 26YouGov2,139 LVGreg Abbott R 50 · Gina Hinojosa D 49-1.0
Oct 29 from Oct 23ActiVote400 LVGreg Abbott R 52.1 · Gina Hinojosa D 47.9-4.2
Oct 28 from Oct 26Quantus Insights1,214 LVGreg Abbott R 51.6 · Gina Hinojosa D 46.3 · Pat Dixon L 1.2-5.3
Oct 27 from Oct 20CNN/SSRS923 LVGreg Abbott R 48 · Gina Hinojosa D 46 · Neither 4-2.0
Oct 26 from Oct 23Data for Progress712 LVGreg Abbott R 48 · Gina Hinojosa D 47 · Pat Dixon L 2-1.0
Oct 26 from Oct 21YouGov Blue for 254 Labs1,000 RVGina Hinojosa D 50 · Greg Abbott R 46+4.0
Oct 26 from Oct 21YouGov Blue for 254 Labs1,000 LVGina Hinojosa D 49 · Greg Abbott R 46+3.0
Oct 25 from Oct 21Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center2,000 LVGreg Abbott R 50 · Gina Hinojosa D 47 · Pat Dixon L 2-3.0
Oct 21 from Oct 13YouGov for Univision1,000 RVGreg Abbott R 48 · Gina Hinojosa D 46-2.0

Money

Governors are regulated by state campaign-finance law. There is no federal feed for them, so this page carries no money figures for governor races rather than a partial or scraped set.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

PlatformAdvertiserTied toSpendWindow
MetaGreg Abbott paid for by Texans for Greg AbbottGreg Abbott R$436kOct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026
MetaRep. Gina Hinojosa paid for by Gina Hinojosa CampaignGina Hinojosa D$329kOct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026
GoogleTEXANS FOR GREG ABBOTTGreg Abbott R$5.2Mlast 4 weeks
GoogleGINA HINOJOSA CAMPAIGNGina Hinojosa D$1.3Mlast 4 weeks

Meta in Texas: $10.1M Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Texas: $208.1M lifetime · Snap targeted at Texas: $595k in 2026.

All governor races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.