Senate

Nebraska Senate

Seat held by Republicans · incumbent Pete Ricketts R running · Election Day was November 3, 2026. The polls shown are the final pre-election field.

PollsPete Ricketts R +0.747.5% in the average of 8 pollsters since Sep 20, 4 partisan-sponsored
Money$25.6Mraised by listed candidates; Pete Ricketts leads with $14.5M
Outside spending$6.1Mindependent expenditures for and against the listed candidates
Implied ratingToss-upfrom the poll leader's margin over the runner-up

Candidates

CandidatePartyPoll avgLatest pollRaisedCashOutside for / against
Pete Ricketts incumbentR47.5% (8)50%$14.5M$1.2M$1.6M / $1k
Dan OsbornI46.8% (8)46%$11.0M$2.0M$142k / $4.3M

Unweighted mean of the latest general-election poll from each of 8 pollsters since 2026-09-20.

Tracking the poll average daily since November 3, 2026; a chart appears after three days.

Polls 22 in the window

Field datesPollsterSampleResultD − R
Nov 1 from Oct 29GrayHouse534 LVPete Ricketts R 50 · Dan Osborn I 46 · Chuck Conboy 1—
Oct 29 from Oct 25National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored800 LVPete Ricketts R 49 · Dan Osborn I 48—
Oct 29 from Oct 25National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored800 LVPete Ricketts R 48 · Dan Osborn I 45 · Mike Marvin 2—
Oct 29 from Oct 26YouGov1,974 LVDan Osborn I 49 · Pete Ricketts R 49—
Oct 29 from Oct 23The New York Times/Siena University809 LVPete Ricketts R 48.7 · Dan Osborn I 43.01—
Oct 23 from Oct 16Echelon Insights for NetChoice407 LVPete Ricketts R 47 · Dan Osborn I 46 · Robin Richards 2—
Oct 22 from Oct 18GBAO for Working Class Majority PAC I-sponsored800 LVDan Osborn I 46 · Pete Ricketts R 45—
Oct 20 from Oct 14Impact Research D-sponsored600 LVPete Ricketts R 50 · Dan Osborn I 48—
Oct 20 from Oct 14Impact Research D-sponsored600 LVPete Ricketts R 49 · Dan Osborn I 47—
Oct 18 from Oct 15Concord Public Opinion Partners for Education Reform Now Advocacy D-sponsored500 LVDan Osborn I 48 · Pete Ricketts R 41—
Oct 18 from Oct 15National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored598 LVPete Ricketts R 50 · Dan Osborn I 47—
Oct 18 from Oct 15National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored598 LVPete Ricketts R 46 · Dan Osborn I 43 · Chuck Conboy 2—
Oct 5 from Oct 2National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored800 LVPete Ricketts R 49 · Dan Osborn I 46—
Oct 5 from Oct 2National Public Affairs for God, Family, & Country PAC R-sponsored800 LVPete Ricketts R 46 · Dan Osborn I 43 · Chuck Conboy 2—
Oct 3 from Sep 24YouGov1,808 LVDan Osborn I 48 · Pete Ricketts R 47—

Money

FEC candidate committee totals for the 2026 cycle, through October 14, 2026. Outside for / against is Schedule E independent spending by other committees to support or oppose the candidate. Each figure links to the candidate's FEC page.

Platform ad spend

Meta's Ad Library Report, Google's Ads Transparency Center and Snap's political-ads library. An advertiser is tied to a candidate only when its name carries the candidate's surname together with this state or the candidate's full name; outside groups that do not name a candidate appear in the state and district totals, not here.

PlatformAdvertiserTied toSpendWindow
MetaDemocrat Dan Osborn paid for by SLF PACDan Osborn I$86kOct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026

Meta in Nebraska: $742k Oct 25, 2026 - Oct 31, 2026 · Google in Nebraska: $24.7M lifetime · Snap targeted at Nebraska: $57k in 2026.

All senate races → · The races hub → · JSON

Polls: PollResults.org (New York Times poll data), CC BY 4.0 (1,579 poll questions in the window). Money: FEC candidate totals and Schedule E independent-expenditure totals for the 2026 cycle. Platform ad spend: Meta Ad Library Report (U.S., 7-day preset, read from the report page), Google Ads Transparency Center CSV bundle and Snap political ads library, via Corvus Intel. Snapshot 2026-11-04 00:20 UTC, refreshed every six hours. No model wrote these figures, and no prediction-market price is used. Read how we work, or see the Politics desk for the analysis built on top of them. JSON.