Belarus: Belarus 24

Broadcasts covered (21)

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# TODAY'S MEDIA TRENDS BELARUSTV


A U G U S T 6,2026


T H E G D E L T P R O J E C T


# TODAY'S MEDIA TRENDS


BELARUSTV


A U G U S T 6,2026


BELARUS NAVIGATES A DUAL
CRISIS OF RECORD-BREAKING
CLIMATE ANOMALIES AND
ESCALATING REGIONAL
MILITARIZATION WHILE
AGGRESSIVELY PIVOTING TOWARD TECHNOLOGICAL SOVEREIGNTY AND NON-WESTERN STRATEGIC


# DAY-AT-A-GLANCE


Domestic reporting on August 6,2026,is dominated by a Red Level weather emergency as temperatures across Belarus reach historic peaks of 35-40°C.This extreme climate event is being leveraged by the state to demonstrate the resilience of the agricultural sector and the necessity of technological sovereignty,specifically highlighting climate-controlled domestic harvesting machinery and the reliability of the Ostrovets Nuclear Power Plant (NPP)as a cornerstone of national energy security.The harvest,described as a "labor front,"has already surpassed 5.2million tons of grain,with the state promoting a narrative of "food security"in direct contrast to a portrayed failing agricultural sector in Western


Geopolitically,the state is framing the regional environment as increasingly hostile and revisionist.The 81st anniversary of the Hiroshima bombing is utilized to accuse Japan and the United Nations of "silence"regarding U.S.culpability,while simultaneously reporting on Latvian military mobilization on the Belarusian border as a dangerous escalation.In response to Western sanctions and border closures,Belarus is signaling a profound strategic reorientation toward the "Global Majority,"deepening industrial and diplomatic ties with Algeria,Uzbekistan,Nicaragua,and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU),while characterizing the European Union as a dysfunctional entity plagued by internal debt crises and industrial


# MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS


# Extreme Heat Emergency and Agricultural Resilience:•


A "Red Level"hazard is in effect as
temperatures hit 40degrees Celsius in the Gomel region,leading to record electricity consumption and infrastructure strain.
◦


The harvest progress has reached 5.29
million tons,with state media emphasizing that domestic machinery with advanced climate control allows for uninterrupted labor despite the heat.
◦


Agricultural specialists report that the
heat has reduced crop moisture,allowing for resource savings on grain drying.
◦


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# Escalation on the Latvian Border:•


Latvia is reportedly considering deploying its army to the border with Belarus,citing a lack of border guard personnel to handle the migration crisis.◦


Minsk characterizes these moves,along
with recent technical shutdowns of border crossings,as clear provocations and escalation from Riga.
◦


# Strategic Reorientation to the "Global South":•


President Lukashenko held high-level
talks with the Algerian Foreign Minister,emphasizing that Belarus can provide "absolutely everything"Algeria needs,specifically in agriculture and food processing.
◦


Belarus is expanding its "multi-brand"
industrial centers in Russia,with a new hub opening in Voronezh to supply domestic machinery directly to Russian farmers.
◦


A new cooperation agreement was
signed with Nicaragua for the exchange of information and combating "fake news."
◦


# Expansion of Nuclear Energy Ambitions:•


Energy officials confirm that the Ostrovets NPP now provides 40%of the nation's electricity,having generated 53billion kilowatt-hours since inception.◦


Discussions are officially underway
regarding the construction of either a third power block or a second entire NPP to meet the surge in demand from industrial electrification and electric vehicle growth.
◦


# Crackdown on Cyber-Financial Crime:•


State security services are waging an
intensive campaign against "drophood"—the use of money mules to move illicit funds—reporting that over one million dollars has been processed through these networks.
◦


A major operation led to the arrest of
administrators of four "narkoshops"and foreign nationals involved in psychotropic distribution.
◦


# KEY GOVERNANCE TOPICS


Armed Conflict &Militarization:The 150th anniversary of the Railway Troops highlights their evolving role,incorporating lessons from the war in Ukraine regarding logistics dispersal and rapid infrastructure repair.The mobilization of Latvian troops is framed as the primary regional security threat triggering


Climate &Extreme Weather:Recordbreaking temperatures are treated as a matter of national survival.Authorities have transitioned emergency services to 24/7operation and implemented cyclic road watering to prevent pavement deformation.The heat is being used as a backdrop to prove the superiority of the Belarusian development


Energy &Critical Infrastructure:The state is aggressively promoting the "Peaceful Atom"as the solution to energy volatility.The growth of 65,000electric vehicles and 175,000homes switching to electric heating underscores a massive structural energy transition.Plans for 18,500km of new power lines by 2030signal significant infrastructure


Diplomacy &Statecraft:Belarus is positioning itself as a leader of the "Coalition


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of Peace,"contrasted against the West's focus on weaponizing Ukraine.High-level engagement with the EAEU and individual North African/Middle Eastern states suggests an attempt to build an alternative economic bloc insulated from G7


Food &Water Security:Belarusian grain self-sufficiency is reported at 140%,with media highlighting that 99%of the population has access to a healthy diet.This is explicitly contrasted with reports of water rationing and crop failures in Poland and


Tech Sovereignty &AI:The government is pushing for the rapid adoption of AI in strategic analysis and state administration,while simultaneously warning of the "generational gap"in digital literacy.Digital government services via the "E-posluga"portal reached 173million services in 2025,with projections for 220million in


# DEEP DIVE:TRENDS AND THEMES


The Weaponization of History:A recurring theme is the deliberate use of historical anniversaries to reinforce contemporary political alignments.The Hiroshima coverage is not merely commemorative but serves to paint the "Collective West"as inherently deceptive and dangerous.Similarly,the investigation into the "genocide of the Belarusian people"by the Polish Armia Krajowa serves to delegitimize modern Polish statehood and its current border policies by labeling them successors to historical war


Technological Nationalism:The state is fostering a deep narrative link between domestic manufacturing and personal dignity.The emphasis on Gomselmash and MAZ


machinery providing "comfort"(air conditioning,refrigerators)to workers during a heatwave that is supposedly crippling European competitors is a cornerstone of domestic psychological operations.This trend extends to the nuclear sector,where Belarusian scientists and engineers are portrayed as elite members of a global nuclear club,proof of the nation's "high-tech"


Digital Frontier Conflict:There is an emerging internal tension regarding digitalization.While the state pushes for digital identity (ID cards,e-signatures),it is also sounding the alarm on the "gray zone"of social media,where "drophood"and "infoattacks"by "bad guys"threaten social order.The call for stricter blogosphere regulation and mandatory registration for high-reach accounts indicates an impending crackdown on digital


# INTERNAL DYNAMICS &DOMESTIC INSTABILITY


Elite Discipline and Anti-Corruption:
President Lukashenko has issued stern warnings against "lies"and "falsification"in reporting,particularly within the agricultural sector.The state is emphasizing "iron discipline"as the only alternative to the collapse seen in the late Soviet period.
•


Labor Mobilization:The influx of 60,000
young specialists into the workforce,particularly in rural areas,is a critical state priority.Mandatory 2-year service for stateeducated graduates is framed as a "sacred debt"to the soil,though the need for material bonuses and housing highlights the difficulty of retaining talent in the face of urbanization.
•


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Generational Ruptures:The "100
Questions for an Adult"segment featuring Archpriest Fyodor Povny highlights a disconnect between the state-sanctioned spiritual-moral values and the secular,digital-first reality of Belarusian youth.The discussion of "shame"in speaking about faith suggests a perceived cultural erosion among the younger generation.
•


# EXTERNAL DYNAMICS &GLOBAL POSTURE


The "Fortress Belarus"Narrative:The outside world,particularly the West,is framed as a "hostile threat matrix."Reports emphasize the U.S.deployment of B-61-12nuclear bombs to the UK and Latvian border provocations as evidence that Belarus must remain in a state of constant military and psychological mobilization.•


Pivot to the Global Majority:Minsk is
actively marketing itself as a technological hub for countries seeking to avoid Western dependencies.The relationship with Algeria is a pilot for a broader African strategy,while the "Slavic Caravan"railway project to Uzbekistan demonstrates the effort to secure sanctions-resistant logistics.
•


Eurasian Integration:The EAEU
Intergovernmental Council meeting in Kyrgyzstan focuses on the "four freedoms"of movement (goods,services,capital,labor).Belarus is pushing for deeper industrial cooperation to replace Western imports,particularly in high-speed rail components and agricultural tech.
•


# THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT


The Belarusian economy is in a phase of aggressive electrification and state-led


industrial expansion,shielded by deep integration with Russia.Key indicators show a surge in energy demand,a record-breaking harvest pace,and a strategic shift in retail toward "new format"state-aligned stores.However,the external environment remains characterized by high-stakes trade disputes,notably Poland's 1.5billion euro debt crisis with Pfizer and the decline of the European auto industry under the weight of Chinese competition and high energy


# Key Economic Vectors:•


Energy Consumption:Domestic
electricity demand rose by 3%in 2026,reaching over 43billion kWh.
◦


Agriculture:Expected harvest of 11
million tons;current pace is 2million tons ahead of 2025levels.
◦


Trade Relations:Belarus-China trade
reached 8.8billion USD in 2025,with a 30%growth rate in early 2026.
◦


Lending:Consumer debt load remains
low at 27%,but the state has increased the debt limit to 40%for domestic goods to stimulate internal consumption.
◦


Industrial Shifts:The "Great Stone"Industrial Park aims for 12,000employees and 270residents by 2030.◦


# LEADERSHIP CHANGES


The day's broadcasts focused on the consolidation of ideological and managerial control through new appointments and the reinforcement of existing leadership


Sergei Uldinovich:Appointed as the new
forestry official with the explicit mandate to overcome "natural elements"and the failures of his predecessor in managing forest resources.
•


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Igor Luchenok (Posthumous legacy):
The focus on the late composer's "Anthem of Minsk"serves to anchor national identity in traditional cultural figures rather than modern Western-influenced trends.
•


Archpriest Fyodor Povny:Positioned as
the spiritual architect of the state,bridging the gap between historical trauma (Soviet repression)and modern national survival.
•


Young Mechanical Specialists:A broad factional "win"for the Ministry of Education,which is being praised for record enrollment in agricultural specialties (up 350seats,zero vacancies).•


# EDITORIAL POSTURE &STORY HIERARCHY


Lead Stories:The heatwave and the "Heroic Harvest"receive the most airtime,framed as a national struggle against nature.This is followed closely by Latvian border escalation and the Hiroshima anniversary,both presented with high urgency to justify a defensive and anti-Western


Buried Stories:The actual number of illegal migrants entering Spain was minimized (reported as 60,000while journalists claim 100,000).Internal Russian domestic issues were ignored,focusing instead on joint industrial successes.The specific details of "drophood"arrests suggest a larger domestic crime problem that is being downplayed as "external


Conspicuous Omissions:There was no mention of the potential for water shortages within Belarus despite the 11cm/day drop in river levels,only how it affects neighboring Poland.The state also omitted any critical discussion of the long-term environmental impacts of a second nuclear


# GEOPOLITICAL FRAMING


The media portrays a bipolar world where the West is chaotic,revisionist,and declining,while the East/Global South is stable,cooperative,and technologically


# COUNTRIES •


Latvia:Portrayed as a weak,inept,and
aggressive neighbor that is "incapable of managing its own borders"and relies on Estonian/Finnish handouts while provoking war.
◦


Poland:Framed as a corrupt and
hypocritical actor,currently at odds with the EU over "vaccine debt"and facing agricultural collapse due to mismanagement.
◦


Japan:Characterized as a subservient
and amnesiac nation that "omits"the name of its own nuclear attacker to please Washington.
◦


Algeria/Uzbekistan:Portrayed as
strong,sovereign,and principled partners who recognize the value of Belarusian technology.
◦


# LEADERS •


Ursula von der Leyen:Explicitly
accused of corruption and nepotism regarding the Pfizer contract,and hypocrisy for turning off air conditioning for lower-level staff while keeping her own suite cool.
◦


Alexander Lukashenko:Framed as a stable,far-sighted,and fatherly figure who "personally supervises every grain"and "refuses to lie"to his people.◦


Emmanuel Macron:Portrayed as inept
and detached,"fleeing from his own people"while France burns from forest fires.
◦


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# INFORMATION WARFARE ENVIRONMENT


Historical Revisionism Counter-
Campaign:State media is aggressively seeding a meta-narrative that the West is rewriting WWII history.The focus on Armia Krajowa atrocities is a direct psychological operation to justify current border militarization to the Belarusian public.
•


"Fake News"Deterrence:The Nicaragua
agreement and the warning that "every post is tracked"by the Ministry of Internal Affairs are aimed at domestic suppression of descent.The narrative delta is clear:domestic "information security"is portrayed as protection,while Western media is portrayed as "bad guys"spreading viruses.
•


The "Comfortable Collective"Psy-Op:
By showing harvest crews eating ice cream in air-conditioned cabins while European farmers go bankrupt,the state is conducting a high-frequency psychological operation to ensure labor loyalty during extreme hardship.
•


# HYPOTHESES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK


Border Kinetic Events:Given the rhetoric
surrounding Latvian military mobilization and "technical failures"at crossings,there is a high probability of a localized kinetic skirmish or a total border closure within the next month,which Minsk will frame as Western aggression.
•


Nuclear Expansion Acceleration:The
public vetting of a second NPP or third block suggests that a formal contract with Rosatom is imminent,likely to be announced during a major 2027anniversary.
•


Agricultural Export Surge:If Belarus hits
its 11-million-ton target while EU yields drop 20-30%due to heat,Minsk will use "food diplomacy"to aggressively gain market share in North Africa and the Middle East,bypassing sanctions.
•


# STRATEGIC FORESIGHT


Short Term (1-4Weeks):Expect emergency allocations for grid reinforcement as the heatwave persists.Continued arrests in the "drophood"sector will be publicized to instill digital fear.Tensions on the Latvian border will remain at maximum diplomatic


Medium Term (1-6Months):Belarus will likely sign definitive trade agreements with Algeria and Saudi Arabia,shifting its export dependence away from traditional European markets.The launch of the new ID-card/Esignature mandates will formalize state digital


Long Term (1-5Years):The structural shift to an all-electric industrial and residential base powered by nuclear energy will make Belarus an outlier in regional energy policy,potentially creating a new export hub for clean power to friendly neighboring Russian


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# RISK ASSESSMENT


Infrastructure Stress Collapse:
Sustained 40°C heat may lead to critical failures in transformer stations or rail deformation.Triggers:Another 7-10days of record heat without precipitation.Likelihood:High.Impact:Severe regional outages and harvest disruption.Mitigations:Currently deploying mobile cooling and cyclic road watering.
•


Latvian Border Flashpoint:Military
mobilization near the border increases the risk of miscalculation.Triggers:A Latvian army attempt to forcibly push back migrants into Belarusian territory.Likelihood:Medium-High.Impact:Diplomatic rupture or localized fire exchange.Mitigations:High-level EAEU diplomatic pressure and Railway Troop mobilization.
•


Agricultural Labor Shortage:Despite the
5.2M tons,the reliance on mandatory youth service is a fragility.Triggers:Widespread specialist burnout or mechanical failures in aging non-domestic fleets.Likelihood:Medium.Impact:Failure to reach the 11M ton grain target.Mitigations:350-seat increase in agri-tech education.
•


Digital Sovereignty Contagion:Cyber-
scams and "drophood"could erode public trust in new digital state platforms.Triggers:A major breach of the E-posluga portal.Likelihood:Low-Medium.Impact:Derailment of the 2030digital government goals.Mitigations:Criminalizing drophood and AI-driven fact-checking.
•


Energy Supply Bottleneck:Rapid
electrification could outpace the grid's transmission capacity.Triggers:Delays in the 18,500km power line project.Likelihood:Medium.Impact:Industrial rationing despite nuclear surplus.Mitigations:Industrial energy storage systems development.
•


# GAPS &BLIND SPOTS


Domestic Water Security:While
reporting on Polish rivers drying up,there is zero data on Belarusian groundwater levels or reservoir longevity under current heat conditions.
•


Nuclear Waste Logistics:Extensive talk
of a second NPP lacks any detail on longterm radioactive waste storage or the geopolitical risks of dependence on Russian fuel reprocessing.
•


Youth Sentiment:The "success"of
agricultural enrollment does not account for the dropout rate or the number of youth planning to emigrate after their mandatory service.
•


EAEU Enforcement:The "four freedoms"
are presented as reality,but the transcripts fail to address ongoing non-tariff barriers and trade disputes between EAEU member states.
•


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# CONTRARIAN NARRATIVE SCENARIOS


The Nuclear Mirage:The talk of a second
NPP might not be a sign of strength,but a desperate stalling tactic to secure more Russian credit.With river levels dropping 11cm a day,the cooling requirements for a massive expansion of nuclear capacity may become environmentally impossible,leading to a future energy stranded asset.
•


Latvian "Aggression"as Internal
Diversion:The emphasis on Latvian mobilization could be a pre-emptive narrative shield for an upcoming internal crackdown or to distract from the reality that Belarusian border guards are unable to control migration flows.
•


Black Swan Event:A sudden,recordbreaking storm ("Haboob"or massive hail)following the extreme heat could destroy the unharvested 50%of crops in a single day,turning a record harvest into a national famine risk and triggering civil unrest among the agricultural labor force.•


# RECOMMENDATIONS &IMPLICATIONS


# For Statecraft/Public Sector:


Prioritize the modernization of power
transformers to handle the 40°C thermal load and surging EV demand.
•


Accelerate diplomatic outreach to the
African Union,using the Algeria model to secure agricultural export off-take agreements.
•


Implement mandatory heat-safety protocols for the 60,000incoming specialists to prevent a public health crisis.•


# For Private Sector/Investors:


Opportunities in cold-chain logistics and
energy storage are significant,as the state pivots toward nuclear-backed electrification.
•


Exporters should prepare for total border
closures to the West;focus on the "Slavic Caravan"rail routes to Central Asia.
•


Strict compliance with new digital signature (E-signature)and data tracking laws is now a prerequisite for operating in the Belarusian digital market.•


# LEGISLATIVE ROUNDUP


Legislation this week focuses on the formalization of digital identity,the regulation of the border zone,and the enforcement of the state's historical narrative through legal


# BILLS DISCUSSED/DEBATED:•


Law on State Dactyloscopic
Registration:Expands the types of identity documents (student cards,disability cards)accepted in border zones to simplify movement while maintaining security.
◦


Decree on Administrative Procedures
(E-posluga):Mandates the expansion of 798digital services and formalizes IDcard integration for all citizens.
◦


Criminal Code Amendments (Anti-
Drophood):Belarus becomes one of the first in the world to criminalize the act of being a "drop"or "drop-provider."
◦


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HEARINGS &PRESS EVENTS:•


Minister of Education Press Briefing:
Confirmed 100%university enrollment and the mandatory placement of all graduates.
◦


EAEU Intergovernmental Council
(Kyrgyzstan):High-level meetings to coordinate sanctions-evasion strategies and industrial standards.
◦


Hiroshima Memorial Statements:Officials utilized the event to critique Japanese and UN diplomatic postures.◦


# KEY STORIES


Red Level Heat Hazard:Temperatures
reach 40°C in Gomel;authorities warn of extreme fire risks and grid strain.
•


The 5.2Million Ton Milestone:Belarus
surpasses 5.2million tons of grain;state praises climate-controlled domestic combines.
•


Latvian Border Crisis:Riga moves to
deploy army to the border;Minsk calls it a dangerous escalation.
•


Belarus-Algeria Strategic Summit:
President Lukashenko meets Foreign Minister Attaf to discuss agricultural machinery exports.
•


NPP Expansion Debate:Energy Ministry
discusses building a second NPP or a third block to meet 43billion kWh demand.
•


150th Anniversary of Railway Troops:
Celebration of the unit's history and its role in modern sanctions-resistant logistics.
•


Hiroshima Anniversary Critique:
Belarusian state media blasts Japan and the UN for not naming the U.S.as the atomic bomber.
•


Operation "Anti-Drop":MVD arrests
major money-mule network responsible for moving over $1M in illicit funds.
•


Armia Krajowa Genocide Investigation:
Prosecutor General's office reveals 3,000new facts of mass murder by Polish units in WWII.
•


EAEU Intergovernmental Council:
Prime Minister Golovchenko meets in Kyrgyzstan to discuss the "four freedoms"of the Eurasian market.
•


Voronezh Multi-brand Center:Opening of a massive Belarusian machinery hub in Russia to facilitate direct agricultural sales.•


Digital Government Portal Growth:"E-
posluga"reports 110million services provided so far in 2026,aiming for 220million.
•


Nicaragua Information Agreement:
New deal to collaborate on "bi-lateral information security"and journalism workshops.
•


European Auto Crisis:Analysis of how
Chinese EVs and high energy prices are "destroying"legendary German and Italian brands.
•


Spain Migration Explosion:
60,000-100,000migrants cross from Morocco;Spain threatens to leave the Schengen zone.
•


Poland vs.Pfizer:Warsaw refuses to pay 1.5billion euro debt for unused COVID vaccines;legal battle escalates in Brussels.•


Minsk Triathlete Record:83-year-old
Victor Nefedov leads the most senior team in the history of the Minsk Triathlon.
•


Ostrovets Town Transformation:
Reporting on how the NPP turned a small town of 8,000into a high-tech hub of 20,000.
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EV Infrastructure Milestone:Belarus
reports 65,000electric vehicles now on the road,supported by the national grid.
•


Forestry Leadership Change:Sergei
Uldinovich takes over the forestry ministry to battle pests and climate impacts.
•


Saudi Arabia-Belarus Direct Flights:Announcement of new aviation links to boost economic cooperation and tourism.•


Mount Elbrus Military Ascent:
Belarusian special forces complete a highaltitude climb alongside Russian and Iranian troops.
•


Film "1991"Production:Belarusian
cinema begins shooting a detective thriller about the collapse of the Soviet Union.
•


Uzbekistan Railway Corridor:The first
"Slavic Caravan"freight train arrives in Uzbekistan from Belarus.
•


Zubryonok Youth Camp:International
children from Vietnam,Laos,and India arrive for state-sponsored "peace and friendship"camps.
•


Grodno Synagogue Restoration:Focus
on the restoration of one of Europe's oldest synagogues as a symbol of cultural tolerance.
•


Uha Fest Gastronomy:Regional festival
in Vileyka promoting traditional Belarusian fish soup and rural tourism.
•


Railway Logistics Expansion:Belarusian
and Russian rail companies sign a deal for new high-speed rail components.
•


Vozrozhdeniye A-V (Austro-Hungary)
Analysis:Political segment debating the potential "re-birth"of Central European blocs against Brussels.
•


Belarusian Linen Export Success:Orsha
Linen Mill reports $100M in exports to 40countries,including the EU despite sanctions.
•


School Nutrition Reform:New 2026
mandates for "second breakfasts"and trade-automats with healthy domestic snacks in schools.
•


# ABOUT THIS REPORT


Today's Media Trends is a public interest experiment in applying deep thematic trend analysis to television news coverage from around the world to explore how responsibly applied advanced AI can help journalists and scholars better understand the overarching trends,themes and patterns of our global


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Each morning,in collaboration with the Internet Archive's TV News Archive,we apply Google's Gemini 3to deeply examine yesterday's coverage from each television news channel to tease out the overarching themes and trends of its news coverage into a richly annotated thematic analysis.Each highlevel insight is connected back to the original broadcast,allowing journalists and scholars to understand the dominate themes and trends and instantly click out to the underlying sources for


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This report is entirely machine generated using Gemini 3and may include errors and omissions.Please verify all findings.No data is used to train or tune any AI


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