Belarus: Belarus 24

Broadcasts covered (27)

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# TODAY'S MEDIA TRENDS BELARUSTV


A U G U S T 13,2026


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# TODAY'S MEDIA TRENDS


BELARUSTV


A U G U S T 13,2026


BELARUS CONSOLIDATES
DOMESTIC STABILITY THROUGH
AGRICULTURAL MOBILIZATION AND ELITE EDUCATION WHILE FRAMING WESTERN SYSTEMS AS FAILING
UNDER THE WEIGHT OF CLIMATIC
AND GEOPOLITICAL


# DAY-AT-A-GLANCE


August 13,2026,was defined by a massive domestic mobilization in Belarus,centered on the "Battle for the Harvest"and a strategic pivot toward long-term human capital development.President Alexander Lukashenko personally intervened in the agricultural sector,rewarding top-performing farmers with automobiles in the field to emphasize the existential importance of food security amid a global grain shortage rewarded them right in the field.This domestic focus is coupled with the announcement of the "Academy of Intellectual Technologies,"a new elite university designed to secure Belarus's "intellectual sovereignty"and ensure the economy of the future is led by a domestic intellectual elite creating a fundamentally new educational environment.The state is successfully leveraging these


domestic successes to project a narrative of stability and foresight,contrasting sharply with the chaotic external environment portrayed in state


Externally,Belarusian state media is weaponizing reports of an unprecedented heatwave and energy crisis in the European Union to illustrate the failure of "Green Energy"and Western infrastructure.The shutdown of nuclear reactors in Romania and Hungary due to drought and cooling failures is framed as the beginning of a terminal European energy collapse shutdown the second and last reactor of the Cernavoda NPP.Simultaneously,the broadcast highlights a deepening rift in the United States,citing surveys that suggest a majority of Americans no longer believe in the "American Dream"or the survival of the U.S.as a unified state 38%do not believe that the states will exist for another 250years.This framing positions Belarus as a disciplined,agrarian,and technologically emerging fortress in a world of mounting


Geopolitically,Belarus continues its aggressive "pivot to the East,"specifically targeting Central Asia.The signing of a "Roadmap"between the Grodno and Samarkand regions of Uzbekistan signals a shift toward direct regional cooperation and bypasses centralized bureaucracies to facilitate the export of Belarusian meat and dairy to the rapidly growing Uzbek market signed a roadmap for cooperation.Meanwhile,Belarusian diplomats are managing several regional crises,including a fatal bus crash in Georgia involving Belarusian tourists and a high-stakes search and rescue operation for missing climbers in Kyrgyzstan search for three missing climbers


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# MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS


Agricultural Mobilization:The national
harvest has surpassed 7million tons,with the Minsk region alone contributing over 2million tons.The state has framed the harvest as a "peaceful front"essential for national survival exceeded seven million thousand tons.
•


Elite Educational Reform:Lukashenko
approved the creation of the Academy of Intellectual Technologies,specifically aimed at identifying and training "talented children"into an intellectual class to manage the high-tech economy Academy of Intellectual Technologies was the topic.
•


European Energy Crisis:Extreme
drought has led to the emergency shutdown of critical infrastructure in the EU,including Romanian nuclear power units,which is being used to validate the Belarusian model of traditional and diversified energy Romanian NPP Cernavoda stopped.
•


Central Asian Strategic Pivot:Belarus
and Uzbekistan are formalizing deep economic ties,with a focus on Samarkand as a gateway for Belarusian food exports population of Uzbekistan is growing every year.
•


Crypto-Corruption Crackdown:The
General Prosecutor's Office has moved to trial a high-profile bribery case involving an agricultural executive receiving payments in cryptocurrency to secure meat supplies Beef for crypto.
•


# KEY GOVERNANCE TOPICS


Armed Conflict &Militarization:While the domestic focus is on agriculture,military readiness remains a high-priority subtext.


Special Operations Forces from Belarus are currently engaged in the Summit of Brotherhood 2026exercises in Kazakhstan,focusing on destroying illegal armed groups in mountainous terrain participating in the joint special tactical training.This serves as both a training exercise and a demonstration of collective security within the CSTO framework.Domestically,there is a push to utilize military discipline for civilian purposes,with suggestions that "lazy"citizens or those avoiding work be sent for military training to instill social responsibility physical activity,zero alcohol,and a healthy collective.


Energy &Critical Infrastructure:Belarus is emphasizing the success of its hydroelectric cascade on the Western Dvina.The Vitebsk and Polotsk stations are highlighted as providing clean,reliable energy that saves the country millions $\mathrm{o f}$cubic meters of natural gas annually saves about 32-33million cubic meters of natural gas per year.In contrast,the European energy system is portrayed as fragile,with Romania's Cernavoda NPP and Hungary's Paks NPP suffering from cooling water shortages caused by the Danube's record-low levels level of the Danube dropped to a record low.


Food &Water Security:Food security is being elevated to a primary national security metric.The government is monitoring the "Battle for the Harvest"on a per-grain basis,with a total target of 11.5million tons for the year plan to reach 11.5million tons.The state is also promoting innovative protein sources,such as cricket-based protein,as a scientific solution to global hunger,though leaders emphasize their personal preference for traditional Belarusian cuisine protein from crickets in the food industry.


Geopolitical Competition &Bloc Politics:The narrative focuses on the fracturing of


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the West and the consolidation of the Global South.Transcripts highlight the refusal of Donald Trump to provide further Patriot missile systems to Ukraine,citing U.S.domestic needs and the conflict with Iran Trump suggested a refusal to supply missiles for Patriot systems.Belarus frames its role as a "humanitarian platform,"facilitating prisoner exchanges between Russia and Ukraine while strengthening its own ties with the SCO and BRICS members through industrial exhibitions like Innoprom planned to be signed this fall in


# DEEP DIVE:TRENDS AND THEMES


The Secular Sanctification of Labor:There is a profound thematic emphasis on physical labor as the foundation of national morality.The "Harvest Battle"is not just an economic activity but a spiritual defense of the country.Lukashenko's personal presence in the fields,awarding cars to combine operators,elevates the farmer to the status of a national hero,eclipsing the traditional focus on urban professionals for each true worker in Belarus,such a minute of fame is always possible.This trend serves to reinforce the social contract:the state provides stability and rewards,while the citizen provides disciplined


Technological Sovereignty and the "Intellectual Elite":Recognizing that agriculture alone cannot sustain a modern state,the leadership is pivoting toward a highly centralized "Smart State"model.The creation of the Academy of Intellectual Technologies suggests an intent to bypass traditional educational structures in favor of a fast-tracked,multidisciplinary environment integrated with the military and industrial sectors formation of the economy of the future


is impossible without the advanced development of the higher education system.This is coupled with the rapid integration of AI into urban management,transport,and even environmental monitoring neural networks compose transport schedules and recognize voices of


The Narrative of Western Obsolescence:A consistent theme is the physical and moral decay of the West.Whether it is the melting infrastructure in Spain,the energy shortages in Romania,or the "epidemic of drug addiction"and "gerontocracy"in the U.S.,the external world is depicted as a landscape of ruin U.S.political system is compared to a jammed mechanism.This narrative is designed to suppress domestic dissent by suggesting that any alternative to the current Belarusian path leads to the chaos seen in the EU and


# INTERNAL DYNAMICS &DOMESTIC INSTABILITY


Elite Consolidation and Succession Planning:The focus on "intellectual elites"and the Academy of Sciences indicates a longterm strategy to build a technocratic class loyal to the state.Lukashenko's discussions about the "model of development"being currently dependent on his personal leadership,and the need for a system that can survive beyond him,suggests an active effort toward institutionalization to prevent a power vacuum in the future system is not only personified,but also


Anti-Corruption and Digital Accountability:The exposure of a cryptobribery case in the agricultural sector reveals that corruption remains a risk to the state's food security goals.The state is responding by increasing digital transparency in


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procurement and utilizing $\mathrm{A I}$to monitor financial flows,signaling to the bureaucracy that traditional methods of graft are becoming easier to detect the main step towards transparency,towards efficiency.


Social Pressures and the "Lazy"Class:There is a visible tension regarding labor participation.The state is targeting "loafers"(lodari)and those with alcohol problems,threatening them with compulsory militarystyle work details to ensure they contribute to the national harvest check you at another job.This suggests that despite the rhetoric of unity,the state is still struggling with a segment of the population that is disengaged or economically unproductive.


# EXTERNAL DYNAMICS &GLOBAL POSTURE


Strategic Positioning in the Global South:Belarus is positioning itself as a key industrial and humanitarian hub for the Global South.The invitation of children from Laos,Myanmar,and Vietnam for vacations in Belarus is a form of soft power diplomacy aimed at building long-term ties with future leaders in Southeast Asia Children from Laos,Myanmar and Vietnam are vacationing.The state is also focusing on record-breaking exports to Israel and growing industrial partnerships with China in the Great Stone Industrial Park Great Stone Industrial Park's revenue exceeded half billion dollars.


Antagonism with Baltic Neighbors:Relations with Latvia,Lithuania,and Estonia are portrayed as being at an all-time low,defined by what state media calls "linguistic genocide"and discrimination against Russian-speaking populations nationalist sentiments of those at the helm.Belarus is actively documenting these perceived abuses


to build a legal and moral case against the Baltic states in international forums legal war,yes,it is a tool.


# THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT


The Belarusian economy is currently in a state of hyper-mobilization for the harvest,which is viewed as the primary defense against global economic instability.The state is reporting strong growth in agricultural production and a significant increase in industrial localization.


Agricultural Output:7.165million tons of
grain and rapeseed harvested as of August 12,a 1.5million ton increase over the previous year more than one and a half million more than last year.
•


Trade Breakthroughs:Exports to Israel
are projected to reach $180million by the end of 2026,a 600%increase driven by agricultural equipment and food export will grow by almost 600%.
•


Industrial Growth:Great Stone Industrial
Park revenue reached $500million,with plans to triple the workforce by 2030revenue exceeded half billion dollars last year.
•


Import Substitution:Demand for
domestically produced press-balers is at 300units per year;the goal is to produce at least 50units annually to reduce dependence on Western parts need almost 300such machines a year.
•


Labor Indicators:Over 47,000students
admitted to universities,with a heavy emphasis on state-funded spots for technical and pedagogical specialties almost 47,000people became students.
•


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# LEADERSHIP CHANGES


The primary leadership focus is on the cultivation of a new generation of elites through the Academy of Intellectual Technologies and the institutionalization of the current regime's ideology.


E.Buloychik (Football Federation):
Setting goals for international reintegration and long-term participation in the 2030World Cup goals:the return of all international matches to Belarus.
•


Pavel (Agricultural Hero):Appointed by
Lukashenko to lead a new "School of Leaders"for young harvesters in the Minsk region lead this school of leaders in the Minsk region.
•


Natalia Asmant,Vladimir Pertsof,
Alexander Vatkov:Promoted as the team of authors for the new English-language book "Our President,"aimed at shaping the international narrative of the Lukashenko administration presented the new edition to the heads of diplomatic missions.
•


# EDITORIAL POSTURE &STORY HIERARCHY


The lead stories were overwhelmingly domestic:Lukashenko in the wheat fields,the success of the grain harvest,and the visionary creation of the Academy of Intellectual Technologies.These stories occupied the majority of airtime and were presented with a triumphant,nationalistic tone.The secondary stories focused on the external "threat matrix"—the energy crisis in the EU,the instability of the U.S.,and the humanitarian disasters in Georgia and Kyrgyzstan.Buried stories included the Russia-Ukraine prisoner exchange,which was mentioned only briefly as a humanitarian gesture,and the details of


$\mathrm{U.S.}$


domestic inflation,which were minimized by focusing on the "traditional"nature of tax adjustments amounts are adjusted only by the amount of inflation.A conspicuous omission was any detailed reporting on the military situation in Ukraine,other than to frame it as a conflict the West is increasingly tired of funding.


# GEOPOLITICAL FRAMING


The day's broadcast presents a world divided between a decaying,irrational West and a stable,developing,and interconnected Global South/East.


Belarus:Framed as a stable,agrarian,and
high-tech "Social Fortress."Lukashenko is portrayed as a "Leader in the Economy"and a "Supreme Commander"who "marvelously manages"to prevent war Alexander Grigoryevich is marvelously managing.
•


USA:Depicted as a failing gerontocracy.
"70%of Americans no longer consider their country the greatest"70%of the U.S.population considers the American dream an irrelevant narrative.
•


European Union:Framed as a zone of
climatic and energy failure."The heatwave is comparable to a national strike"one day of abnormal heat is comparable to half a day of a national strike.
•


Uzbekistan:Portrayed as a "promising
market"and a strategic brotherly nation population is growing...big interest in this direction.
•


Israel:Framed as a "special market"that
Belarusian manufacturers have "conquered"despite geopolitical risks Israeli market is very special...once you win it,you won't want to leave.
•


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# INFORMATION WARFARE ENVIRONMENT


The state is actively shaping a "MetaNarrative of Resilience"to counter external pressures.Key tactics include:


Narrative Seeding:Promoting the idea of
"Linguistic Genocide"in the Baltics to justify future diplomatic or economic retaliations on the verge of genocide.
•


Psy-Ops against the West:Extensive
coverage of the solar eclipse in Spain and Iceland is juxtaposed with reports of forest fires and heat deaths,suggesting that even nature is turning against the West while Belarus enjoys a productive "Battle for the Harvest"Southern Europe is now in the fire of forest fires.
•


Digital Control:Promoting the "Digital
Wallet"and biometric identification in the EU as a form of "Total Surveillance,"while simultaneously promoting digital health records in Belarus as "efficiency"construction of total observation.
•


Social Media Awareness:A dedicated
segment warned citizens about "cognitive laziness"and the manipulation of viral content by foreign actors,urging them to resist the "Durdum"(Madhouse)of social media disinformation accounts of some mimocrocodiles with a bunch of subscribers appeared.
•


# HYPOTHESES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK


The Academy of Intellectual
Technologies as a Succession Tool:This institution will likely serve as the primary vetting ground for future high-level administrators,ensuring that the postLukashenko era is managed by technocrats who are ideologically aligned with the current regime.
•


Deepening Energy Crisis in the EU:If
the drought continues,Belarus may leverage its surplus energy and stable nuclear/hydro power to offer energy exports to neighbors like Poland or the Baltics in exchange for political concessions.
•


Uzbekistan as an Export Hub:The
Grodno-Samarkand roadmap is the precursor to a larger Central Asian trade bloc,where Belarus serves as the high-tech and food production engine for the region's population boom.
•


# STRATEGIC FORESIGHT


Short Term (1-4Weeks):The "Harvest Battle"will conclude with high-profile celebrations and "Dozhinki"festivals,reinforcing social cohesion 2million tons of grain...with a sight on three.Search and rescue efforts in Kyrgyzstan and Georgian investigations into the tourist crash will dominate the regional diplomatic


Medium Term (1-6Months):The English and multi-language release of "Our President"will be used at international forums (UN,SCO)to try and normalize the Belarusian administration's global image addressed to patriots abroad.New digital health and


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procurement systems will be fully integrated into the Belarusian civil


Long Term (1-5Years):The Academy of Intellectual Technologies will produce its first graduates,potentially changing the dynamic of the Belarusian bureaucracy Academy of Intellectual Technologies was the topic.Belarus will attempt to become the primary alternative to Western "Green Energy"by expanding its nuclear and hydro footprint hydro-power in Belarus is a norm against the


# RISK ASSESSMENT


The current stability of Belarus is highly dependent on a successful harvest and the suppression of external information


Risk:Regional Instability from Baltic Hostility.Triggers:Closure of the final border crossings or further restrictions on the Russian language.Likelihood:High.Impact:Economic disruption to transit and supply chains.Mitigations:Expanding trade with Uzbekistan,Israel,and China.•


Risk:Failure of the Harvest due to
Climate Shocks.Triggers:A sudden latesummer heatwave or drought similar to the one affecting the EU.Likelihood:Moderate.Impact:Loss of food security and domestic unrest.Mitigations:State-funded irrigation and "Smart Farming"initiatives 200km of drip tube.
•


Risk:Corruption in Strategic Sectors.
Triggers:Major embezzlement in the agricultural or energy sectors.Likelihood:Moderate.Impact:Erosion of state resources and public trust.Mitigations:Digital procurement tracking and severe prosecution of crypto-bribery the most important step to transparency.
•


Risk:Brain Drain Despite Elite Schools.
Triggers:Graduates of the new Academy choosing to emigrate to Russia or the West.Likelihood:Moderate.Impact:Failure of the "Intellectual Sovereignty"project.Mitigations:Mandatory state placement (raspredeleniye)and competitive salaries for elite graduates.
•


Risk:Spillover from US-Iran Conflict.Triggers:Direct military escalation between Washington and Tehran.Likelihood:High (per transcripts).Impact:Drastic rise in energy costs and global logistics failure.Mitigations:Strategic fuel reserves and the Western Dvina hydrocascade energy security and independence.•


# GAPS &BLIND SPOTS


Real Impact of Sanctions:While the broadcast highlights $500million in park revenue,it fails to quantify the total lost trade with the EU due to sanctions,providing an incomplete economic picture.•


Military Casualties:The report on the
Russia-Ukraine prisoner exchange lacks any detail on the number of Belarusian citizens involved or the status of Belarusian volunteers in the conflict zone.
•


Youth Sentiment:The focus on "Figital
Sports"and "Talented Children"masks potential widespread youth dissatisfaction or desire for Western-style political reforms.
•


Climate Data:The broadcast mocks the
European heatwave but provides little data on how the same weather patterns are affecting Belarusian soil moisture and longterm crop yields.
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# CONTRARIAN NARRATIVE SCENARIOS


The "Potemkin"Harvest:The focus on 7million tons and Lukashenko's field visits could be a massive distraction from a catastrophic failure in industrial manufacturing or a hidden currency crisis.By focusing the population on the "Battle for the Harvest,"the state avoids scrutiny of its urban economic


The Academy as a "Golden Cage":The Academy of Intellectual Technologies may not be a center for innovation but a mechanism for the surveillance of the most gifted.By centralizing all high-IQ youth in one statecontrolled environment,the regime ensures they cannot become the leaders of a future opposition


Black Swan:The Danube Disaster Spills Over.If the European energy grid collapses due to the Romanian/Hungarian nuclear shutdowns,the resulting economic contagion could halt Belarusian industrial exports to Russia,which relies on a functioning global market,leading to a sudden and unmanageable deficit in


# RECOMMENDATIONS &IMPLICATIONS


For Statecraft/Public Sector:1.Monitor the Uzbek-Belarusian roadmap as a blueprint for non-aligned trade blocs that bypass Western financial systems.2.Anticipate a new Belarusian legal offensive against the Baltic states regarding linguistic rights,potentially using it as a pretext for economic countermeasures.3.Observe the Academy of Intellectual Technologies as a model for "authoritarian technocracy"that other SCO members may


For Private Sector/Investors:1.Agricultural equipment and drip irrigation technology are the highest-growth sectors in Belarus,driven by state-mandated modernization drip irrigation is laid under every bush.2.High-tech manufacturing in the Great Stone Park remains a viable,though geopolitically sensitive,gateway to the EAEU market.3.Investors should price in extreme weather risks for any energy-intensive operations in Eastern Europe,as the grid's cooling capacity is failing under record


# LEGISLATIVE ROUNDUP


The Belarusian state is focused on finalizing educational and digital reforms while preparing for a new legislative session in


# BILLS DISCUSSED/DEBATED:•


Agricultural Sector Modernization:
Proposals to adjust budget subsidies to be strictly per-ton/per-liter to increase efficiency think seriously in agriculture,whether this is mandatory to pay per liter,per kilogram.
◦


Digital Ruble &International Agreements:Legislation being drafted for the October parliamentary session to facilitate digital currency and ratify new Global South treaties documents concerning the digital ruble and ratification of international agreements.◦


Decree 116(Housing):Continuing
implementation of the decree allowing the purchase of empty rural houses for one "base value"to re-populate the countryside allows to purchase an empty house for just one base.
◦


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# HEARINGS &PRESS EVENTS:•


Lukashenko Meeting on Education:
Approval of the Academy of Intellectual Technologies to secure the state's hightech future topic of a meeting hosted by Belarusian President.
◦


General Prosecutor's Press Briefing:
Announcement of the "Beef for Crypto"trial to deter corruption in state enterprises Beef for crypto.
◦


# KEY STORIES


Lukashenko Visits Minsk Region
Fields:The President rewards top harvesters with cars and receives a symbolic 2-million-ton grain sheaf rewarded them right in the field.
•


Academy of Intellectual Technologies
Founded:A new elite university for STEM and digital fields to train the next generation of Belarusian leaders creating a fundamentally new educational environment.
•


European Energy and Heat Crisis:
40°C+temperatures across the EU lead to nuclear plant shutdowns in Romania and low river levels one day of abnormal heat is comparable to half a day of a national strike.
•


Grodno-Samarkand Partnership:
Belarus and Uzbekistan sign a detailed roadmap for industrial and food cooperation signed a roadmap for cooperation.
•


Search for Climbers in Kyrgyzstan:
Ongoing rescue mission for two Belarusians and one Lithuanian missing on Peak Kurumdy search for three missing climbers continues.
•


Fatal Bus Crash in Georgia:Four
Belarusians killed and 15injured,including children,in a microbus accident in Gome's Mta death of four Belarusians...six children among the injured.
•


Crypto Bribery Trial:A former
agricultural manager is indicted for accepting bribes in digital currency for meat supplies criminal case about receiving and giving a bribe in a particularly large amount.
•


Hydroelectric Success:Feature on the
Vitebsk GDS,the country's most powerful station,generating 138million kWh annually annual output of 138million kilowatt-hours.
•


US Social Decline:Analysis of polling
data suggesting the collapse of the "American Dream"and rising political violence 77%...political violence in the country will become the norm.
•


Phygital Sports Bronze:Belarusian athletes take third place at the "Games of the Future"in Astana,combining gaming and physical basketball Belarusian guys took bronze for the second year in a row.•


Great Stone Industrial Park Growth:
Revenue reaches $500M with 67Chinese resident companies currently operating 67of which are from China.
•


Israel Export Boom:Belarusian trade
with Israel set to grow 600%due to demand for machinery and food export will grow by almost 600%.
•


Belarusian Women's Wrestling Victory:
The national team wins the international tournament in Mozyr,defeating Russia in the final our girls faced the Russian national team...champion.
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Yakub Kolas Memorial Day:70th
anniversary of the death of the national poet observed at his monument and literary museum In Belarus,the memorial day of Yakub Kolas.
•


School Preparations:110million rubles
allocated for school repairs across Belarus,including 81schools in Minsk about 110million rubles were allocated for the preparation of schools.
•


Cricket Protein Debate:Scientific
discussion at the Academy of Sciences regarding alternative proteins for global food security protein from crickets in the food industry.
•


Tyche the Icebreaker Winner:15-year-
old Belarusian student wins scientific competition and travels to the North Pole on an atomic icebreaker 15-year-old Tichon from Vitebsk...geographic North Pole.
•


Turkey Yacht Fire:115people rescued as
a large excursion yacht sinks in Fethiye 115people were on board,including small children.
•


Latvian Contraband Seizure:Lithuanian
customs seize €2M worth of illegal cigarettes originating from Latvia batch of contraband cigarettes from Latvia...more than 2million euros.
•


Anti-Frod Systems in Banking:National
Bank reports blocking 20,000fraudulent transactions through shared AI-based security lists this figure is already approaching twenty...during the second quarter.
•


Dribin Torshki Festival:Regional folk
festival announced for August 15,featuring "masters of traditional clothing"15th time...parade of festival participants.
•


# ABOUT THIS REPORT


Today's Media Trends is a public interest experiment in applying deep thematic trend analysis to television news coverage from around the world to explore how responsibly applied advanced AI can help journalists and scholars better understand the overarching trends,themes and patterns of our global


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