Türkiye: TRT Haber

Broadcasts covered (14)

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# TODAY'S MEDIA TRENDS


TRTHABER


# TODAY'S MEDIA TRENDS


TRTHABER


S E P T E M B E R 15,2026


TURKEY ASSERTS REGIONAL
LEADERSHIP AND DOMESTIC
ORDER AMID GLOBAL "CIRCLE OF FIRE"AND ESCALATING ENERGY RISKS


# DAY-AT-A-GLANCE


On September 15,2026,the Turkish state narrative emphasized a "Strong Turkey"acting as a stabilizing anchor within a global "circle of fire,"characterized by the widening Iran-US-Israel conflict and the persistent Russia-Ukraine war.Externally,Turkey is projecting power through the "Mekke Defense Pact"with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan,while Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan conducts a high-stakes diplomatic tour in Azerbaijan and assesses his recent visit to Damascus.These moves are framed as part of a "Turkey Century"vision aimed at securing regional connectivity through the Zengezur Corridor and mediating Black Sea security as naval drone warfare


Domestically,the government has launched an aggressive "internal cleansing"strategy,initiating massive law enforcement operations against three perceived threats:"food cartels"inflating prices,"new generation"street


gangs,and "digital/LGBT propaganda"targeting the family unit.The center-of-gravity for domestic governance is the "Operation Field-to-Table,"a crackdown on 41major distributors accused of manipulating vegetable and fruit prices.By linking economic hardship directly to "cartel crimes,"the administration is attempting to insulate itself from criticism regarding 108-dollar oil and broader inflation,framing the 7%"war premium"on inflation as an external factor beyond state


# MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS


Operation "Field-to-Table"Crackdown
on Food Manipulators:The Ministry of Justice and Ministry of Trade launched a 22-province operation targeting 41managers of major distribution firms.They are accused of using fake receipts and inflating costs (e.g.,showing 6TL mandarins as 28TL)to drive market prices up by 1000%in some cases against the consumer.
•


Escalating Regional Conflict and
Energy Chokepoints:The conflict in the Middle East has expanded to the Bab elMandeb strait as Houthi forces seize strategic islands,threatening to close the Red Sea.Combined with the ongoing Hormuz blockade,this has pushed Brent crude to 110dollars per barrel,significantly impacting US diesel prices (6.26/gal)and Turkish energy imports exceeding 100billion dollars.
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Deepening Turkey-Azerbaijan
Integration:Marking the 108th anniversary of Baku's liberation,Hakan Fidan and Yaşar Güler reaffirmed the "One Nation,Two States"doctrine.Major milestones include the Kars-Dilucu railway project set for 2029completion and the strategic push to finalize the Zengezur Corridor linking the Turkic world.
•


Domestic Security Operations
(Sokaklar/Ailem Güvende):Over 2,500individuals were processed in "Streets are Safe"operations against gangs,while "My Family is Safe"operations in 15provinces targeted "LGBT propaganda"and online exploitation.This is coupled with a new judicial directive to 175chief prosecutor offices to prioritize anti-asexualization and anti-LGBT legal actions.
•


Deepening "Kozinoğlu"and "Gülüstan
Doku"Investigations:The suspicious 2011death of MIT officer Kaşif Kozinoğlu is being re-examined with interrogations of "Kurtlar Vadisi"TV writers,suggesting the show was used for psychological operations.Simultaneously,the Gülüstan Doku case has shifted to a murder investigation with 36total arrests,including high-ranking former officials.
•


# KEY GOVERNANCE TOPICS


# Armed Conflict &Militarization


Turkish defense industry marks a milestone
with the Hürkuş 2military type certification,the first indigenously certified platform to international standards.
•


The "Gökhan"Ramjet-powered air-to-air
missile successfully completed fuel system tests,providing a "no-escape zone"capability for the KAAN fighter jet.
•


First-ever naval drone combat recorded in
the Black Sea between Ukrainian and Russian unmanned vessels.
•


# Diplomacy &Statecraft


Expansion of the "Mekke Defense Pact"to
potentially include Egypt and Turkic states,creating a multi-layered Islamic security architecture.
•


Hakan Fidan's visit to Damascus signaled a shift in Syria policy,focusing on the "dissolution process"of the YPG/SDG and Israeli destabilization of southern Syria.•


The UK is facing a triple-threat of secession
as nationalist leaders from Scotland,Wales,and Northern Ireland sign a joint pact to force independence referendums.
•


# Energy &Food Security


Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb crises have
reduced tanker traffic by 77%,forcing Saudi Arabia to rely on the East-West pipeline,which was recently targeted by attacks from Iraqi soil.
Turkey's solar energy production increased 28-fold in a decade,now accounting for 11.6%of total electricity.
The Ministry of Justice identifies "food terrorism"as a national security issue,with distributors accused of creating artificial scarcities to maintain high prices.
•
•
•


# Tech Sovereignty &AI


Parliamentary AI Commission warns of "AI
agents"moving beyond human control and developing biological weapons.
Minister Yusuf Tekin implemented strict mobile phone bans in schools to combat digital addiction and classroom manipulation.
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US Space Force confirms it has placed
weapons in orbit for the first time,sparking a protest from China regarding the weaponization of space.
•


# DEEP DIVE:TRENDS AND THEMES


The Secularization of the "Ateş Çemberi"(Circle of Fire)Turkish strategic communications are increasingly using the "Circle of Fire"metaphor to describe the surrounding region (Ukraine,Iran,Syria,Yemen).Turkey is being marketed as the sole "Isle of Stability."This narrative serves to justify increased military spending,the formation of the Mekke Pact,and hardline leadership under President Erdoğan.Analysts suggest that as global systems (NATO,UN)appear paralyzed,Turkey is seeking to build independent Islamic and Turkic blocs that can survive a total breakdown in international


Judicial Activism as a Social Shield The Ministry of Justice is shifting toward "protective"judicial activism.By launching "Ailem Güvende"and issuing directives against "cinsiyetsizleştirme"(asexualization),the state is positioning itself as the guardian of the traditional family unit against "Western liberal imposition."This is a significant shift in legal focus,moving beyond traditional crime to "psychological and social defense."The state's directive to prosecutors to look for "organized structures"behind LGBT content suggests a potential upcoming ban or massive crackdown on related NGOs and digital


The Rise of Regional Secessionism While Turkey emphasizes unity,it is highlighting the instability of the United Kingdom.The "Historical Summit"of nationalist leaders in


the UK is being framed as the "unstoppable change"that follows Brexit.This serves a dual purpose:it suggests that Western imperial powers are fracturing from within,and it highlights the "right to self-determination"for regions seeking to leave the UK,contrasting with Turkey's hardline stance against such movements at


# INTERNAL DYNAMICS &DOMESTIC INSTABILITY


Elite Infighting and "Kurtlar Vadisi"Echoes:The interrogation of "Kurtlar Vadisi"(Valley of the Wolves)writers is more than a TV trivia matter;it is a deep-state forensic exercise.The script's near-exact prediction of Kozinoğlu's death in 2011is being used to investigate "FETÖ"(Gülenist)infiltration into media for the purpose of narrative seeding and threat signaling.This signals that the 15-year purge of the Gülen movement is still uncovering legacy assets within the cultural and intelligence


Economic Polarization and Middlemen Villains:Public anger over the cost of living is being channeled away from government fiscal policy and toward the "middleman cartel."By identifying a specific "villain"in the supply chain (distributors showing 433tons of "phantom"lemons on receipts),the state is attempting to regain its populist mandate.However,the complaints from farmers in Manisa about selling Kapya peppers for 10TL while they retail for 80TL suggest that structural issues in the "Hal"(wholesale)system remain a major source of rural


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# EXTERNAL DYNAMICS &GLOBAL POSTURE


Strategic Autonomy and the "Mekke Pact":Turkey is moving beyond traditional NATO alignment to lead a "third way."The Mekke Defense Pact is framed as a response to the inability of Western powers to secure the Middle East.By aligning with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan,Turkey is securing its energy interests at the source while positioning itself as a buffer between the US and


The "New Great Game"in the Caucasus:Fidan's visit to Baku emphasizes that the Zengezur Corridor is non-negotiable.This is Turkey's primary geopolitical objective—a direct land link to Central Asia.The rhetoric regarding "historical opportunities for peace"with Armenia is a thinly veiled ultimatum:accept the corridor or remain excluded from the new regional silk


# THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT


The Turkish economic narrative is one of resilient growth despite high global costs.While the world faces a debt crisis,Turkey claims the lowest debt-to-GDP ratio among 43major economies.However,the 110-dollar Brent crude price is a "silent killer"for the trade deficit,mitigated only by a 3%increase in exports to neighboring countries,particularly


# Key Economic Vectors:


Commodities:Brent oil at 110USD;gold
balancing at 6,700TL/gram (gram)and 4,300USD/oz (ons)prior to the FED decision.
•


Inflation:Official reports estimate that 7
points of Turkey's annual inflation are directly due to regional wars.
•


Debt:Turkey's total debt-to-GDP is 72.9%,
significantly lower than the global average of 350%.
•


Trade:Iraq is Turkey's largest neighbor
export partner with 5.7billion USD in the first 8months of 2026.
•


Housing:Istanbul begins applications for
15,000social rental units with rents starting at 10,000TL to cool the rental market.
•


# LEADERSHIP CHANGES


The political environment is increasingly focused on the "succession and continuity"of the Erdoğan administration,with the judiciary taking a central role in vetting the next generation of social


Mansur Yavaş:Remains a pivotal figure
for the 2027elections,currently maintaining a "balance policy"between the CHP and the New Party while visiting President Erdoğan to gain legitimacy within the conservative neighborhood.
•


Hakan Fidan:Portrayed as the ubiquitous
architect of Turkish regional stability,visiting Baku and Damascus within the same period,signaling his status as a key pillar of the state's long-term strategic direction.
•


Mustafa Türkay Sonel:The former
Tunceli Governor's status as a primary suspect in the Gülüstan Doku murder investigation signals a willingness by the current judiciary to prosecute previously "untouchable"figures from the 2020-era elite.
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Georgia Meloni:Framed by the broadcast
as the vanguard of the "permanent"European far-right,moving from the fringes to the center of power.
•


# EDITORIAL POSTURE &STORY HIERARCHY


TRT Haber maintained a posture of "Constructive Nationalism"throughout the day.The Lead Stories were the crackdowns on price manipulation and the libration anniversary in Baku,both serving to reinforce the state's role as provider and protector.The Buried Stories included the 6.26USD diesel price in the US and the restoration scandal of Rumeli Hisarı,where contractors were accused of "occupying"the fortress as a private villa.The tone was reassuring regarding Turkish resilience (PISA scores,space program)but alarmist regarding the "outside"world (Bab el-Mandeb crisis,UK secession,US weapons in space).Conspicuous Omissions included any detailed analysis of the Turkish Lira's realworld purchasing power or the specifics of the "New Party"(Özgür Özel)economic platform,which were overshadowed by the party-name legal


# GEOPOLITICAL FRAMING


The day's coverage framed the world as a decaying Western order being replaced by a more assertive,security-focused Turkish/Islamic/Turkic


# COUNTRIES


Israel:Consistently labeled as "genocidal"
(soykırımcı)and "barbaric"(barbarlık).The broadcast utilized the "NASA"(No Other Land)documentary winning at Venice to highlight Israeli war crimes and the threats against its directors.
•


Iran:Framed as a state under siege but
also a "chaotic"actor that needs to be steered toward the Mekke Pact.Its "can feda"mobilization SMS is treated as a sign of imminent regional war.
•


United Kingdom:Portrayed as a weak and fracturing state,unable to contain internal nationalist movements and facing a historical summit of secessionist leaders.•


Canada:Framed as a country pushed toward Europe because of Donald Trump's "51st State"pressure and "Trade Wars."•


# LEADERS


Recep Tayyip Erdoğan:The "unavoidable
actor"in the Middle East.Israeli media analysis is cited to prove his dominance.He is also framed as a deeply compassionate leader,seen crying with a disabled youth in Samsun.
•


Donald Trump:Characterized as a chaotic and unpredictable "madman"(çılgın)or "crazy"(deli)whose energy policies are causing global ripples,though his "energy ceasefire"proposal is given slight merit.•


Sergey Lavrov:Portrayed as a principled
but firm negotiator who blames Europe for preventing peace in 2022.
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# INFORMATION WARFARE ENVIRONMENT


The metadata of the day suggests a heavy emphasis on Narrative Seeding regarding "Cultural


Cultural Defense:The frequent use of the
term "human butchery"(insan kasaplığı)in relation to gender reassignment surgeries and the framing of LGBT depictions in games as "threats to humanity"indicates a coordinated state campaign to redefine national identity through opposition to social liberalism.
•


The PISA "Miracle":Education Minister
Yusuf Tekin spent significant airtime claiming credit for PISA 2025score increases,attributing it to the "removal of FETÖ tutoring centers"in 2015.This is a clear attempt to turn a long-term data trend into a specific political victory for the current administration's past purges.
•


Visual Ops:The use of images showing
Palestinian and Turkish children flying kites together (Uçurtmalar vurulmasın)is a powerful psychological tool to link the "Turkey Century"identity to the defense of the oppressed Muslim world.
•


# HYPOTHESES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK


The "Hal"Reset:The crackdown on the
41distributors is a precursor to a new Hal Law in the next legislative session.This law will likely include digital tracking of every item from field to shelf,possibly using a state-controlled app to enforce profit margin caps on middlemen.
•


Space Diplomacy:Turkey's 2027Moon
Mission is not just scientific;it is a bid for 9th-nation status in the space club.Expect Turkey to use its satellite and rocket tech to offer "sovereign space access"to the Mekke Pact and Turkic states.
•


The Hormuz/Mendeb Squeeze:If both
straits remain contested,oil prices will likely breach 135USD.Turkey will likely accelerate the Akkuyu Nuclear launch within months (rather than years)and increase gas imports from Azerbaijan via the TANAP expansion.
•


# STRATEGIC FORESIGHT


Short Term (1-4Weeks):Expect a cooling of consumer produce prices as the "Field-toTable"arrests intimidate other distributors.Simultaneously,anticipate increased alerts in Saudi cities as Houthi/Iraqi drone attacks continue despite diplomatic


Medium Term (1-6Months):The Zengezur Corridor project will enter a "finalization"phase,likely involving a new security agreement between Turkey and Armenia.Domestically,the "Ailem Güvende"initiative will likely lead to the banning of certain digital platforms or games that do not comply with new "family values"content


Long Term (1-5Years):The fragmentation of the UK will provide a blueprint for a postimperial Europe where regional identities trump national ones,while Turkey continues to consolidate the Islamic security bloc as a counter-weight to a decaying NATO/EU


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RISK ASSESSMENT


The primary risk to Turkey is the "EnergyInflation Feedback Loop"where regional straits-blockades neutralize the gains made by domestic anti-inflation


Total Energy Cutoff:Triggers:Closure of
both Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb.Likelihood:Moderate (35%).Impact:Catastrophic.Mitigations:TANAP gas expansion;Akkuyu Nuclear Unit 1activation.
•


Regional War Contagion:Triggers:
Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear facilities or Houthi strike on Saudi Aramco Yambu facilities.Likelihood:High (60%).Impact:High (Oil at 150USD).Mitigations:Mekke Pact activation;Hakan Fidan's mediating diplomacy.
•


Cyber-Social Unrest:Triggers:Deep-fake
manipulation of political leaders or AIdriven gang recruitment.Likelihood:High (70%).Impact:Moderate.Mitigations:AI control legislation;school mobile bans.
•


Agricultural Collapse:Triggers:Farmers
quitting the industry due to low "field"prices vs.high fuel costs.Likelihood:Moderate (40%).Impact:Severe.Mitigations:Elimination of the middleman "cartels";fertilizer subsidies.
•


UK/European Secession Dominoes:
Triggers:A successful Scottish Independence referendum.Likelihood:Low (20%).Impact:Moderate (Global market volatility).Mitigations:Currency diversification into gold and non-Western assets.
•


# GAPS &BLIND SPOTS


Internal Lira Devaluation:The broadcast
mentions "lowest debt"and "export growth"but avoids any data on the decline of real wages or the specific exchange rate of the Lira against the Dollar during the 110-dollar oil surge.
•


Houthi Independence:While the
broadcast frames Houthi attacks as "Iranian-led,"it misses the growing autonomous agenda of the Houthi movement,which may not stop even if Iran signs a deal with Trump.
•


PISA Demographics:The claim that PISA
scores rose across all student groups fails to account for the impact of the massive refugee student population on these standardized averages.
•


Space Mission Launch Costs:The 2027
Moon Mission is lauded,but there is zero information on the specific budget or whether Turkey will be using its own launch vehicle or a commercial partner like SpaceX.
•


# CONTRARIAN NARRATIVE SCENARIOS


The "Middleman"Scapegoat:The
crackdown on 41distributors is actually a distraction from a government-induced fertilizer and fuel crisis that has made domestic farming unprofitable.By arresting distributors,the state prevents a general farmer strike while maintaining its "friend of the poor"image.
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Fidan in Damascus as a Strategic
Retreat:Rather than a show of strength,the visit to Damascus is a defensive move to prevent a Syrian-Russian alliance from turning against Turkish forces in the north as Turkey becomes distracted by the escalating Iran-Israel war.
•


Black Swan -The UK "Fast-Break":A
sudden,uncoordinated unilateral declaration of independence by the Scottish Parliament,supported by an EUstate (e.g.,France),leads to an immediate collapse of the Pound Sterling,triggering a global financial contagion that forces the FED to raise rates even higher,crushing Turkey's debt refinancing.
•


# RECOMMENDATIONS &IMPLICATIONS


# For Statecraft/Public Sector:


Security:Formalize the "Islamic Bloc"
security protocol within the Mekke Pact to include shared naval assets for Red Sea escort missions.
•


Economic:Accelerate the National Food
Registry to eliminate cash-based,unrecorded vegetable transactions which facilitate cartel pricing.
•


Diplomatic:Use the COP31hosting to leverage green energy financing for the Eastern Anatolia wind and solar corridors.•


# For Private Sector/Investors:


Supply Chain:Move logistics hubs toward
the Middle Corridor (Turkey-AzerbaijanCaspian)as the Red Sea route becomes high-risk/high-insurance.
•


Regulatory:Prepare for stringent new
social content standards in the digital entertainment sector,focusing on "familycentric"filters.
•


Capital Allocation:Shift into gold as a
safety hedge before the upcoming FED interest rate decision,which markets are pricing as a "guaranteed hike."
•


# LEGISLATIVE ROUNDUP


Governance centered on protective regulations regarding the family and the


# BILLS DISCUSSED/DEBATED:


The New "Hal"(Wholesale)Law:
Proposed legislation to digitally track food prices and mandate transparency in agricultural receipts to prevent "cartelstyle"inflation.
•


Social Media Entrance Law:Regulation requiring e-government login for certain digital services and platforms to verify age and prevent "asexualization"propaganda.•


The Arktic-Grenland Pact:EU-led
discussions for coordinating security and resources in the Arktic region to counter Russia.
•


# HEARINGS &PRESS EVENTS:


Minister Yusuf Tekin Editorial Desk:
Defended the white apron requirement for teachers as a way to "remove ideological symbols"from classrooms.
•


Fatih Dönmez AI Commission:Warned of the risks of AI-controlled agents and the need for global "nukleer-style"AI treaties.•


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Ömer Çelik Press Conference:
Confirmed no early election is on the agenda and warned Greece/EU against "provocations"in the Eastern Mediterranean.
•


# KEY STORIES


Operation Field-to-Table:41managers of
major food distributors ordered for arrest for receipt fraud and price manipulation across 22provinces.
•


Hormuz/Bab el-Mandeb Chokepoint
Crisis:Houthi forces occupy strategic Red Sea islands,Red Sea tanker traffic down 77%,Brent oil hits 110USD.
•


Fidan's Azerbaijan Visit:Turkey and
Azerbaijan discuss the Zengezur Corridor and the Kars-Dilucu railway on Baku's 108th anniversary of liberation.
•


PISA 2025Victory Narrative:Turkey
claims to be the only OECD nation to increase scores in all three categories while European averages fell.
•


US Social Media Crackdown:Meta
implements 2-hour daily limits and notification mutes for US users aged 13-17after legal pressure.
•


Scottish Nationalist Pact:Scotland,
Wales,and N.Ireland leaders sign a joint declaration to pursue independence from the UK.
•


Moon Research Program (AYAP-1):
Minister Kacır announces the 2027lunar mission launch for a Turkish-made 3.5-tonspacecraft.
•


Kaşif Kozinoğlu Death Probe:Writers of
"Kurtlar Vadisi"questioned for hours about scripts depicting the death of the "Kaşifoğlu"character two days before the real death.
•


Gülüstan Doku Murder Case:
Investigation officially shifts to murder with 11new arrests;total 36suspects in custody.
•


Black Sea Naval Drone War:Ukrainian
and Russian naval drones engage in direct combat for the first time;Hakan Fidan warns against the war spreading to civil shipping.
•


Operation "Streets are Safe":1,613
suspects detained in 148simultaneous operations against gangs and drug networks.
•


Operation "Ailem Güvende":16people
arrested in Izmir for social media posts "encouraging prostitution and asexualization."
•


Mekke Defense Pact Expansion:
Discussions in Istanbul focus on including Egypt in the Turkey-Saudi-Pakistan military alliance.
•


Rumeli Hisarı Restoration Scandal:
NGOs protest 6.5-year closure and claim contractors are using the Bosphorus fortress as a private home.
•


Space Weaponization:US confirms
placing offensive weapons in orbit;China responds with condemnation of a "new arms race."
•


Dutch Train Sabotage:Saboteurs place
metal pipes on rails,halting thousands of passengers across Holland.
•


Akkuyu Nuclear Milestone:IAEA Chief
Grossi visits Viyana stand,states Turkey is on the verge of becoming a "nuclear energy power."
•


Guatemala Volcano Eruption:Fuego volcano erupts during a live social media broadcast,captured by Adriano Zendehas.•


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US Northeast Floods:Heavy storms
submerge cars and halt trains in New York,New Jersey,and Connecticut.
•


Global Debt Ranking:Luxembourg is the
world's most indebted nation (446%GDP);Turkey has the lowest total debt (72.9%GDP).
•


Limon Yield Receipts:Investigation
reveals a distributor claimed 633tons of lemons from a farmer who only produced 200tons.
•


66Million-Year-Old Fossil:A gastropod
fossil found in Ankara's Gölbaşı provides evidence of the ancient Tethys Sea.
•


Büşra Baby Missing Case:10suspects
arrested in Sivas after the 11-month-old baby went missing;family members'statements found contradictory.
•


Kars-Dilucu Railway:Construction
proceeds for the 224km line to connect Turkey directly to Nakhchivan and Azerbaijan.
•


Zero Waste at COP31:Emine Erdoğan's "Zero Waste"project to be included in the COP agenda for the first time in Antalya.•


Antalya Airport Expansion:Six runways
to be operational by September 18to handle increasing tourism and agriculture traffic.
•


Teacher "White Apron"Policy:Ministry
of Education enforces uniform standards to "restore dignity"and "unity"to the teaching profession.
•


Düzce University Dorms:10,500students
accommodated in new high-tech dormitories with 24-hour internet and sports facilities.
•


Prostat Cancer Robots:Cerrahpaşa
Hospital reports success in robotic surgery for early-stage cancer with 4-5small incisions.
•


Manavgat Tanker Fatality:Prison guard Ahmet Sevim killed after his car was dragged 100meters behind a fuel tanker.•


Bursa Social Market:New "Social
Market"opened in hospital for needy patients to access diapers,clothes,and hygiene kits for free.
•


Solo Türk in France:Turkish F-16
demonstration team performs in SaintDizier,drawing massive crowds.
•


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