Croatia: N1 Croatia

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# TODAY'S MEDIA TRENDS N1HRV


N O V E M B E R 2,2026


G D E L T


P R O J E C


# TODAY'S MEDIA TRENDS


N1HRV


N O V E M B E R 2,2026


BALKAN POLITICAL REALIGNMENT
AND GLOBAL ELECTION ANXIETY AMIDST ENERGY AND
TECHNOLOGICAL VOLATILITY


# DAY-AT-A-GLANCE


November 2,2026,marks a pivotal junction of systemic transitions in the Balkans,underscored by the collapse of the Serbian ruling party's financial infrastructure and the cross-border mourning of a cultural icon.In Serbia,the victory of the "Student List"in recent parliamentary elections has triggered a rapid dismantling of the previous regime's apparatus.The arrest of Davor Macura,owner of Alta Bank,for the alleged theft of €380million from bank vaults,signals an aggressive purge of state-linked capital.This is accompanied by the detention of highranking police officials and reports of systematic document destruction within state institutions as the new leadership attempts to secure a transition of


Simultaneously,the region is unified in grief over the death of Mate Mišo Kovač,a legendary figure whose popularity bridged post-Yugoslav divides and provided a rare moment of collective cultural reflection.This


domestic mourning in Croatia and the political upheaval in Serbia occur against a backdrop of acute global tension.The United States enters the final 24hours of a high-stakes midterm election cycle dominated by themes of record-breaking inflation and inflammatory rhetoric.In Europe,the energy crisis has intensified as natural gas prices surpassed €100per megawatt hour for the first time in nearly four years,threatening industrial stability and consumer welfare heading into


Emerging technological risks also reached a new level of public discourse,with reports detailing the "Dead Internet"theory and the existential threat posed by uncontrolled AI development.The convergence of these events—political revolution in Serbia,economic anxiety in the U.S.,and systemic energy shocks in Europe—suggests a period of extreme institutional stress.Governments are increasingly turning to defensive regulatory measures,such as Croatia's new labor transparency laws and Bulgaria's shift toward a pro-Russian presidential stance,to navigate a fracturing international


# MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS


Serbian Regime Infrastructure
Collapse:Following the Serbian Progressive Party's (SNS)election loss,a series of high-profile arrests,including bank owners and police chiefs,indicates a rapid liquidation of the old guard's power base.
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US Midterm Election Final Push:Record-breaking early voting turnout of nearly 50million citizens precedes a vote centered on economic survival and a deeply polarized vision for American democracy.•


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Gospić Lithium Permit Scandal:The
Croatian Ministry of Environment admitted to "legal misqualification"in the permitting process for a €10million lithium processing plant,leading to the likely revocation of its building permit.
•


European Energy Price Surge:Natural
gas prices have spiked above €100/MWh,the highest since late 2022,compounding fears of winter shortages and industrial decline.
•


Bulgarian Presidential Shift:Ilijana
Jotova's victory as Bulgaria's first female president signals a strategic pivot,as she advocates for ending military aid to Ukraine and pursuing negotiations with Moscow.
•


# KEY GOVERNANCE TOPICS


# Leadership Dynamics &Governance


The Serbian "Student List"transition team is grappling with evidence of systematic document destruction by outgoing officials.•


Bulgaria elects Ilijana Jotova,who won 57.5%of the vote on a platform of regional peace and skepticism toward Ukrainian aid.•


Croatia's government declares a National
Day of Mourning for singer Mišo Kovač,reflecting the state's use of cultural symbols for national cohesion.
•


# Energy &Critical Minerals


Legal challenges in Gospić threaten a
major lithium investment due to improper environmental assessments.
UK approves extraction from the Jackdoor gas field despite environmental opposition,citing immediate energy security needs.
•
•


Renewed interest in Venezuelan
hydrocarbons through Chevron as a hedge against global supply shocks.
•


# Legal Warfare &Regulatory Risk


Croatia introduces radical labor law
changes,including salary transparency and the right for workers to request peer pay
data.
US Senate race in Alaska faces fraud
allegations and legal challenges regarding the seating of candidates.
Corruption probe in Zabok hospital results in arrests of technical service leads for bribery involving labor for public good.
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# Tech Sovereignty &AI


Meta agrees to an €18billion settlement
and commits to restrictive default settings for teen users to curb social media addiction.
Growing concern over "AI Slop"and the "Dead Internet Theory,"where machinegenerated content degrades the quality of online information.
Introduction of "AI Jesus"and robot monks in Japan and the UAE sparks debate over the commodification of faith via algorithms.•
•
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# DEEP DIVE:TRENDS AND THEMES


# The Weaponization of Institutional Failure


Across multiple geographies,institutional failure is being used as a catalyst for political upheaval.In Serbia,the collapse of Alta Bank and the arrest of its owner—allegedly serving as a private vault for the regime—is being framed not just as a financial crime but as the final act of a kleptocratic system.Similarly,in


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Croatia,the Ministry's admission of a "legal misqualification"in the Gospić lithium plant case highlights a trend of administrative incompetence or corruption that undermines major industrial projects.These failures are eroding public trust in "expert"governance and fueling populist or student-led movements that demand radical


# Cultural Nostalgia as a Geopolitical Buffer


The death of Mišo Kovač has served as an unexpected unifying force in a region typically defined by ethnic and national friction.The coverage emphasizes his status as a "legend"whose influence was constructed outside of Dalmatia (in the diaspora and other republics)before returning as a unifying grass-roots force.This nostalgia provides a temporary social buffer against the harsh realities of the current economic and energy crisis,illustrating how historical cultural figures are leveraged to maintain societal stability during periods of rapid political


# The Existential Crisis of Information Integrity


A significant portion of global discourse is now dedicated to the survival of humancentric information.The "Dead Internet"narrative—where machines feed on machinegenerated data—is no longer a fringe theory but a strategic concern for tech giants like Microsoft and Meta.The €18billion Meta settlement and the warning from whistleblowers about self-improving AI suggest that the next phase of global conflict will not just be over territory or energy,but over the fundamental integrity of human perception and social


# INTERNAL DYNAMICS &DOMESTIC INSTABILITY


# Serbia:A Volatile Power Vacuum


The transition from the SNS regime to the
Student List is marked by high-stakes arrests of officials like Marko Kričak,formerly a police chief,for alleged abuses of position.
•


Concerns regarding the destabilization of
the Dinar and energy supplies are paramount as the new government discovers the true state of national finances.
•


Domestic friction is increasing between residents of Serbia and those in the Republika Srpska due to allegations of imported voters during the recent cycle.•


# Croatia:Labor Tensions and Environmental Resistance


The "Gospić je naš dom"(Gospić is our
home)initiative has successfully pressured the state to freeze industrial projects,signaling a rising tide of local environmentalism over national economic priorities.
New labor legislation aimed at gender pay equity and platform worker rights reflects a government attempting to appease a workforce squeezed by inflation.
Institutional corruption remains a persistent threat,evidenced by the hospital bribery scandal in Zabok.
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# EXTERNAL DYNAMICS &GLOBAL POSTURE


The Fracturing European Consensus


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Bulgaria's election of Ilijana Jotova represents a significant crack in the EU's unified stance on Russia.By winning on a platform that rejects military aid to Ukraine,Bulgaria is signaling a return to Balkan pragmatism that prioritizes regional stability over Brusselsmandated sanctions.This shift is mirrored by the new Serbian leadership's need to negotiate with Russia over gas supplies while simultaneously seeking to lift U.S.sanctions,demonstrating the complex multi-vector diplomacy required for survival in a multipolar


# US Electoral Contagion


The US midterms are being framed in the Balkans as a bellwether for global economic trends.The focus on diesel prices and supermarket costs in Michigan and Kansas resonates with Balkan audiences facing their own energy shocks.Trump's rally rhetoric,including the labeling of opponents as jihadi terrorists,is viewed with skepticism but recognized as a driver of global political polarization that could influence regional right-wing


# THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT


The global economic outlook is dominated by high-energy inputs and the fallout from institutional corruption.The sudden insolvency of Alta Bank in Serbia,triggered by the withdrawal of 45billion dinars,has left the new government facing a potential liquidity crisis.In the West,the Meta settlement represents a massive redistribution of capital away from Big Tech toward regulatory compliance and safety.Market sentiment is increasingly bearish due to the unstable price of gas,which has begun to affect industrial output in the Mediterranean


# Key Economic Vectors:


Natural Gas:Prices exceeded €100/MWh,
a 200%increase over the yearly low.
Diesel Fuel:Croatian prices set at €1.89per liter (up by 1cent),while U.S.diesel remains at historical highs near $6/gallon in some regions.
Banking Scandal:Over €380million allegedly embezzled from Alta Bank via unauthorized vault access.
Corporate Fines:Meta's $18billion settlement regarding addictive design and minor safety.
Real Estate:Lisbon cited as the least affordable city in Europe for local income earners.
•
•
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# LEADERSHIP CHANGES


The current environment is seeing a dramatic turnover in both political and financial leadership,driven largely by the anticorruption wave in the Balkans and the shifting electoral map in the U.S.and Eastern


Ilijana Jotova:Elected as Bulgaria's first
female President;she is a former journalist and MEP now advocating for a strategic rethink of relations with Moscow.
•


Oliver Tošković:A psychologist and
prominent candidate for the Student List in Serbia;now a key figure in the transition team tasked with purging SNS loyalists from the state bureaucracy.
•


Davor Macura:Owner of Alta Bank and
reported SNS ally;currently detained on charges of large-scale embezzlement following the bank's collapse.
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Marko Kričak and Boško Sekulović:
Senior Serbian police officials arrested for abuse of office,signaling a major cleanup of the internal security apparatus.
•


Andy Burnham:Noted as a primary
political actor in the UK for his housing blueprints being considered by the central government.
•


# EDITORIAL POSTURE &STORY HIERARCHY


The network's editorial hierarchy prioritized cultural mourning and local corruption over broader geopolitical shifts.The death of Mišo Kovač was the dominant narrative,receiving roughly 40%of the airtime,serving as a unifying and emotionally resonant lead story.The Serbian transition and the Alta Bank arrests were treated with high urgency but framed as a "cleanup"operation.The US Midterm elections were depicted as a looming external shock,with reports focused more on the inflammatory rhetoric and local price impacts than on specific policy outcomes.Conspicuous Omissions:The broadcast almost entirely ignored the ongoing military developments in Ukraine,focusing instead on the Bulgarian political response to the war and the energy fallout,suggesting a regional pivot toward domestic and economic survival over the broader


# GEOPOLITICAL FRAMING


The geopolitical subtext suggests a world pulling away from globalist mandates toward local economic protectionism and historical cultural identities.Leaders are framed as either "regime holdouts"facing justice or "new voices"facing an impossible administrative


# COUNTRIES


Serbia:Portrayed as a nation in the midst of a painful detoxification from a corrupt regime."The previous regime bukvalno lied to everyone around them...telling one story to the West and another to the Russians."•


Bulgaria:Framed as a pragmatic outlier in
the EU.President-elect Jotova is described as "dostojan president who will find dialogue with everyone."
•


United States:Depicted as an
unprecedentedly polarized power where "authoritarian"tendencies are a legitimate risk."I don't think people across the world understand that...this is an unprecedented point in American history."
•


Venezuela:Implicitly framed as an
essential but corrupt energy partner."Chavistički regime...has significantly unadvanced infrastructure."
•


# LEADERS


Donald Trump:Portrayed as a highly divisive but powerful mobilize of populist anger.He is described as a man who "says what he's going to do"but also uses rhetoric like calling opponents "jihadists."•


Aleksandar Vučić:Framed as a fading
authoritarian whose financial "investment schemes"are now being exposed following his party's loss.
•


Ed Miliband:Portrayed as a sympathetic
but constrained diplomat dealing with hostage negotiations,described as having "resonance in his eyes"despite a lack of concrete action.
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# NON-STATE &CORPORATE ACTORS


Meta (Facebook/Instagram):Framed as a harmful monopoly forced into submission."Meta risks becoming a parasite on the web...feeding on human created content."•


Hajduk Split /Torcida:Framed as a
powerful cultural institution responsible for the "dostojan ispračaj"(dignified farewell)of Mišo Kovač.
•


Chevron /Equinor:Framed as essential
bridges to energy security in the UK and Venezuela.
•


# INFORMATION WARFARE ENVIRONMENT


Narrative Seeding (Serbia):The
outgoing SNS regime is being accused of attempting an "obojena revolucija"(color revolution)against themselves to create chaos and delay the transfer of power.
•


AI Hallucinations:Media experts warn of
a "feedback loop"where flawed $\mathrm{A I}$articles are auto-translated and used to retrain future models,permanently degrading the web's veracity.
•


Rhetorical Weaponization (US):Trump's
characterization of candidates like Abdul El Sajed as "jihadi terrorists"is presented as a tactic to shift focus away from diesel prices and toward ideological fear.
•


Document Purges:The Student List
reports that state employees are being coerced to destroy evidence of financial crimes committed during the previous administration.
•


# HYPOTHESES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK


Serbian "Financial Chernobyl":As the
new government audits the national accounts,the Alta Bank scandal will likely expand to include international money laundering investigations involving regional retail chains and energy companies.
•


US Legislative Paralysis:The likely split
or loss of the House by Democrats,combined with the "unprecedented point in history,"will lead to a succession of constitutional crises rather than effective governance through 2027.
•


Balkan Energy Protectionism:If gas
prices remain above €100/MWh,countries like Bulgaria and Serbia will likely formalize gas deals with Russia that violate EU sanctions,leading to a diplomatic rift within the bloc.
•


# STRATEGIC FORESIGHT


Short Term (1-4Weeks):Expect a flurry of arrests in Belgrade as the new administration attempts to freeze assets before they can be moved offshore.The U.S.will enter a period of prolonged election uncertainty,with potential fraud claims clogging the courts.The Gospić lithium plant building permit will likely be formally revoked next week,leading to a €10million lawsuit against the city.


Medium Term (1-6Months):The new Croatian labor laws will cause a wave of pay discrimination lawsuits as transparency reveals systemic gaps.Europe will face its most expensive heating season since the start of the Ukraine conflict,potentially triggering a re-industrialization debate regarding coal and nuclear power.


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Long Term (1-5Years):The "Dead Internet"will force a retreat into verified,human-only information networks and paywalled journalism.Regional alliances in the Balkans will shift away from the "Euro-Atlantic"path toward a more autonomous,Turkey-Russia-EU balancing


# RISK ASSESSMENT


The primary risks center on the precariousness of financial institutions during regime changes and the systemic failure of environmental


Financial Contagion in Serbia:The
collapse of Alta Bank could trigger a run on other state-linked lenders.Triggers:Discovery of further embezzlement at other banks.Likelihood:High.Impact:Severe regional economic destabilization.Mitigations:Immediate payout of insured deposits and central bank stabilization.
•


Winter Energy Crisis:Prolonged gas
prices over €100/MWh causing industrial shutdown.Triggers:Early cold snap or further infrastructure sabotage.Likelihood:Moderate.Impact:High (Recession).Mitigations:Fast-tracking North Sea projects and diversification through Venezuela.
•


US Constitutional Crisis:Rejection of
midterm results in key states.Triggers:Fraud allegations in Alaska or Michigan.Likelihood:Moderate.Impact:Global market volatility and loss of U.S.diplomatic credibility.Mitigations:Adherence to supreme court rulings.
•


Environmental Litigation (Croatia):A
€10million lawsuit bankrupting the city of Gospić.Triggers:Formal permit revocation.Likelihood:High.Impact:Moderate (Local).Mitigations:Settlement negotiations or re-permitting with proper studies.
•


AI-Driven Information Collapse:Loss of
public ability to distinguish news from generated "slop."Triggers:Widespread AIgenerated misinformation during the US election results.Likelihood:High.Impact:Severe social unrest.Mitigations:Implementation of AI watermarking and support for human journalism.
•


# GAPS &BLIND SPOTS


The broadcast failed to provide critical details in several areas,notably the specifics of the Serbian transition and the mechanics of the energy


The "Student List"Personnel:While
Oliver Tošković was interviewed,the broadcast failed to name the 2,000"experts"claimed to be advising the new Serbian government,making it difficult to assess their actual policy direction.
•


Gasprom Transition:No clarity was
provided on how Serbia intends to manage the Pančevo refinery,which is linked to Gasprom,under the new anti-SNS administration.
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Lithium Plant Investor Origin:The
broadcast mentions "sumnjivi"(suspicious)capital from Russia but does not identify the specific entities funding the Gospić lithium plant.
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Gas Price Driver:The jump to €100/MWh
was noted,but the specific geopolitical or technical trigger for this sudden spike (beyond "ciklona"or general instability)was not detailed.
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# CONTRARIAN NARRATIVE SCENARIOS


The "Purge"as a Power Play:The arrests
of bank owners and police in Serbia may not be an anti-corruption cleanup but a preemptive consolidation of power by the Student List to install their own loyalists into the financial and security apparatus before the previous regime can regroup.The "theft"of €380million could be a narrative cover to justify the seizure of private assets.
•


AI as a Stabilizer:Contrary to the "Dead
Internet"theory,the use of AI in religion and mental health (AI Jesus,Robot Monks)could be a stabilizing force in societies suffering from chronic loneliness and institutional decline.In Japan,robot monks are providing services where human monks cannot work 24hours a day.
•


Black Swan:A "Cyber-Financial Melt"
occurs if the transition in Serbia reveals that state-linked banks were part of a regional Ponzi scheme involving Russian and EU capital,triggering a bank holiday across the Balkans and potentially affecting European liquidity.
•


# RECOMMENDATIONS &IMPLICATIONS


# For Statecraft/Public Sector:


Establish a Regional Financial Task
Force to oversee the transition of state assets in Serbia to prevent capital flight and systemic contagion within Balkan banking networks.
•


Accelerate Inter-Regional Gas Interconnectors to decouple from dependency on single pipelines that are vulnerable to the €100/MWh price surge.•


Implement Human-Verified Public
Information Protocols to counter the "Dead Internet"slop,specifically during election windows.
•


# For Private Sector/Investors:


Compliance Check:Multinational firms in
Croatia must immediately audit their payroll systems for gender-based pay gaps to avoid litigation under the new labor laws.
•


Energy Hedging:Industrial consumers in the EU should increase hedging against €120+gas prices as winter approaches and Bulgaria shifts its geopolitical posture.•


Capital Allocation:Reassess investments
in "Green Transition"projects in the Balkans (e.g.,Lithium)to ensure local environmental permits are beyond legal reproach from local activist groups.
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# LEGISLATIVE ROUNDUP


Legislative activity centered on the reform of labor markets and the cleanup of environmental mismanagement.Significant


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attention was also paid to international safety settlements involving social media


# BILLS DISCUSSED/DEBATED:•


Croatian Labor Law Amendments:
Mandates salary transparency,allows workers to request peer salary data,and formalizes rights for platform/aggregator workers.
◦


Environmental Protection Act
(Croatia):Updates to environmental impact study requirements,specifically correcting past errors in industrial classification.
◦


UK Energy Policy:Approval of domestic gas production (Jackdoor)as a strategic necessity over climate targets.◦


# HEARINGS &PRESS EVENTS:•


Marija Vučković Press Conference:
Resorne ministrica (Relevant minister)detailing the sanctioning of the Gospić lithium project and the timeline for waste removal.
◦


Student List Transition Briefing:
Oliver Tošković detailing the first 30-day plan for Serbia,including Dinar stability and gas negotiations.
◦


Meta Settlement Hearing:Details of
the $18billion agreement regarding minor safety and app addiction.
◦


# KEY STORIES


Death of Mate Mišo Kovač:Legendary
singer Mate Mišo Kovač died at 86on Saturday;funeral arrangements include a Poljud stadium farewell in Split and burial at Mirogoj in Zagreb.
•


Alta Bank Scandal:Owner Davor Macura
arrested for unauthorized vault access and theft of €380million following the SNS election loss.
•


US Midterm Election Final Day:Trump
rally in Kansas emphasizes inflation and fuel prices while inflammatory rhetoric targets Democratic candidates.
•


Gospić Lithium Permit Conflict:Ministry
admits to legal errors in classification for a lithium salt plant,likely leading to the cancellation of the €10million project.
•


Bulgarian Presidential Election:Ilijana
Jotova wins,becoming the first female president and pushing for peace talks with Russia.
•


Serbian Transition Purge:Arrests of
police chiefs Kričak and Sekulović for abuse of office;transition team reports document destruction by outgoing regime officials.
•


Meta Settlement:$18billion deal to
restrict teen app usage and change default settings for minors.
•


Hospital Corruption in Zabok:Probe
into bribery of technical staff to allow individuals to skip community service.
•


Gas Price Spike:EU natural gas prices
surge above €100/MWh,the highest since December 2022.
•


Novi Sad Anniversary:Second
anniversary of the railway station canopy collapse that killed 16people,used by the Student List as a symbol of corruption.
•


Dead Internet Theory:Analysis of how
AI-generated content is crowding out human journalism and degrading search algorithms.
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Audi RS5Test Drive:Feature on the new
RS5Avant,a 639HP plugin hybrid blending sport and family utility.
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Sarajevo Airport Red Tape:Bosnia
returns fixed 3KM passenger fee,causing low-cost airlines to cancel routes compared to regional neighbors.
•


Ilok Wine Heritage:Feature on the
history of wines from Ilok,their survival through the 90s war,and their presence at the coronation of Elizabeth II.
•


Ballon d'Or 2026:Coverage of Harry
Kane as a top contender for the football award following his record-breaking season in Germany.
•


AI Religion:Robots being used for
Buddhist sermons in Japan and the launch of "AI Jesus"for spiritual mentorship in the US.
•


Manchester Homeless Village:Profile of a specialized village for homeless men in arches,providing housing and life skills.•


Krakow Student Life:Report on rising
costs of living for Polish students despite high education rates.
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# ABOUT THIS REPORT


Today's Media Trends is a public interest experiment in applying deep thematic trend analysis to television news coverage from around the world to explore how responsibly applied advanced AI can help journalists and scholars better understand the overarching trends,themes and patterns of our global


# No data is used to train or tune any AI


Each morning,in collaboration with the Internet Archive's TV News Archive,we apply Google's Gemini 3to deeply examine yesterday's coverage from each television news channel to tease out the overarching themes and trends of its news coverage into a richly annotated thematic analysis.Each highlevel insight is connected back to the original broadcast,allowing journalists and scholars to understand the dominate themes and trends and instantly click out to the underlying sources for


By helping journalists and scholars see the broader trends and patterns of global news coverage,this analysis helps them identify relevant stories and coverage they might not otherwise have encountered and uncover connections,emphases and narrative shifts that enable more comprehensive reporting and deeper,evidence-based


This report is entirely machine generated using Gemini 3and may include errors and omissions.Please verify all findings.No data is used to train or tune any AI


For questions or suggestions,please contact kalev.leetaru5@gmail.com.To learn more or subscribe to our free daily newsletters,visit https://blog.gdeltproject.org/announcing-our-new-daily-todays-trends-on-capitol-hill-todaysmedia-trends-newsletter-briefings/.You can also learn more about the GDELT Project at https://blog.gdeltproject.org/and the Internet Archive's TV News Archive at https://


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