Sports desk

Premier League Sports Board

Follow the slate, check the injuries, and see every model pick against its public record.

Data: ESPN · odds via ESPN, provider per game · updated . No live games; refresh paused.

Search the Sports Board

Syntax

Press / to search and Esc to clear. Searches the loaded slate and available team profiles. Dates are Eastern.

Words use AND by default. OR joins alternatives; NOT or a leading - excludes a term. AND binds tighter than OR. Use parentheses to group and double quotes for phrases.

Fields: league:, team:, status:live|pre|final, injury:out|doubtful|questionable, player:, coach:, pick:home|away|pass|any, weather:wind|rain|snow|cold|indoor and date:today|tomorrow|YYYY-MM-DD. pick:any means home or away.

Fantasy: pos:QB|RB|WR|TE|K|DST, tier:1, waiver:yes, stack:yes and scoring:ppr|half|std. Fantasy results default to PPR unless a scoring field is present. my:teams matches teams starred on this device, including their games and players.

Markets: market:kalshi|polymarket|sportsbook|model|any matches an available probability. title and mvp compare championship and MVP probabilities as percentages from 0 to 100. Multiple sources match when any observed probability passes the test.

Numbers: edge, spread, total, move, books, impact, proj, title and mvp with >, >=, <, <= or =. Spread uses the home team’s sign. Move is the absolute consensus spread movement. Impact is the availability-impact index, not a point-spread adjustment. Missing observations do not match a numeric test.

Star a team to pin its matchups. Saved on this device only. Search my teams

Scoreboard · today and tomorrow
Premier LeagueMAN at CHEScheduledPremier LeagueIPS at HULScheduledPremier LeagueBHA at MNCScheduledPremier LeagueSUN at COVScheduledPremier LeagueNFO at BREScheduledPremier LeagueLEE at BOUScheduledPremier LeagueCRY at TOTScheduledPremier LeagueFUL at AVLScheduledPremier LeagueARS at LIVScheduled

Today’s best plays

Record (W-L-P)
2-2-0
Units
-0.18
ROI
-4.5%
ATS vs closing
1-2-0 (3 graded)

Calendar-year forward record, all leagues. ATS uses closing consensus. Paper record assumes one unit risked at -110; no offered or executed wager. Pushes count in ROI stakes.

No qualifying plays reported for this slate. Pass is a valid decision.

Model spreads use the home team’s sign. Read the model and backtest method.

Lines and injuries board

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

Manchester United at Chelsea

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: CHE +100 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: MAN +255 / CHE +100

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 26.9% / home 47.7% · Removed margin 4.8%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread 0 · total 2.8 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Manchester United · Chelsea

Ipswich Town at Hull City

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: IPS +150 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: IPS +150 / HUL +185

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 38.3% / home 33.6% · Removed margin 4.5%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Full matchup and available player details · Ipswich Town · Hull City

Brighton & Hove Albion at Manchester City

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: MNC -150 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: BHA +350 / MNC -150

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 21.2% / home 57.2% · Removed margin 4.9%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.6 · total 2.7 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Brighton & Hove Albion · Manchester City

Sunderland at Coventry City

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: SUN +135 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: SUN +135 / COV +210

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 40.7% / home 30.8% · Removed margin 4.7%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Full matchup and available player details · Sunderland · Coventry City

Nottingham Forest at Brentford

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: BRE +110 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: NFO +230 / BRE +110

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 28.9% / home 45.4% · Removed margin 4.9%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.3 · total 2.7 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Nottingham Forest · Brentford

Leeds United at AFC Bournemouth

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: BOU +115 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: LEE +255 / BOU +115

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 27.1% / home 44.7% · Removed margin 4.1%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.3 · total 2.8 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Leeds United · AFC Bournemouth

Crystal Palace at Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: TOT -155 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: CRY +400 / TOT -155

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 19.2% / home 58.4% · Removed margin 4.0%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.2 · total 2.7 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Crystal Palace · Tottenham Hotspur

Fulham at Aston Villa

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: AVL +100 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: FUL +260 / AVL +100

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 26.4% / home 47.5% · Removed margin 5.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.3 · total 2.7 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Fulham · Aston Villa

Arsenal at Liverpool

Premier League · · Scheduled

Spread / total: ARS +140 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: ARS +140 / LIV +190

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 39.6% / home 32.8% · Removed margin 5.1%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread +0.2 · total 2.8 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Arsenal · Liverpool

Latest coverage
How the picks are measured

Times are Eastern. Live boards update every 60 seconds while this tab is visible. Automatic refresh is paused when no games are live; reload for the next window.

Read the Sports Desk brief · Public record

Feed status: current. Coverage details.

A deterministic margin-of-victory rating, home edge and regression to the mean produce a model spread and total. Picks require the documented model-to-market gap; missing market lines produce a pass. The model does not estimate injury adjustments. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating. Before three games, last-season final ratings are regressed halfway toward the league average and their weight falls from 100% to 0% as the current sample reaches three games. These early-season estimates cannot qualify as picks.

Only measured fields are shown. Red-zone touchdown rates and offense-only points per drive need more detailed scoring attribution than these box scores provide. This league’s current official injury reports are outside the stored feed coverage.

Threshold selection uses 2025 only when closing-line coverage supports it; otherwise the published thresholds are predeclared and experimental. The 2026 results are reported separately. Historical tests use the source’s available closing lines and cannot reconstruct every publication-time revision. The public forward ledger counts only observations stored before kickoff. Final scores and line outcomes · Backtest, thresholds and full method.

Spread-cover probabilities use the median of each book’s two-way spread prices; lines may differ. Multi-book lines and line movement: Multi-book odds are configured; snapshots are collected on game days within the free-tier allowance. ESPN lines are shown until the first one.