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Numbers: edge, spread, total, move, books, impact, proj, title and mvp with >, >=, <, <= or =. Spread uses the home team’s sign. Move is the absolute consensus spread movement. Impact is the availability-impact index, not a point-spread adjustment. Missing observations do not match a numeric test.

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Scoreboard · today and tomorrow
NBAPOR at UTAH10/31 - 3:00 PM EDTNBAPHI at CHA10/31 - 6:00 PM EDTNBAATL at NO10/31 - 7:00 PM EDTNBASAC at MEM10/31 - 8:00 PM EDTNBACLE at MIL10/31 - 8:00 PM EDTNBAMIN at SA10/31 - 8:00 PM EDTNBAOKC at HOU10/31 - 8:30 PM EDTNBABOS at ORL11/1 - 3:30 PM ESTNBABKN at IND11/1 - 5:00 PM ESTNBALAC at GS11/1 - 8:30 PM ESTNBATOR at LAL11/1 - 9:00 PM EST

Today’s best plays

Record (W-L-P)
2-2-0
Units
-0.18
ROI
-4.5%
ATS vs closing
1-2-0 (3 graded)

Calendar-year forward record, all leagues. ATS uses closing consensus. Paper record assumes one unit risked at -110; no offered or executed wager. Pushes count in ROI stakes.

Per-league season records
League / seasonW-L-PUnitsROI
NBA season 20271-2-0-1.09-36.4%
Today’s best plays · recorded lines and model edges
GamePickHome spreadModel edgeLine sourceRecorded
Sacramento Kings at Memphis GrizzliesMEM · home-10.57.4 pointsESPN
Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio SpursMIN · away-11.5-12.8 pointsThe Odds API

Model spreads use the home team’s sign. Read the model and backtest method.

Lines and injuries board

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

The availability-impact index weights listed players by position and reported starter status when available. It is a relative report-weighting index, not a medical assessment or a point-spread adjustment. An empty report does not confirm availability.

Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz

NBA · · 10/31 - 3:00 PM EDT

Consensus: home +6.5 · total 233

5 books · The Odds API · .

Best number per side
  • UTAH: +7.5 (-111) · LowVig.ag
  • POR: -6.5 (-110) · DraftKings
  • Over: 232.5 (-115) · DraftKings
  • Under: 233.5 (-115) · FanDuel

Spread cover probability, vig removed: home 50.0% / away 50.0%.

Movement: home spread 0 points · total 0 points · since first observed by apprised.news at .

Spread / total: POR -6.5 · Total 231.5

Moneyline: POR -245 / UTAH +200

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 68.1% / home 31.9% · Removed margin 4.3%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread +6 · total 228.6 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Portland Trail Blazers
  • Robert Williams III (C) · Day-To-Day
  • Chris Youngblood (G) · Out
  • Ja Morant (G) · Out
Utah Jazz
  • Lauri Markkanen (F) · Day-To-Day
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. (F) · Out
  • Trey Alexander (G) · Out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (C) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Keyonte George · UTAH: Points: 24.4 · season
  • Keyonte George · UTAH: Assists: 6.8 · season
  • Ace Bailey · UTAH: Rebounds: 8.0 · season
  • Deni Avdija · POR: Points: 22.8 · season
  • Deni Avdija · POR: Assists: 6.5 · season
  • Donovan Clingan · POR: Rebounds: 9.0 · season
  • Deni Avdija · POR: Points: 24 · recent game
  • Deni Avdija · POR: Assists: 7 · recent game
  • Deni Avdija · POR: Rebounds: 9 · recent game
  • Keyonte George · UTAH: Points: 31 · recent game

Source

Portland Trail Blazers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 5

Utah Jazz injury impact

Availability-impact index: 7

Full matchup and available player details · Portland Trail Blazers · Utah Jazz

Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets

NBA · · 10/31 - 6:00 PM EDT

Spread / total: PHI -1.5 · Total 215.5

Moneyline: PHI -120 / CHA +100

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 52.2% / home 47.8% · Removed margin 4.5%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread +4.2 · total 213.9 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Philadelphia 76ers
  • Jaylen Brown (G) · Day-To-Day
  • Jabari Walker (F) · Out
  • Tacko Fall (C) · Out
  • Dominick Barlow (F) · Out
  • Ariel Hukporti (C) · Out
Charlotte Hornets
  • Kon Knueppel (G) · Out
  • Coby White (G) · Out
  • Grant Williams (F) · Out
  • Kylan Boswell (G) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Brandon Miller · CHA: Points: 25.6 · season
  • Dennis Schroder · CHA: Assists: 4.8 · season
  • Moussa Diabate · CHA: Rebounds: 9.4 · season
  • Tyrese Maxey · PHI: Points: 28.4 · season
  • LeBron James · PHI: Assists: 6.8 · season
  • Joel Embiid · PHI: Rebounds: 10.0 · season
  • Tyrese Maxey · PHI: Points: 27 · recent game
  • LeBron James · PHI: Assists: 8 · recent game
  • LeBron James · PHI: Rebounds: 9 · recent game
  • Brandon Miller · CHA: Points: 19 · recent game

Source

Philadelphia 76ers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 9

Charlotte Hornets injury impact

Availability-impact index: 8

Full matchup and available player details · Philadelphia 76ers · Charlotte Hornets

Atlanta Hawks at New Orleans Pelicans

NBA · · 10/31 - 7:00 PM EDT

Consensus: home +4 · total 238.5

6 books · The Odds API · .

Best number per side
  • NO: +4.5 (-106) · LowVig.ag
  • ATL: -2.5 (-110) · MyBookie.ag
  • Over: 237.5 (-107) · LowVig.ag
  • Under: 238.5 (-105) · FanDuel

Spread cover probability, vig removed: home 50.0% / away 50.0%.

Movement: home spread 0 points · total 0 points · since first observed by apprised.news at .

Spread / total: ATL -4.5 · Total 241.5

Moneyline: ATL -180 / NO +150

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 61.6% / home 38.4% · Removed margin 4.3%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread +0.8 · total 230.8 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Atlanta Hawks
  • Mouhamed Gueye (F) · Out
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Yves Missi (C) · Out
  • Jordan Poole (G) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Zion Williamson · NO: Points: 21.8 · season
  • Dejounte Murray · NO: Assists: 6.0 · season
  • Derik Queen · NO: Rebounds: 7.8 · season
  • Nickeil Alexander-Walker · ATL: Points: 20.5 · season
  • Jalen Johnson · ATL: Assists: 8.5 · season
  • Jalen Johnson · ATL: Rebounds: 9.3 · season
  • Onyeka Okongwu · ATL: Points: 29 · recent game
  • CJ McCollum · ATL: Assists: 8 · recent game
  • Onyeka Okongwu · ATL: Rebounds: 12 · recent game
  • Jeremiah Fears · NO: Points: 22 · recent game

Source

Atlanta Hawks injury impact

Availability-impact index: 2

New Orleans Pelicans injury impact

Availability-impact index: 4

Full matchup and available player details · Atlanta Hawks · New Orleans Pelicans

Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies

NBA · · 10/31 - 8:00 PM EDT

Consensus: home -10.5 · total 234.5

5 books · The Odds API · .

Best number per side
  • MEM: -10.5 (-110) · FanDuel
  • SAC: +11 (-106) · LowVig.ag
  • Over: 234.5 (-110) · FanDuel
  • Under: 235.5 (-107) · LowVig.ag

Spread cover probability, vig removed: home 50.0% / away 50.0%.

Movement: home spread 0 points · total 0 points · since first observed by apprised.news at .

Spread / total: MEM -11.5 · Total 232.5

Moneyline: SAC +380 / MEM -500

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 20.0% / home 80.0% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -17.9 · total 226.8 · home

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Sacramento Kings
  • Dylan Cardwell (C) · Out
  • Maxime Raynaud (C) · Out
  • Keegan Murray (F) · Out
  • Ben Simmons (G) · Out
Memphis Grizzlies
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. (G) · Day-To-Day
  • Ty Jerome (G) · Day-To-Day
  • Quinten Post (C) · Day-To-Day
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Ty Jerome · MEM: Points: 25.8 · season
  • Cameron Boozer · MEM: Assists: 6.2 · season
  • Cameron Boozer · MEM: Rebounds: 10.8 · season
  • Zach LaVine · SAC: Points: 26.0 · season
  • Domantas Sabonis · SAC: Assists: 7.2 · season
  • Domantas Sabonis · SAC: Rebounds: 16.2 · season
  • Cameron Boozer · MEM: Points: 18 · recent game
  • Cameron Boozer · MEM: Assists: 12 · recent game
  • Cameron Boozer · MEM: Rebounds: 12 · recent game
  • Darius Acuff Jr. · SAC: Points: 34 · recent game

Source

Sacramento Kings injury impact

Availability-impact index: 8

Memphis Grizzlies injury impact

Availability-impact index: 3

Full matchup and available player details · Sacramento Kings · Memphis Grizzlies

Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks

NBA · · 10/31 - 8:00 PM EDT

Consensus: home +8.5 · total 236.5

5 books · The Odds API · .

Best number per side
  • MIL: +9.5 (-110) · DraftKings
  • CLE: -8.5 (-106) · LowVig.ag
  • Over: 235.5 (-107) · LowVig.ag
  • Under: 236.5 (-110) · FanDuel

Spread cover probability, vig removed: home 50.0% / away 50.0%.

Movement: home spread 0 points · total 0 points · since first observed by apprised.news at .

Spread / total: CLE -9.5 · Total 237.5

Moneyline: CLE -360 / MIL +285

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 75.1% / home 24.9% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread +4.6 · total 229.9 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Cleveland Cavaliers
  • Jaylon Tyson (G) · Out
  • Meleek Thomas (G) · Day-To-Day
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Tyler Herro · MIL: Points: 23.4 · season
  • Tyler Herro · MIL: Assists: 4.6 · season
  • Kel'el Ware · MIL: Rebounds: 8.4 · season
  • Donovan Mitchell · CLE: Points: 24.2 · season
  • James Harden · CLE: Assists: 6.2 · season
  • Jarrett Allen · CLE: Rebounds: 8.8 · season
  • James Harden · CLE: Points: 24 · recent game
  • Evan Mobley · CLE: Assists: 7 · recent game
  • Jarrett Allen · CLE: Rebounds: 8 · recent game
  • Tyler Herro · MIL: Points: 23 · recent game

Source

Cleveland Cavaliers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 3

Milwaukee Bucks injury impact

Availability-impact index: 0

Full matchup and available player details · Cleveland Cavaliers · Milwaukee Bucks

Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs

NBA · · 10/31 - 8:00 PM EDT

Consensus: home -11.5 · total 226.5

1 book · The Odds API · .

Best number per side
  • SA: -11.5 (-115) · FanDuel
  • MIN: +11.5 (-105) · FanDuel
  • Over: 226.5 (-115) · FanDuel
  • Under: 226.5 (-105) · FanDuel

Spread cover probability, vig removed: home 51.1% / away 48.9%.

Movement: home spread 0 points · total 0 points · since first observed by apprised.news at .

Spread / total: SA -12.5 · Total 226.5

Moneyline: MIN +455 / SA -625

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 17.3% / home 82.7% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread +3.2 · total 225.1 · away

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Anthony Edwards (G) · Out
  • Donte DiVincenzo (G) · Out
San Antonio Spurs
  • Tobias Harris (F) · Out
  • Jayden Quaintance (F) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Victor Wembanyama · SA: Points: 25.0 · season
  • De'Aaron Fox · SA: Assists: 7.0 · season
  • Victor Wembanyama · SA: Rebounds: 11.4 · season
  • Anthony Edwards · MIN: Points: 33.2 · season
  • LaMelo Ball · MIN: Assists: 6.6 · season
  • Rudy Gobert · MIN: Rebounds: 12.2 · season
  • LaMelo Ball · MIN: Points: 24 · recent game
  • Bones Hyland · MIN: Assists: 8 · recent game
  • Rudy Gobert · MIN: Rebounds: 13 · recent game
  • Victor Wembanyama · SA: Points: 36 · recent game

Source

Minnesota Timberwolves injury impact

Availability-impact index: 4

San Antonio Spurs injury impact

Availability-impact index: 4

Full matchup and available player details · Minnesota Timberwolves · San Antonio Spurs

Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets

NBA · · 10/31 - 8:30 PM EDT

Spread / total: HOU -3.5 · Total 219.5

Moneyline: OKC +136 / HOU -162

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 40.7% / home 59.3% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -6.6 · total 222.1 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Cason Wallace (G) · Out
  • Chet Holmgren (C) · Out
  • Jalen Williams (G) · Out
  • Alex Caruso (G) · Out
  • Thomas Sorber (C) · Out
  • Nikola Topic (G) · Out
Houston Rockets
  • Reed Sheppard (G) · Day-To-Day
  • Alperen Sengun (C) · Day-To-Day
  • Steven Adams (C) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Alperen Sengun · HOU: Points: 24.5 · season
  • Alperen Sengun · HOU: Assists: 7.0 · season
  • Alperen Sengun · HOU: Rebounds: 9.0 · season
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander · OKC: Points: 26.0 · season
  • Alex Caruso · OKC: Assists: 3.8 · season
  • Isaiah Hartenstein · OKC: Rebounds: 9.6 · season
  • Kevin Durant · HOU: Points: 28 · recent game
  • Fred VanVleet · HOU: Assists: 6 · recent game
  • Tari Eason · HOU: Rebounds: 13 · recent game
  • Ajay Mitchell · OKC: Points: 29 · recent game

Source

Oklahoma City Thunder injury impact

Availability-impact index: 12

Houston Rockets injury impact

Availability-impact index: 4

Full matchup and available player details · Oklahoma City Thunder · Houston Rockets

Boston Celtics at Orlando Magic

NBA · · 11/1 - 3:30 PM EST

Model: home spread +7.9 · total 226.6 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Boston Celtics
  • Devin Carter (G) · Out
Orlando Magic
  • Jonathan Isaac (F) · Out
  • Jalen Suggs (G) · Out
  • Paolo Banchero (F) · Out
  • Noah Penda (F) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Franz Wagner · ORL: Points: 19.5 · season
  • Franz Wagner · ORL: Assists: 6.0 · season
  • Wendell Carter Jr. · ORL: Rebounds: 9.0 · season
  • Jayson Tatum · BOS: Points: 28.0 · season
  • Jayson Tatum · BOS: Assists: 8.0 · season
  • Jayson Tatum · BOS: Rebounds: 6.2 · season
  • Payton Pritchard · BOS: Points: 30 · recent game
  • Paul George · BOS: Assists: 8 · recent game
  • Jayson Tatum · BOS: Rebounds: 7 · recent game
  • Desmond Bane · ORL: Points: 28 · recent game

Source

Boston Celtics injury impact

Availability-impact index: 2

Orlando Magic injury impact

Availability-impact index: 8

Full matchup and available player details · Boston Celtics · Orlando Magic

Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers

NBA · · 11/1 - 5:00 PM EST

Model: home spread -6.2 · total 229 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Brooklyn Nets
  • Egor Demin (G) · Out
  • Tyler Bilodeau (F) · Out
Indiana Pacers
  • Obi Toppin (F) · Day-To-Day
  • T.J. McConnell (G) · Out
  • Johnny Furphy (G) · Out
  • Ivica Zubac (C) · Out
  • Ben Sheppard (G) · Out
  • Tyrese Haliburton (G) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Pascal Siakam · IND: Points: 24.0 · season
  • Tyrese Haliburton · IND: Assists: 9.5 · season
  • Ivica Zubac · IND: Rebounds: 9.0 · season
  • Michael Porter Jr. · BKN: Points: 22.8 · season
  • Julius Randle · BKN: Assists: 5.8 · season
  • Julius Randle · BKN: Rebounds: 7.5 · season
  • Andrew Nembhard · IND: Points: 22 · recent game
  • Andrew Nembhard · IND: Assists: 9 · recent game
  • Jarace Walker · IND: Rebounds: 6 · recent game
  • Moritz Wagner · BKN: Points: 16 · recent game

Source

Brooklyn Nets injury impact

Availability-impact index: 4

Indiana Pacers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 11

Full matchup and available player details · Brooklyn Nets · Indiana Pacers

LA Clippers at Golden State Warriors

NBA · · 11/1 - 8:30 PM EST

Model: home spread -6.4 · total 223.7 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

LA Clippers
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser (C) · Out
  • Max Strus (G) · Out
  • Brandon Ingram (F) · Out
  • Bradley Beal (G) · Out
Golden State Warriors
  • Kristaps Porzingis (C) · Out
  • Moses Moody (G) · Out
  • Jimmy Butler III (F) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Stephen Curry · GS: Points: 28.8 · season
  • Draymond Green · GS: Assists: 6.8 · season
  • Yaxel Lendeborg · GS: Rebounds: 9.2 · season
  • Darius Garland · LAC: Points: 21.5 · season
  • Darius Garland · LAC: Assists: 6.5 · season
  • Rui Hachimura · LAC: Rebounds: 6.0 · season
  • Stephen Curry · GS: Points: 31 · recent game
  • Draymond Green · GS: Assists: 9 · recent game
  • Brandin Podziemski · GS: Rebounds: 5 · recent game
  • Darius Garland · LAC: Points: 24 · recent game

Source

LA Clippers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 8

Golden State Warriors injury impact

Availability-impact index: 6

Full matchup and available player details · LA Clippers · Golden State Warriors

Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Lakers

NBA · · 11/1 - 9:00 PM EST

Model: home spread -0.1 · total 225.2 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NBA injury feed as of · Source

Toronto Raptors
  • Kawhi Leonard (F) · Out
  • Nate Bittle (C) · Out
Los Angeles Lakers
  • Ziaire Williams (F) · Day-To-Day
  • Adou Thiero (F) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Luka Doncic · LAL: Points: 36.0 · season
  • Luka Doncic · LAL: Assists: 8.2 · season
  • Walker Kessler · LAL: Rebounds: 8.2 · season
  • RJ Barrett · TOR: Points: 22.0 · season
  • Immanuel Quickley · TOR: Assists: 5.5 · season
  • Scottie Barnes · TOR: Rebounds: 7.2 · season
  • Luka Doncic · LAL: Points: 37 · recent game
  • Luka Doncic · LAL: Assists: 5 · recent game
  • Walker Kessler · LAL: Rebounds: 13 · recent game
  • Scottie Barnes · TOR: Points: 41 · recent game

Source

Toronto Raptors injury impact

Availability-impact index: 4

Los Angeles Lakers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 3

Full matchup and available player details · Toronto Raptors · Los Angeles Lakers

NFL and NBA teams
Latest coverage
How the picks are measured

Times are Eastern. Live boards update every 60 seconds while this tab is visible. Automatic refresh is paused when no games are live; reload for the next window.

Read the Sports Desk brief · Public record

Feed status: current. Coverage details.

A deterministic margin-of-victory rating, home edge and regression to the mean produce a model spread and total. Picks require the documented model-to-market gap; missing market lines produce a pass. The model does not estimate injury adjustments. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating. Before three games, last-season final ratings are regressed halfway toward the league average and their weight falls from 100% to 0% as the current sample reaches three games. These early-season estimates cannot qualify as picks.

Only measured fields are shown. Red-zone touchdown rates and offense-only points per drive need more detailed scoring attribution than these box scores provide.

Threshold selection uses 2025 only when closing-line coverage supports it; otherwise the published thresholds are predeclared and experimental. The 2026 results are reported separately. Historical tests use the source’s available closing lines and cannot reconstruct every publication-time revision. The public forward ledger counts only observations stored before kickoff. Final scores and line outcomes · Backtest, thresholds and full method.

Spread-cover probabilities use the median of each book’s two-way spread prices; lines may differ. Multi-book lines and line movement: Stored multi-book snapshots; refreshes depend on the free-tier allowance.