Sports desk

NFL Sports Board

Follow the slate, check the injuries, and see every model pick against its public record.

Data: ESPN · odds via ESPN, provider per game · updated . No live games; refresh paused.

Star a team to pin its matchups. Saved on this device only. Search my teams · Fantasy football: rankings, start / sit, waivers and stacks

Scoreboard · today and tomorrow

Today’s best plays

Record (W-L-P)
2-2-0
Units
-0.18
ROI
-4.5%
ATS vs closing
1-2-0 (3 graded)

Calendar-year forward record, all leagues. ATS uses closing consensus. Paper record assumes one unit risked at -110; no offered or executed wager. Pushes count in ROI stakes.

Per-league season records
League / seasonW-L-PUnitsROI
NFL season 20260-0-00

No qualifying plays reported for this slate. Pass is a valid decision.

Model spreads use the home team’s sign. Read the model and backtest method.

Lines and injuries board

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

The availability-impact index weights listed players by position and reported starter status when available. It is a relative report-weighting index, not a medical assessment or a point-spread adjustment. An empty report does not confirm availability.

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

NFL · · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Spread / total: DAL -7 · Total 54.5

Moneyline: ARI +245 / DAL -305

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 27.8% / home 72.2% · Removed margin 4.3%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -8.8 · total 48.7 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Arizona Cardinals
  • Jon Gaines II (G) · Out
  • Max Melton (CB) · Questionable
  • Andrew Wingard (S) · Questionable
  • Walter Nolen III (DT) · Out
  • Hjalte Froholdt (C) · Questionable
  • Jalen Brooks (WR) · Injured Reserve
  • Tip Reiman (TE) · Out
  • James Conner (RB) · Injured Reserve
Dallas Cowboys
  • Kenny Clark (DT) · Questionable
  • Dee Winters (LB) · Out
  • KaVontae Turpin (WR) · Out
  • George Pickens (WR) · Questionable
  • Jonathan Bullard (DT) · Injured Reserve
  • Luke Schoonmaker (TE) · Questionable
  • P.J. Locke (S) · Injured Reserve
  • Marist Liufau (LB) · Injured Reserve
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Dak Prescott · DAL: Passing Yards: 178/273, 1,851 YDS, 13 TD, 5 INT · season
  • Javonte Williams · DAL: Rushing Yards: 110 CAR, 472 YDS, 8 TD · season
  • CeeDee Lamb · DAL: Receiving Yards: 53 REC, 651 YDS, 6 TD · season
  • Quinnen Williams · DAL: Sacks: 3 · season
  • Caleb Downs · DAL: Tackles: 48 · season
  • Jacoby Brissett · ARI: Passing Yards: 183/282, 1,600 YDS, 10 TD, 6 INT · season
  • Jeremiyah Love · ARI: Rushing Yards: 67 CAR, 245 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • Trey McBride · ARI: Receiving Yards: 59 REC, 472 YDS, 4 TD · season
  • Budda Baker · ARI: Sacks: 3.5 · season
  • Jack Gibbens · ARI: Tackles: 49 · season

Source

Arizona Cardinals injury impact

Availability-impact index: 13.5

Dallas Cowboys injury impact

Availability-impact index: 13

Full matchup and available player details · Arizona Cardinals · Dallas Cowboys

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFL · · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Spread / total: TB -2.5 · Total 43.5

Moneyline: ATL +114 / TB -135

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 44.9% / home 55.1% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -3.2 · total 45.9 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Atlanta Falcons
  • Anterio Thompson (DT) · Out
  • Beaux Collins (WR) · Injured Reserve
  • Divine Deablo (LB) · Questionable
  • Olamide Zaccheaus (WR) · Questionable
  • Brian Robinson Jr. (RB) · Out
  • Charles Snowden (LB) · Questionable
  • Samson Ebukam (DE) · Questionable
  • Avieon Terrell (CB) · Questionable
  • Billy Bowman Jr. (CB) · Questionable
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Luke Goedeke (OT) · Questionable
  • Kenny Gainwell (RB) · Questionable
  • Emeka Egbuka (WR) · Out
  • Josh Hayes (CB) · Injured Reserve
  • Christian Rozeboom (LB) · Injured Reserve
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Baker Mayfield · TB: Passing Yards: 68/107, 679 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT · season
  • Bucky Irving · TB: Rushing Yards: 120 CAR, 558 YDS, 4 TD · season
  • Chris Godwin Jr. · TB: Receiving Yards: 27 REC, 243 YDS · season
  • David Walker · TB: Sacks: 4 · season
  • Josiah Trotter · TB: Tackles: 62 · season
  • Michael Penix Jr. · ATL: Passing Yards: 96/144, 1,157 YDS, 9 TD, 1 INT · season
  • Bijan Robinson · ATL: Rushing Yards: 131 CAR, 704 YDS, 4 TD · season
  • Drake London · ATL: Receiving Yards: 38 REC, 616 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • Za'Darius Smith · ATL: Sacks: 4.5 · season
  • Xavier Watts · ATL: Tackles: 44 · season

Source

Atlanta Falcons injury impact

Availability-impact index: 13.5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 9.5

Full matchup and available player details · Atlanta Falcons · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

NFL · · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Spread / total: BUF -3 · Total 54.5

Moneyline: BAL +142 / BUF -170

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 39.6% / home 60.4% · Removed margin 4.3%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -4.4 · total 50.5 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Baltimore Ravens
  • Olaivavega Ioane (G) · Out
  • Adam Randall (RB) · Injured Reserve
  • Jaylinn Hawkins (S) · Out
  • T.J. Tampa (CB) · Injured Reserve
  • Tavius Robinson (LB) · Injured Reserve
Buffalo Bills
  • C.J. Gardner-Johnson (S) · Suspension
  • Spencer Brown (OT) · Questionable
  • Dee Alford (CB) · Questionable
  • Greg Gaines (DT) · Questionable
  • Dalton Kincaid (TE) · Questionable
  • DJ Moore (WR) · Questionable
  • Tyrell Shavers (WR) · Out
  • TJ Parker (LB) · Questionable
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Josh Allen · BUF: Passing Yards: 114/171, 1,504 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT · season
  • James Cook III · BUF: Rushing Yards: 117 CAR, 627 YDS, 6 TD · season
  • Dalton Kincaid · BUF: Receiving Yards: 23 REC, 315 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • Greg Rousseau · BUF: Sacks: 6 · season
  • Dorian Williams · BUF: Tackles: 46 · season
  • Lamar Jackson · BAL: Passing Yards: 68/96, 967 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT · season
  • Derrick Henry · BAL: Rushing Yards: 147 CAR, 579 YDS, 7 TD · season
  • Zay Flowers · BAL: Receiving Yards: 40 REC, 608 YDS, 3 TD · season
  • Tavius Robinson · BAL: Sacks: 3.5 · season
  • Roquan Smith · BAL: Tackles: 55 · season

Source

Baltimore Ravens injury impact

Availability-impact index: 11

Buffalo Bills injury impact

Availability-impact index: 11

Full matchup and available player details · Baltimore Ravens · Buffalo Bills

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL · · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Spread / total: PIT -3.5 · Total 39.5

Moneyline: CLE +160 / PIT -192

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 36.9% / home 63.1% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -4.5 · total 41.9 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Cleveland Browns
  • Daniel Thomas (S) · Questionable
  • Myles Harden (CB) · Questionable
  • Tytus Howard (OT) · Questionable
  • Kalia Davis (DT) · Injured Reserve
Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Doneiko Slaughter (CB) · Out
  • Brandin Echols (CB) · Out
  • Ben Skowronek (WR) · Questionable
  • Sebastian Joseph-Day (DT) · Injured Reserve
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Aaron Rodgers · PIT: Passing Yards: 162/263, 1,699 YDS, 13 TD, 5 INT · season
  • Jaylen Warren · PIT: Rushing Yards: 102 CAR, 561 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • DK Metcalf · PIT: Receiving Yards: 32 REC, 374 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • T.J. Watt · PIT: Sacks: 5.5 · season
  • Payton Wilson · PIT: Tackles: 61 · season
  • Deshaun Watson · CLE: Passing Yards: 136/210, 1,482 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT · season
  • Quinshon Judkins · CLE: Rushing Yards: 90 CAR, 317 YDS, 3 TD · season
  • Denzel Boston · CLE: Receiving Yards: 20 REC, 372 YDS, 3 TD · season
  • Mason Graham · CLE: Sacks: 4 · season
  • Carson Schwesinger · CLE: Tackles: 64 · season

Source

Cleveland Browns injury impact

Availability-impact index: 6

Pittsburgh Steelers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 9

Full matchup and available player details · Cleveland Browns · Pittsburgh Steelers

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

NFL · · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Spread / total: JAX -10 · Total 46.5

Moneyline: IND +380 / JAX -500

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 20.0% / home 80.0% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -9.4 · total 44.9 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Indianapolis Colts
  • Bryce Boettcher (LB) · Questionable
  • Anthony Gould (WR) · Out
  • Drew Ogletree (TE) · Questionable
  • Justin Walley (CB) · Out
  • Cam Taylor-Britt (CB) · Injured Reserve
  • Alec Pierce (WR) · Injured Reserve
Jacksonville Jaguars
  • Antonio Johnson (S) · Out
  • Jakobi Meyers (WR) · Questionable
  • Anton Harrison (OT) · Injured Reserve
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Trevor Lawrence · JAX: Passing Yards: 120/184, 1,480 YDS, 14 TD, 4 INT · season
  • Bhayshul Tuten · JAX: Rushing Yards: 94 CAR, 388 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Parker Washington · JAX: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 416 YDS, 4 TD · season
  • Travon Walker · JAX: Sacks: 2 · season
  • Foyesade Oluokun · JAX: Tackles: 42 · season
  • Daniel Jones · IND: Passing Yards: 143/240, 1,398 YDS, 4 TD, 7 INT · season
  • Jonathan Taylor · IND: Rushing Yards: 140 CAR, 587 YDS, 8 TD · season
  • Josh Downs · IND: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 307 YDS · season
  • Adetomiwa Adebawore · IND: Sacks: 4 · season
  • Akeem Davis-Gaither · IND: Tackles: 60 · season

Source

Indianapolis Colts injury impact

Availability-impact index: 12

Jacksonville Jaguars injury impact

Availability-impact index: 6

Full matchup and available player details · Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

NFL · · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Spread / total: NYJ -1.5 · Total 45.5

Moneyline: LV +102 / NYJ -122

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 47.4% / home 52.6% · Removed margin 4.5%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -2.1 · total 46.3 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Las Vegas Raiders
  • Patrick Johnson (DE) · Out
  • Carter Runyon (TE) · Injured Reserve
  • Jack Bech (WR) · Injured Reserve
  • Jackson Powers-Johnson (G) · Questionable
New York Jets
  • Max Mitchell (OT) · Out
  • David Bailey (LB) · Doubtful
  • T'Vondre Sweat (DT) · Out
  • Joseph Ossai (DE) · Out
  • Breece Hall (RB) · Questionable
  • Dylan Parham (G) · Questionable
  • Kiko Mauigoa (LB) · Injured Reserve
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Geno Smith · NYJ: Passing Yards: 145/207, 1,623 YDS, 10 TD, 2 INT · season
  • Braelon Allen · NYJ: Rushing Yards: 91 CAR, 418 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Garrett Wilson · NYJ: Receiving Yards: 37 REC, 444 YDS, 3 TD · season
  • David Bailey · NYJ: Sacks: 5.5 · season
  • Dane Belton · NYJ: Tackles: 56 · season
  • Kirk Cousins · LV: Passing Yards: 161/257, 1,877 YDS, 16 TD, 5 INT · season
  • Ashton Jeanty · LV: Rushing Yards: 106 CAR, 328 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • Tre Tucker · LV: Receiving Yards: 29 REC, 474 YDS, 4 TD · season
  • Malcolm Koonce · LV: Sacks: 3 · season
  • Nakobe Dean · LV: Tackles: 68 · season

Source

Las Vegas Raiders injury impact

Availability-impact index: 8

New York Jets injury impact

Availability-impact index: 13.5

Full matchup and available player details · Las Vegas Raiders · New York Jets

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

NFL · · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Spread / total: DET -3 · Total 46.5

Moneyline: MIN +142 / DET -170

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 39.6% / home 60.4% · Removed margin 4.3%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread +1.2 · total 45 · away

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Minnesota Vikings
  • Jay Ward (S) · Questionable
Detroit Lions
  • Roger McCreary (CB) · Questionable
  • Kerby Joseph (S) · Out
  • Isiah Pacheco (RB) · Injured Reserve
  • Ben Bartch (G) · Injured Reserve
  • Devin White (LB) · Injured Reserve
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Jared Goff · DET: Passing Yards: 150/223, 1,788 YDS, 14 TD · season
  • Jahmyr Gibbs · DET: Rushing Yards: 134 CAR, 620 YDS, 7 TD · season
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown · DET: Receiving Yards: 46 REC, 525 YDS, 5 TD · season
  • DJ Wonnum · DET: Sacks: 5 · season
  • Jack Campbell · DET: Tackles: 54 · season
  • Kyler Murray · MIN: Passing Yards: 83/125, 812 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT · season
  • Aaron Jones Sr. · MIN: Rushing Yards: 105 CAR, 436 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Justin Jefferson · MIN: Receiving Yards: 23 REC, 302 YDS, 3 TD · season
  • Dallas Turner · MIN: Sacks: 6 · season
  • Blake Cashman · MIN: Tackles: 54 · season

Source

Minnesota Vikings injury impact

Availability-impact index: 1

Detroit Lions injury impact

Availability-impact index: 9.5

Full matchup and available player details · Minnesota Vikings · Detroit Lions

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals

NFL · · 11/1 - 1:00 PM EST

Spread / total: CIN -12.5 · Total 46.5

Moneyline: TEN +490 / CIN -675

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 16.3% / home 83.7% · Removed margin 4.0%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -10.5 · total 43.1 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Tennessee Titans
  • Tommy Townsend (P) · Out
  • John Franklin-Myers (DE) · Questionable
  • Calvin Ridley (WR) · Questionable
  • Tyjae Spears (RB) · Out
  • Carnell Tate (WR) · Out
  • Jaylon Jones (CB) · Questionable
  • Dorian Mausi (LB) · Injured Reserve
Cincinnati Bengals
  • Andrei Iosivas (WR) · Injured Reserve
  • Joe Giles-Harris (LB) · Questionable
  • Erick All Jr. (TE) · Injured Reserve
  • Kyle Dugger (S) · Out
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Joe Burrow · CIN: Passing Yards: 157/219, 1,653 YDS, 15 TD, 3 INT · season
  • Chase Brown · CIN: Rushing Yards: 82 CAR, 285 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • Tee Higgins · CIN: Receiving Yards: 33 REC, 571 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Boye Mafe · CIN: Sacks: 4.5 · season
  • Demetrius Knight Jr. · CIN: Tackles: 50 · season
  • Cam Ward · TEN: Passing Yards: 129/208, 1,179 YDS, 4 TD, 5 INT · season
  • Tony Pollard · TEN: Rushing Yards: 112 CAR, 478 YDS, 4 TD · season
  • Carnell Tate · TEN: Receiving Yards: 34 REC, 413 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • Jacob Martin · TEN: Sacks: 3.5 · season
  • Anthony Hill Jr. · TEN: Tackles: 68 · season

Source

Tennessee Titans injury impact

Availability-impact index: 11

Cincinnati Bengals injury impact

Availability-impact index: 7

Full matchup and available player details · Tennessee Titans · Cincinnati Bengals

Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams

NFL · · 11/1 - 4:05 PM EST

Spread / total: LAR -6.5 · Total 45.5

Moneyline: LAC +225 / LAR -278

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 29.5% / home 70.5% · Removed margin 4.3%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -9.1 · total 43.8 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Los Angeles Chargers
  • Kayode Awosika (G) · Out
  • Deane Leonard (CB) · Out
  • Donte Jackson (CB) · Questionable
  • Derwin James Jr. (S) · Out
  • Brenen Thompson (WR) · Out
  • Denzel Perryman (LB) · Injured Reserve
  • Rodney Shelley (CB) · Questionable
Los Angeles Rams
  • Trent McDuffie (CB) · Questionable
  • Jordan Whittington (WR) · Questionable
  • Colby Parkinson (TE) · Questionable
  • Joe Cardona (LS) · Doubtful
  • Coleman Shelton (C) · Questionable
  • Terrance Ferguson (TE) · Injured Reserve
  • Davante Adams (WR) · Injured Reserve
  • Myles Garrett (DE) · Injured Reserve
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Matthew Stafford · LAR: Passing Yards: 187/278, 1,989 YDS, 14 TD, 7 INT · season
  • Kyren Williams · LAR: Rushing Yards: 96 CAR, 492 YDS, 5 TD · season
  • Puka Nacua · LAR: Receiving Yards: 45 REC, 485 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Byron Young · LAR: Sacks: 4.5 · season
  • Nate Landman · LAR: Tackles: 51 · season
  • Justin Herbert · LAC: Passing Yards: 107/180, 1,141 YDS, 5 TD, 8 INT · season
  • Omarion Hampton · LAC: Rushing Yards: 80 CAR, 289 YDS, 3 TD · season
  • Tre' Harris · LAC: Receiving Yards: 15 REC, 225 YDS · season
  • Khalil Mack · LAC: Sacks: 3 · season
  • Daiyan Henley · LAC: Tackles: 36 · season

Source

Los Angeles Chargers injury impact

Availability-impact index: 14

Los Angeles Rams injury impact

Availability-impact index: 12.3

Full matchup and available player details · Los Angeles Chargers · Los Angeles Rams

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

NFL · · 11/1 - 4:25 PM EST

Spread / total: KC -1.5 · Total 40.5

Moneyline: KC -118 / DEN -102

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 51.7% / home 48.3% · Removed margin 4.6%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread +1.7 · total 42.1 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Kansas City Chiefs
  • L'Jarius Sneed (CB) · Questionable
  • Mansoor Delane (CB) · Questionable
  • R Mason Thomas (DE) · Questionable
  • Omarr Norman-Lott (DT) · Out
  • Brashard Smith (RB) · Injured Reserve
Denver Broncos
  • Zach Allen (DE) · Questionable
  • Talanoa Hufanga (S) · Out
  • Brandon Jones (S) · Questionable
  • RJ Harvey (RB) · Out
  • Jaylen Waddle (WR) · Questionable
  • Garett Bolles (OT) · Questionable
  • Tyler Badie (RB) · Injured Reserve
  • Jonah Elliss (LB) · Injured Reserve
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Bo Nix · DEN: Passing Yards: 129/218, 1,271 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT · season
  • J.K. Dobbins · DEN: Rushing Yards: 87 CAR, 293 YDS, 3 TD · season
  • Jaylen Waddle · DEN: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 276 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • Zach Allen · DEN: Sacks: 4.5 · season
  • Alex Singleton · DEN: Tackles: 87 · season
  • Patrick Mahomes · KC: Passing Yards: 124/191, 1,474 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT · season
  • Kenneth Walker III · KC: Rushing Yards: 120 CAR, 701 YDS, 6 TD · season
  • Travis Kelce · KC: Receiving Yards: 24 REC, 343 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Chamarri Conner · KC: Sacks: 1 · season
  • Nick Bolton · KC: Tackles: 59 · season

Source

Kansas City Chiefs injury impact

Availability-impact index: 8.5

Denver Broncos injury impact

Availability-impact index: 13

Full matchup and available player details · Kansas City Chiefs · Denver Broncos

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

NFL · · 11/1 - 4:25 PM EST

Spread / total: NE -7 · Total 43.5

Moneyline: NE -325 / MIA +260

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 73.4% / home 26.6% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread +5.4 · total 43.3 · pass

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

New England Patriots
  • Carlton Davis III (CB) · Questionable
  • Christian Elliss (LB) · Questionable
  • TreVeyon Henderson (RB) · Questionable
  • A.J. Brown (WR) · Questionable
  • Alijah Vera-Tucker (G) · Injured Reserve
Miami Dolphins
  • Reese Taylor (CB) · Questionable
  • Kadyn Proctor (OT) · Out
  • JuJu Brents (CB) · Questionable
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Malik Willis · MIA: Passing Yards: 87/151, 1,057 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT · season
  • Ollie Gordon II · MIA: Rushing Yards: 72 CAR, 339 YDS, 4 TD · season
  • Malik Washington · MIA: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 289 YDS · season
  • Zach Sieler · MIA: Sacks: 2 · season
  • Jacob Rodriguez · MIA: Tackles: 61 · season
  • Drake Maye · NE: Passing Yards: 141/214, 1,784 YDS, 13 TD, 8 INT · season
  • Rhamondre Stevenson · NE: Rushing Yards: 77 CAR, 285 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Hunter Henry · NE: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 296 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Elijah Ponder · NE: Sacks: 5.5 · season
  • Christian Elliss · NE: Tackles: 51 · season

Source

New England Patriots injury impact

Availability-impact index: 6.5

Miami Dolphins injury impact

Availability-impact index: 6

Full matchup and available player details · New England Patriots · Miami Dolphins

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

NFL · · 11/1 - 8:20 PM EST

Spread / total: WSH -5.5 · Total 40.5

Moneyline: PHI +205 / WSH -250

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 31.5% / home 68.5% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model: home spread -2.4 · total 45.7 · away

Injuries beside the line

NFL injury feed as of · Source

Philadelphia Eagles
  • Jihaad Campbell (LB) · Out
  • Britain Covey (WR) · Out
  • Dontayvion Wicks (WR) · Out
  • DeVonta Smith (WR) · Out
  • Jonathan Jones (CB) · Out
  • Dameon Pierce (RB) · Injured Reserve
Washington Commanders
  • Daron Payne (DT) · Out
  • Jer'Zhan Newton (DT) · Injured Reserve
  • Javon Kinlaw (DT) · Out
  • John Bates (TE) · Questionable
  • Treylon Burks (WR) · Questionable
  • Terry McLaurin (WR) · Injured Reserve
  • Laremy Tunsil (OT) · Injured Reserve
  • Jaylin Lane (WR) · Injured Reserve
  • Charles Omenihu (DE) · Questionable
Players to watch and injury impact

Players to watch

  • Jayden Daniels · WSH: Passing Yards: 75/116, 759 YDS, 5 TD · season
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt · WSH: Rushing Yards: 67 CAR, 239 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Terry McLaurin · WSH: Receiving Yards: 15 REC, 230 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • Odafe Oweh · WSH: Sacks: 3 · season
  • Sonny Styles · WSH: Tackles: 46 · season
  • Jalen Hurts · PHI: Passing Yards: 89/154, 933 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT · season
  • Saquon Barkley · PHI: Rushing Yards: 43 CAR, 244 YDS, 1 TD · season
  • DeVonta Smith · PHI: Receiving Yards: 26 REC, 310 YDS, 2 TD · season
  • Nolan Smith Jr. · PHI: Sacks: 3 · season
  • Zack Baun · PHI: Tackles: 51 · season

Source

Philadelphia Eagles injury impact

Availability-impact index: 13

Washington Commanders injury impact

Availability-impact index: 16.5

Full matchup and available player details · Philadelphia Eagles · Washington Commanders

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How the picks are measured

Times are Eastern. Live boards update every 60 seconds while this tab is visible. Automatic refresh is paused when no games are live; reload for the next window.

Read the Sports Desk brief · Public record

Feed status: current. Coverage details.

A deterministic margin-of-victory rating, home edge and regression to the mean produce a model spread and total. Picks require the documented model-to-market gap; missing market lines produce a pass. The model does not estimate injury adjustments. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating. Before three games, last-season final ratings are regressed halfway toward the league average and their weight falls from 100% to 0% as the current sample reaches three games. These early-season estimates cannot qualify as picks.

Only measured fields are shown. Red-zone touchdown rates and offense-only points per drive need more detailed scoring attribution than these box scores provide.

Threshold selection uses 2025 only when closing-line coverage supports it; otherwise the published thresholds are predeclared and experimental. The 2026 results are reported separately. Historical tests use the source’s available closing lines and cannot reconstruct every publication-time revision. The public forward ledger counts only observations stored before kickoff. Final scores and line outcomes · Backtest, thresholds and full method.

Spread-cover probabilities use the median of each book’s two-way spread prices; lines may differ. Multi-book lines and line movement: Multi-book odds are configured; snapshots are collected on game days within the free-tier allowance. ESPN lines are shown until the first one.