Sports desk

College basketball Sports Board

Follow the slate, check the injuries, and see every model pick against its public record.

Data: ESPN · odds via ESPN, provider per game · updated . No live games; refresh paused.

Star a team to pin its matchups. Saved on this device only. Search my teams

Scoreboard · today and tomorrow

Today’s best plays

Record (W-L-P)
2-2-0
Units
-0.18
ROI
-4.5%
ATS vs closing
1-2-0 (3 graded)

Calendar-year forward record, all leagues. ATS uses closing consensus. Paper record assumes one unit risked at -110; no offered or executed wager. Pushes count in ROI stakes.

No qualifying plays reported for this slate. Pass is a valid decision.

Model spreads use the home team’s sign. Read the model and backtest method.

Lines and injuries board

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Villanova Wildcats

College basketball · · 11/1 - 9:30 AM EST

Spread / total: VILL -7.5 · Total 147.5

Moneyline: ND +245 / VILL -305

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 27.8% / home 72.2% · Removed margin 4.3%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -2.9 · total 145.1 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Notre Dame Fighting Irish · Villanova Wildcats

Liberty Flames at High Point Panthers

College basketball · · 11/1 - 11:59 PM EST

Spread / total: HPU -7.5 · Total 154.5

Moneyline: LIB +260 / HPU -325

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 26.6% / home 73.4% · Removed margin 4.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -3.6 · total 147.7 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Liberty Flames · High Point Panthers

How the picks are measured

Times are Eastern. Live boards update every 60 seconds while this tab is visible. Automatic refresh is paused when no games are live; reload for the next window.

Read the Sports Desk brief · Public record

Feed status: current. Coverage details.

A deterministic margin-of-victory rating, home edge and regression to the mean produce a model spread and total. Picks require the documented model-to-market gap; missing market lines produce a pass. The model does not estimate injury adjustments. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating. Before three games, last-season final ratings are regressed halfway toward the league average and their weight falls from 100% to 0% as the current sample reaches three games. These early-season estimates cannot qualify as picks.

Only measured fields are shown. Red-zone touchdown rates and offense-only points per drive need more detailed scoring attribution than these box scores provide. This league’s current official injury reports are outside the stored feed coverage.

Threshold selection uses 2025 only when closing-line coverage supports it; otherwise the published thresholds are predeclared and experimental. The 2026 results are reported separately. Historical tests use the source’s available closing lines and cannot reconstruct every publication-time revision. The public forward ledger counts only observations stored before kickoff. Final scores and line outcomes · Backtest, thresholds and full method.

Spread-cover probabilities use the median of each book’s two-way spread prices; lines may differ. Multi-book lines and line movement: Multi-book odds are configured; snapshots are collected on game days within the free-tier allowance. ESPN lines are shown until the first one.