Sports desk

MLS Sports Board

Follow the slate, check the injuries, and see every model pick against its public record.

Data: ESPN · odds via ESPN, provider per game · updated . No live games; refresh paused.

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Scoreboard · today and tomorrow

Today’s best plays

Record (W-L-P)
2-2-0
Units
-0.18
ROI
-4.5%
ATS vs closing
1-2-0 (3 graded)

Calendar-year forward record, all leagues. ATS uses closing consensus. Paper record assumes one unit risked at -110; no offered or executed wager. Pushes count in ROI stakes.

No qualifying plays reported for this slate. Pass is a valid decision.

Model spreads use the home team’s sign. Read the model and backtest method.

Lines and injuries board

Model candidate; no claim of a proven betting edge.

Orlando City SC at Charlotte FC

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: CLT -120 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: ORL +235 / CLT -120

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 27.7% / home 50.7% · Removed margin 7.7%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.2 · total 3.1 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Orlando City SC · Charlotte FC

Philadelphia Union at FC Cincinnati

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: CIN +135 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: PHI +155 / CIN +135

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 36.3% / home 39.4% · Removed margin 8.1%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.1 · total 2.9 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Philadelphia Union · FC Cincinnati

D.C. United at Columbus Crew

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: CLB -245 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: DC +500 / CLB -245

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 15.4% / home 65.7% · Removed margin 8.1%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.8 · total 3 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · D.C. United · Columbus Crew

CF Montréal at New York City FC

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: NYC -235 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: MTL +500 / NYC -235

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 15.4% / home 64.6% · Removed margin 8.6%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.7 · total 2.9 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · CF Montréal · New York City FC

San Diego FC at St. Louis CITY SC

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: STL -115 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: SD +225 / STL -115

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 28.3% / home 49.2% · Removed margin 8.6%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread +0.2 · total 3 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · San Diego FC · St. Louis CITY SC

FC Dallas at Sporting Kansas City

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: DAL -120 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: DAL -120 / SKC +255

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 50.3% / home 26.0% · Removed margin 8.4%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.1 · total 3.1 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · FC Dallas · Sporting Kansas City

Austin FC at LA Galaxy

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: LA -210 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: ATX +425 / LA -210

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 17.6% / home 62.7% · Removed margin 8.1%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.2 · total 2.9 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Austin FC · LA Galaxy

Real Salt Lake at San Jose Earthquakes

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: SJ +130 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: RSL +160 / SJ +130

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 35.4% / home 40.0% · Removed margin 8.6%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.4 · total 3 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Real Salt Lake · San Jose Earthquakes

Chicago Fire FC at Colorado Rapids

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: COL +125 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: CHI +180 / COL +125

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 33.0% / home 41.0% · Removed margin 8.3%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.1 · total 3.1 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Chicago Fire FC · Colorado Rapids

Seattle Sounders FC at Vancouver Whitecaps

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: VAN -170 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: SEA +350 / VAN -170

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 20.5% / home 58.1% · Removed margin 8.4%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.5 · total 3 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Seattle Sounders FC · Vancouver Whitecaps

Red Bull New York at Nashville SC

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: NSH -210 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: RBNY +450 / NSH -210

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 16.9% / home 62.9% · Removed margin 7.7%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.4 · total 3 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Red Bull New York · Nashville SC

Toronto FC at Atlanta United FC

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: ATL +115 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: TOR +180 / ATL +115

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 33.0% / home 43.0% · Removed margin 8.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.1 · total 2.9 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Toronto FC · Atlanta United FC

Inter Miami CF at New England Revolution

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: MIA +125 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: MIA +125 / NE +165

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 41.2% / home 35.0% · Removed margin 7.8%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread +0.3 · total 3.2 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Inter Miami CF · New England Revolution

Minnesota United FC at LAFC

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: LAFC -145 · Total 3.5

Moneyline: MIN +320 / LAFC -145

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 22.2% / home 55.1% · Removed margin 7.4%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.5 · total 3 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Minnesota United FC · LAFC

Houston Dynamo FC at Portland Timbers

MLS · · Scheduled

Spread / total: POR -125 · Total 2.5

Moneyline: HOU +275 / POR -125

Implied win probability, vig removed: away 24.6% / home 51.3% · Removed margin 8.2%.

Odds: DraftKings via ESPN · current · · Source

Model · early-season estimate: home spread -0.4 · total 2.9 · pass

Full matchup and available player details · Houston Dynamo FC · Portland Timbers

How the picks are measured

Times are Eastern. Live boards update every 60 seconds while this tab is visible. Automatic refresh is paused when no games are live; reload for the next window.

Read the Sports Desk brief · Public record

Feed status: current. Coverage details.

A deterministic margin-of-victory rating, home edge and regression to the mean produce a model spread and total. Picks require the documented model-to-market gap; missing market lines produce a pass. The model does not estimate injury adjustments. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating. Before three games, last-season final ratings are regressed halfway toward the league average and their weight falls from 100% to 0% as the current sample reaches three games. These early-season estimates cannot qualify as picks.

Only measured fields are shown. Red-zone touchdown rates and offense-only points per drive need more detailed scoring attribution than these box scores provide. This league’s current official injury reports are outside the stored feed coverage.

Threshold selection uses 2025 only when closing-line coverage supports it; otherwise the published thresholds are predeclared and experimental. The 2026 results are reported separately. Historical tests use the source’s available closing lines and cannot reconstruct every publication-time revision. The public forward ledger counts only observations stored before kickoff. Final scores and line outcomes · Backtest, thresholds and full method.

Spread-cover probabilities use the median of each book’s two-way spread prices; lines may differ. Multi-book lines and line movement: Multi-book odds are configured; snapshots are collected on game days within the free-tier allowance. ESPN lines are shown until the first one.