Atlanta Dream at Golden State Valkyries
WNBA · · 10/31 - 8:00 PM EDT
Spread / total: GS -1.5 · Total 142.5
Moneyline: ATL -105 / GS -115
Model · early-season estimate: home spread +1.4 · total 159.7 · pass
Sports desk
Follow the slate, check the injuries, and see every model pick against its public record.
Words use AND by default. OR joins alternatives; NOT or a leading - excludes a term. AND binds tighter than OR. Use parentheses to group and double quotes for phrases.
Fields: league:, team:, status:live|pre|final, injury:out|doubtful|questionable, player:, coach:, pick:home|away|pass|any, weather:wind|rain|snow|cold|indoor and date:today|tomorrow|YYYY-MM-DD. pick:any means home or away.
Fantasy: pos:QB|RB|WR|TE|K|DST, tier:1, waiver:yes, stack:yes and scoring:ppr|half|std. Fantasy results default to PPR unless a scoring field is present. my:teams matches teams starred on this device, including their games and players.
Markets: market:kalshi|polymarket|sportsbook|model|any matches an available probability. title and mvp compare championship and MVP probabilities as percentages from 0 to 100. Multiple sources match when any observed probability passes the test.
Numbers: edge, spread, total, move, books, impact, proj, title and mvp with >, >=, <, <= or =. Spread uses the home team’s sign. Move is the absolute consensus spread movement. Impact is the availability-impact index, not a point-spread adjustment. Missing observations do not match a numeric test.
No games returned for the selected leagues.
No qualifying plays reported for this slate. Pass is a valid decision.
WNBA · · 10/31 - 8:00 PM EDT
Spread / total: GS -1.5 · Total 142.5
Moneyline: ATL -105 / GS -115
Model · early-season estimate: home spread +1.4 · total 159.7 · pass
Full matchup and available player details · Atlanta Dream · Golden State Valkyries
No lines to display for the selected leagues.
Read the Sports Desk brief · Public record
A deterministic margin-of-victory rating, home edge and regression to the mean produce a model spread and total. Picks require the documented model-to-market gap; missing market lines produce a pass. The model does not estimate injury adjustments. Projections start with three current-season games or a prior-season rating. Before three games, last-season final ratings are regressed halfway toward the league average and their weight falls from 100% to 0% as the current sample reaches three games. These early-season estimates cannot qualify as picks.
Threshold selection uses 2025 only when closing-line coverage supports it; otherwise the published thresholds are predeclared and experimental. The 2026 results are reported separately. Historical tests use the source’s available closing lines and cannot reconstruct every publication-time revision. The public forward ledger counts only observations stored before kickoff. Final scores and line outcomes · Backtest, thresholds and full method.